Moving Average
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X @Michaël van de Poppe
Michaël van de Poppe· 2025-11-29 13:00
First crucial resistance zone for $BTC.It's the 20-Daily MA and it's a horizontal resistance zone.It will probably be used for people to take profits from, and therefore requires some time before the markets are going to go up some more.I'd rather expect this to happen in December, as this bounce increases the chances that the markets have been reaching a bottom on the correction in the previous 2 weeks. ...
New drop in housing starts raises a big recession question
Youtube· 2025-11-20 00:00
Market Overview - Markets are hovering close to record highs, with discussions around whether the current valuations are sustainable or indicative of a bubble [1][10] - The S&P 500 is currently trading at 23 times earnings, with a target of 7,900 for the end of next year, suggesting a bullish outlook despite concerns about overvaluation [7][29] AI and Investment Sentiment - There is ongoing debate about whether the AI sector is experiencing a bubble, with some models indicating that major companies in this space are currently fairly valued [20][22] - The sentiment in the market tends to shift from greed during earnings season to fear afterward, creating potential entry points for investors [11][13] Technical Analysis - The moving average is highlighted as a key technical analysis tool, with the 50-day moving average recently breaking through in major indices, indicating potential market trends [24][25] - The importance of using moving averages to gauge entry and exit points in the market is emphasized, particularly in relation to valuation [26][31] Federal Reserve and Inflation - The Federal Reserve's inflation target of 2% has been a topic of contention, with arguments that it is too rigid and not reflective of current economic conditions [34][36] - The Fed's actions, particularly rate hikes, have historically led to recessions, and there is a call for a more flexible approach to monetary policy [39][51] Housing Market Insights - The housing market is currently in a recession, with construction starts below critical thresholds, but this has not yet led to a broader economic recession [48][51] - The impact of technology on the housing market is noted, as it offsets some of the slow growth seen in construction [43][44] Investment Strategies - A diversified investment approach is recommended, incorporating both income-generating assets and growth-oriented stocks, particularly in the current market environment [55][58] - The discussion includes a preference for riskier fixed income options and large-cap dividend stocks, while cautioning against investments in non-cash flow producing assets [57][59]
Broadcom Stock Could Bounce Back Toward Records
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-11-19 18:42
Semiconductor stock Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO) has pulled back from its Oct. 29 record high of $386.48, last seen trading at $346.70. The stock is outperforming with a 50% year-to-date lead, however more gains could be imminent, as the 80-day moving average swoops in as historically bullish support. Per Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White, the equity is now within 0.75 of the 80-day moving average's 20-day average true range (ATR) after remaining above it during the last 20 trading days and ...
Warning: S&P 500 flashes start of bear cycle
Finbold· 2025-11-18 16:50
Market Overview - The S&P 500 index has fallen below its 50-day moving average, indicating a potential broader market downturn, closing at 6,630.21 with a 0.6% drop in the past day [1] - Technical signals suggest that the current pullback could develop into a more significant decline if conditions persist [2] Technical Analysis - A bearish divergence is forming on the weekly RSI, with the index printing higher highs while the RSI trends lower, reminiscent of the setup seen in mid-November 2021 [3] - The 100-day moving average has been a key support level over the past five months, and a weekly close below this level could indicate a structural breakdown, transitioning from bullish to bearish cycles [4][5] Price Projections - If a breakdown is confirmed, the S&P 500 could retrace towards the 200-week moving average, which marked the bottom of the 2022 bear cycle after a decline of approximately 27.6% [5] - The next major accumulation zone is estimated between 5,300 and 5,000, assuming the recent peak holds [6] Market Sentiment - Despite the bearish signals, some analysts on Wall Street remain optimistic, projecting that the S&P 500 could still reach 7,000 next year [7]
S&P 500 Snapshot: Volatile Friday Ends With Weekly Gain
Etftrends· 2025-11-14 22:38
Core Insights - The S&P 500 posted a minor weekly gain of 0.1%, marking the fourth weekly gain in the past five weeks [1] - The index has shown significant volatility, with the largest intraday price volatility recorded at 10.77% on April 9, 2023 [3] - Year-to-date performance shows the S&P 500 up 14.75%, while the S&P Equal Weight Index is up 7.12% [4] Weekly Performance - The S&P 500 experienced a volatile trading session on Friday, ultimately resulting in a slight weekly gain [1] - A historical perspective shows the index reached an all-time high of 1565.15 on October 9, 2007, followed by a significant drop of approximately 57% during the Global Financial Crisis [1] Volatility Analysis - The S&P 500 has been above its 50-day moving average since May 1, 2023, and above the 200-day moving average since May 12, 2023 [2] - The average percent change from intraday low to high over the past 20 days is 0.96% [3] Index Comparison - The S&P 500 is a market cap-weighted index, while the S&P Equal Weight Index gives equal weight to each constituent [4] - The performance disparity between the two indices highlights the strength of larger-cap stocks in the S&P 500 [4]
Defense Stock Looks Ready for Next Charge Higher
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-11-12 20:11
Core Insights - Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc (NASDAQ:KTOS) has experienced a recent pullback, trading at $75.99 after reaching a record high of $112.57 on October 9, but remains up 188.7% year over year [1] Price Movement and Technical Analysis - KTOS has retraced to its 80-day moving average, and is currently within 0.75 of the trendline's 20-day average true range (ATR), having stayed above it 80% of the time in the past two weeks and 42 trading days [2] - Historical data indicates that similar signals have occurred 16 times in the past decade, with the stock being higher one month later 69% of the time, averaging an 8.5% gain, which could position KTOS at $82.44 [2] Options Market Sentiment - A reduction in pessimism within the options market could further boost KTOS, as indicated by its put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) ranking in the 93rd percentile over the past year [4] - The stock has a Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) of 82 out of 100, suggesting it tends to outperform options traders' volatility expectations [4]
X @Joe Consorti
Joe Consorti ⚡️· 2025-11-12 18:44
Bitcoin's 50-day moving average is a few days from crossing below the 200-day moving average.Each cross marked a local bottom:• September '23• September '24• April '25If BTC is still in a bull market, the local bottom is forming. Holding $100,000 remains crucial. https://t.co/ut66c3mXkU ...
Lang: The VIX tells us when options are cheap or getting pricey
CNBC Television· 2025-11-11 12:24
One thing that you're looking at is the volatility, the VIX in particular since the government shutdown started. We kind of hit a high of 25 about two weeks into the government shutdown. Big decline since then.Is that the best way to play this playing the uh the VIX options. >> Well, the VIX actually is is just a great indicator to tell us uh the pricing of options. So, when VIX is really low, it means that option prices are are actually rather cheap, including uh puts and calls.But uh the recent rise Frank ...
Bitcoin Reclaims the 50 Week Moving Average
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-11-10 03:42
Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the cryptoverse. Today we're going to talk about Bitcoin as so far it has still managed to stay above its 50we moving average. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out the sale on into the cryptoverse premium at into the cryptoverse.com. Today's a pretty big week. We have Bitcoin Amsterdam going on this week.I will be speaking at that conference and I look look forward to seeing a lot of ...