Magnificent 7
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高盛:共同基金基本面-尽管主动持股比例低,基金仍表现强劲
Goldman Sachs· 2025-05-21 06:36
Investment Rating - The report indicates a strong relative performance of large-cap mutual funds, with 50% outperforming their benchmarks year-to-date, significantly above the historical average of 37% [2][12]. Core Insights - Mutual funds have shown strong performance despite a volatile macro backdrop, with inflows to large-cap mutual funds and ETFs slowing since Election Day [2][20]. - The average large-cap mutual fund's active share has declined to a 10-year low, indicating lower alpha potential compared to historical levels [3][25]. - The average large-cap mutual fund has increased exposure to Consumer Discretionary by 75 basis points, marking the largest tilt in the last decade, while reducing exposure to Financials by 45 basis points [3][49]. Performance and Flows - 50% of large-cap mutual funds have outperformed their benchmarks year-to-date, compared to 29% in 2024 and a long-term average of 37% [12]. - Cash allocations in mutual funds have increased from 1.3% at year-end 2024 to 1.5% in March 2025, reflecting heightened uncertainty [20][21]. Themes in Focus - Active share among large-cap mutual funds is near 10-year lows, suggesting reduced deviation from benchmarks and lower alpha potential [3][25]. - Mutual funds have reduced exposure to stocks most affected by China tariffs, shifting from a 1 basis point overweight to an 11 basis point underweight [3][33]. - Large-cap mutual funds were 723 basis points underweight the "Magnificent 7," contributing to their strong relative performance year-to-date [3][39]. Sector Positioning - The average large-cap mutual fund is most overweight in Financials (+177 basis points) and most underweight in Information Technology (-466 basis points) [49]. - The tilt towards Consumer Discretionary has increased significantly, primarily driven by increased positions in Tesla [3][49]. Stock Positioning - The largest mutual fund overweights have underperformed the equal-weight S&P 500 year-to-date, with a 2% return compared to 3% for the index [4]. - Mutual funds have cut ownership in each of the "Magnificent 7" stocks during the first quarter of 2025, indicating a strategic shift in positioning [3][43].
Mag 7 To Bag 7, But Alphabet Is A Sleeping Giant
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-01 14:24
The Pragmatic Investor covers global macro, international equities, commodities, tech and cryptocurrencies and is designed to guide investors of all levels in their journey. Features include a The Pragmatic Investor Portfolio, weekly market update newsletter, actionable trades, technical analysis, and a chat room. Learn more Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular inve ...
'Magnificent 7' Q4 2024 Earnings Review: Growth Holds, But Rotation Awaits
Seeking Alpha· 2025-03-08 03:40
Core Insights - Lipper Alpha Insight provides financial professionals with actionable ideas and insights to interpret individual security news and macroeconomic trends [1] Company and Industry Analysis - The platform features a team of expert analysts who continuously monitor the financial landscape to keep users updated on the latest market movements [1]
Meta: The Only Magnificent 7 Stock Shining In 2025
Seeking Alpha· 2025-03-06 11:30
Core Insights - Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) continues to experience a rally in 2025 despite a challenging market environment and struggles faced by other stocks in the Magnificent 7 group [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The market shows strong confidence in Meta's resilience, which is attributed to its unmatched ability to navigate uncertainties [1] Group 2: Market Context - Other stocks in the Magnificent 7 have been struggling during January and February, highlighting Meta's unique position in the current market landscape [1]