Contrarian Investing

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Simon Property Group: Elevating My Sell Call Into A More Balanced Re-Evaluation (Rating Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-18 08:04
Group 1 - The article discusses the author's approach to stock rating, emphasizing a reevaluation of methods due to being a relatively new analyst [1] - The author specializes in identifying Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) that are currently undervalued in the market [1] - The investment strategy focuses on long-term horizons, contrarian views, and deep-value opportunities [1]
X @Bankless
Bankless· 2025-08-15 17:28
EARLY ACCESS OUT NOW - Why Passive Investors Lose | Contrarian Investor @profplum99For Citizens OnlyUnlock Access🔓📷https://t.co/3Rn0B52EeH https://t.co/m28ORbDXzh ...
Target vs. Walmart Stock: Which Big-Box Company Is Worth Investing In?
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-11 01:03
Core Viewpoint - The performance of Target and Walmart stocks diverges significantly, with Walmart's stock rising approximately 40% over the past year while Target's stock has declined nearly 30%, indicating a roughly 70 percentage point gap in performance [8]. Group 1: Company Overview - Both Target and Walmart operate big-box stores and include groceries, but Walmart also has grocery-only stores and operates internationally, while Target focuses solely on big-box stores [4]. - Walmart emphasizes everyday low prices, whereas Target aims to provide a mix of low prices with a higher quality shopping experience [5][6]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Walmart's revenues increased by 2.5% in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, with same-store sales in the U.S. up 4.5%, contrasting with Target's decline in top line in the first quarter of 2025, where same-store sales fell by 3.8% [8]. - Target has a historically high dividend yield of 4.5%, while Walmart's yield is around 1%, which is low compared to the market and its historical range [10]. Group 3: Investment Opportunity - Target's price-to-sales (P/S) and price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are below their five-year averages, suggesting it is undervalued, while Walmart's ratios are above their historical averages, indicating a premium price [11]. - Despite current struggles, Target's history as a Dividend King suggests it may recover, making it a potentially better investment opportunity than Walmart at this time [12][13].
The Macerich Company: A Turnaround In Progress, But Too Many Risks For Now
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-06 02:02
Core Insights - The Macerich Company (NYSE: MAC) is being revisited for potential investment opportunities after a previous experience during the COVID-19 crash, where shares were bought at approximately $10 and sold at around $15 [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment strategy focuses on identifying Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) that are currently out-of-favor, utilizing fundamental economic insights to assess intrinsic value [1] - The investment horizon is long-term, emphasizing contrarian and deep-value opportunities [1] Group 2: Current Position and Future Considerations - Currently, there are no shares owned in Macerich, but there is potential interest in initiating a position if the stock approaches a P/FFO multiple of 8x or if there are improvements in deleveraging and operational execution in upcoming quarters [3]
VICI Properties: The Case For A Lower Price (And Why I Want It)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-05 13:27
Group 1 - The article discusses the investment strategy focused on identifying undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) during market downturns, particularly in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic [1] - The investment approach emphasizes long-term horizons and contrarian strategies to uncover deep-value opportunities [1] - A specific target for VICI Properties is mentioned, with a desired dividend yield of approximately 6.5%, translating to a share price of around $26.50 based on current annualized dividends [3]
Redwire: M&A-Driven Growth, Industry Tailwinds, And Valuation Upside
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-05 06:06
Company Overview - Redwire Corporation (NYSE: RDW) is a provider of mission-critical space infrastructure, often referred to as the "picks and shovels" for space companies [1] Stock Performance - The stock of Redwire has experienced a significant increase of over 470% in the last year, but it has subsequently dropped 50% from its peak [1] Acquisition - The finalization of Redwire's acquisition is a notable event that may impact its future performance [1]
Medical Properties Trust: Uncertainty Remains For Now, But The Patient Is Recovering
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-02 09:50
Core Viewpoint - Medical Properties Trust (MPW) is currently experiencing significant volatility, making it essential to monitor the stock closely [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - MPW is identified as one of the most turbulent Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) at the moment, indicating a challenging market environment [1]. - The investment strategy focuses on identifying REITs that are temporarily out-of-favor, suggesting a contrarian approach to investment [1]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - The investment horizon is long-term, emphasizing the importance of fundamental economic insights to assess the intrinsic value of stocks [1]. - The strategy revolves around contrarian and deep-value opportunities, indicating a preference for undervalued assets in the market [1].
Healthpeak Properties: A Lot Of Value To Unlock For Investors With A Long-Term Horizon
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-01 03:43
Group 1 - The article discusses the strategy of expanding a portfolio by focusing on Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) that have strong fundamentals and future growth prospects but are currently undervalued by the market [1] - The author emphasizes a contrarian investment approach, targeting REITs that are temporarily out-of-favor, indicating a long-term investment horizon [1] - The investment philosophy is rooted in fundamental economic insights to assess the intrinsic value of stocks, particularly in the context of income investing [1]
Piedmont Realty Trust: The Investment Thesis Is Playing Out Nicely
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-30 02:50
Group 1 - The article expresses a bullish outlook on Piedmont Realty Trust (NYSE: PDM), emphasizing its long-term prospects as an A-tier office REIT [1] - The author specializes in identifying Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) that are currently out-of-favor, indicating a contrarian investment strategy [1] - The investment approach is based on fundamental economic insights to assess the intrinsic value of stocks, with a focus on long-term investment horizons [1]