Group 1 - Despite weak consumer confidence in the U.S. due to tariffs, Brinker International, Inc. has achieved over 150% gains in the past 52 weeks [1] - The company appears to be resilient in the face of consumer spending cuts [1]

Consumer Confidence - Australia's consumer confidence edged higher in July [1] - Households' assessment of their financial position improved [1]

I think we're seeing a US economy that is deteriorating. I think of it as different sickly canaries that are appearing in the coal mine. They're not dead yet necessarily, but they're showing signs of real illness and we're likely to see more, I think, as the year progresses.First of all, consumer confidence has taken a hit. What we're seeing also is just signs of reduced consumption. We're seeing a pickup in continuing jobless claims.Uh we're at the highest level since November of 2021. So, all this says to ...

Consumer Sentiment and Economic Outlook - U.S. consumer sentiment declined in June, with the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index dropping by 5.4 points to 93.0 from 98.4 in May, indicating growing unease among households [1] - The Present Situation Index fell 6.4 points to 129.1, while the Expectations Index slipped 4.6 points to 69.0, reflecting concerns over job security and economic challenges [2] Trade Policies and Geopolitical Tensions - Ongoing concerns over trade policies, particularly tariffs, are a primary driver behind the decline in consumer confidence, as they are perceived as threats to economic stability [3] - Escalating geopolitical tensions have further weighed on consumer outlook [3] Company Performance and Positioning - Companies like Sprouts Farmers Market, Urban Outfitters, Costco, and BJ's Wholesale Club are better positioned to navigate shifts in consumer behavior despite the overall decline in consumer confidence [4][9] - Sprouts Farmers Market focuses on product innovation, competitive pricing, and a commitment to fresh, natural, and organic products, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate indicating sales growth of 13.7% and EPS growth of 35.5% for the current financial year [6][7] Urban Outfitters' Strategy - Urban Outfitters leverages its multi-brand strength and digital reach, with major brands showing momentum across channels, and a Zacks Consensus Estimate suggesting sales growth of 8.5% and EPS growth of 22.2% [11][12] Costco's Membership Model - Costco effectively navigates market fluctuations through strategic investments and a customer-centric approach, with a focus on high membership renewal rates and competitive pricing, expecting sales growth of 8.1% and EPS growth of 12% [12][13] BJ's Wholesale's Growth Drivers - BJ's Wholesale emphasizes membership growth and digital innovations, enhancing omnichannel capabilities and targeting high-growth regions, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate indicating sales growth of 5.5% and EPS growth of 6.2% [14][15]

Well, KB Home cutting its revenue outlook for the year after reporting weak second quarter results. This is the housing market. It remains sluggish with existing home sales seeing their worst May since 2009.Joining me now, we've got Meredith Whitney, Meredith Whitney Advisory Group CEO. Meredith, good to have you back on Yahoo Finance with us. We we just heard remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Pal that he plans to keep rates on hold.So, what is the risk that that poses to the housing market. Well, the housing m ...

The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index fell in June as consumers signaled caution on big-ticket items and continued to watch for the impact of tariffs. https://t.co/9ONa0alSHy ...

Market Overview - The stock market shows positive momentum with the Dow up +265 points (+0.62%), S&P 500 up +42 points (+0.70%), Nasdaq up +213 points (+0.97%), and Russell 2000 up +18 points (+0.87%) [1] - Bond yields remain stable with the 10-year yield at +4.35% and the 2-year yield at +3.85% [2] - Oil prices are stable, with WTI at $65 per barrel and ICE Brent crude at $67 [2] Housing Market - The Case-Shiller Home Price Index reports a +2.7% year-over-year increase in home prices, which is below the expected +4% growth [3] - New York City leads in price growth at +7.9%, followed by Chicago at +6.0% and Detroit at +5.5%, while Tampa shows a decline of -2.2% [4] - Thirty-year fixed mortgage rates were in the mid-6% range for most of April, with expectations of further challenges as rates approach 7% [4] Federal Reserve Insights - Fed Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to testify before the House Financial Services Committee regarding the economy's health and potential interest rate cuts [5] - Powell's previous statements indicate a steady Fed funds rate of 4.25-4.50% for the fourth consecutive meeting, with no significant changes expected in his upcoming appearances [6] Consumer Confidence - The June Consumer Confidence index is anticipated to rise to a consensus of 99.5, following a previous increase to 98.0, after a significant drop to 85.7 due to "Liberation Day" tariffs [7] - Historical data shows Consumer Confidence peaked at nearly 140 in 2018 and fell below 30 during the 2009 financial crisis [8]

All right, first we got consumer some consumer confidence data crossing. Rick Santelli has that for us. Rick.Yes, David. These are June numbers from the conference board. Uh headline number expected to be very close to 100.A bit of a disappointment. 93. 93 would be the best.Well, just since March, so not that long ago. But the real issue is in between then and now we had some really weak reads that proved to be very much should have been a contrarian indicator because the market went much higher. If we look ...

Labor Market - Non-farm payrolls increased by 139,000 in May, exceeding the forecast of 125,000 [1] - The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2% [1] Inflation and Consumer Spending - CPI report indicated inflation at 2.4% year-over-year in May, with core inflation steady at 2.8% [2] - Headline retail sales dropped 0.9% month-over-month, a sharper decline than expected [3] - Excluding autos, retail sales rose 0.4% month-over-month, indicating a slowdown [3] Economic Outlook - The US economy continues to show resilience despite some moderation in retail sales [1][4] - Analysts believe the May data does not fundamentally challenge the narrative of a resilient economy, at least not yet [4] - The coming months will be crucial in determining whether this resilience can last, with inflation risks and policy changes ahead [4]

China's Economic Strategy & Consumer Market - China is strategically shifting away from export dependency on the US consumer by stimulating domestic consumption, which has been sluggish since COVID [3] - The Chinese government is using fiscal stimulus to support consumption, particularly for big-ticket items like washing machines and refrigerators [5] - Chinese retail sales rose more than expected due to stimulus measures like the consumer goods trade-in program [1] US-China Trade & Tech Competition - US companies, particularly Apple, are losing ground in the Chinese market due to US-China tensions and increasing domestic competition [6][7] - Huawei is dominating the smartphone market in China, while Tesla's market share in the EV space has significantly declined, now barely in the top 10 [8][9] - China is successfully implementing industrial policy, dominating the renewable energy sector and expanding into robotics, advanced manufacturing, and AI [9][10] Global Investment & US Economic Outlook - TPW Advisory is overweight on Chinese equity using US-listed ETFs and has been for over a year, also favoring emerging markets more broadly [10][11] - The US is perceived as being priced at a premium with governance and policy uncertainties, leading to a potential shift in global equity leadership away from the US [16][17] - There is a lack of appetite from domestic and foreign investors to significantly increase their treasury, dollar, or US equity positions [15] - The US is seen as falling behind in EVs and industrial policy compared to Europe and China, which are actively investing in AI, climate, and defense [21]