Deep Value Investing
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Hims & Hers: Why I'm Betting On HIMS Heading To $100
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-13 16:16
Group 1 - Michael Wiggins De Oliveira is an inflection investor, focusing on buying undervalued companies at pivotal moments when their profitability is expected to improve significantly over the next year [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes technology and the Great Energy Transition, including uranium, with a concentrated portfolio of approximately 15 to 20 stocks and an average holding period of 18 months [1] - Michael has over 10 years of experience analyzing companies in tech and energy sectors, and has built a following of over 40,000 on Seeking Alpha [2] Group 2 - The Investing Group Deep Value Returns, led by Michael, offers insights through its concentrated portfolio of value stocks, timely updates on stock picks, and a weekly webinar for live advice [3] - The group provides support for both new and experienced investors, fostering an active and vibrant community accessible via chat [3]
Nvidia: Potential $350B Upside From The 10GW Deal With OpenAI And Likely $10B From AMD
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-08 13:32
Core Insights - The investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The investment strategy involves identifying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A professional background check is conducted on each insider who purchased shares after a recent sell-off to ensure credibility [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but may also invest in companies from less stable economies [1]
Energy and Financials Lead This Week’s Deep Value Screen
Acquirersmultiple· 2025-10-08 03:16
Core Insights - The current investment landscape highlights persistent skepticism towards the Energy and Financial sectors, which are identified as undervalued [1] Financial Sector Summary - Bank of New York Mellon (BK) has an Acquirer's Multiple (AM) of 2.1 and a free cash flow (FCF) yield of 3.2%, while Synchrony Financial (SYF) shows an AM of 2.2 and an exceptional FCF yield of 37.2%, indicating a strong deep-value case in financials despite market concerns over credit and interest-rate risks [2] - The market's pricing reflects ongoing credit and interest-rate risks, which disciplined value investors may view as opportunities [2] Energy Sector Summary - Petrobras (PBR) trades at an AM of 4.1 with a 36.4% FCF yield, and Equinor (EQNR) has an AM of 2.7 with an 11.4% FCF yield and a near-double-digit dividend payout, showcasing a disconnect between strong cash generation and market doubts about fossil fuel demand [3] - Both Petrobras and Equinor maintain strong balance sheets and shareholder distributions, yet their valuations remain low [3] Healthcare Sector Summary - Molina Healthcare (MOH) appears with an AM of 6.0 and a 3.9% FCF yield, indicating consistent profitability and steady operating income growth, which is appealing in uncertain markets [4] Market Implications - The convergence of multiple sectors at the top of value screens signals broad-based pessimism regarding future earnings durability, particularly in Energy and Finance due to transition risks and credit concerns [5] - The presence of a healthcare company suggests selective investment opportunities beyond typical cyclical sectors [5] Conclusion - The value landscape is dominated by Energy and Financials, which offer high free cash flow and strong capital returns amidst market skepticism, presenting opportunities for patient contrarian investors [6] - Select healthcare names provide diversification, indicating fertile ground for disciplined value seekers in a cautious market environment [6]
Sezzle: Why 30x Forward FCF Still Makes Sense
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-15 13:09
Group 1 - Michael Wiggins De Oliveira is an inflection investor, focusing on buying undervalued companies at pivotal moments when their profitability is expected to improve significantly over the next year [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes technology and the Great Energy Transition, including uranium, with a concentrated portfolio of approximately 15 to 20 stocks and an average holding period of 18 months [1] - Michael has over 10 years of experience in analyzing companies, particularly in the tech and energy sectors, and has built a following of over 40,000 on Seeking Alpha [2] Group 2 - The Investing Group Deep Value Returns, led by Michael, offers insights through its concentrated portfolio of value stocks, timely updates on stock picks, and a weekly webinar for live advice [3] - The group provides "hand-holding" support for both new and experienced investors, fostering an active and vibrant community accessible via chat [3]
AppLovin (APP) Stock: Far From The Top Of Its Growth Cycle
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-12 16:04
Group 1 - The investor has a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% [1] - The investment strategy involves buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, especially when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, primarily using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, indicating a medium-term investment horizon [1]
Figma Q2 Earnings: From Hypergrowth Darling To Overpriced Risk
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-04 08:09
Group 1 - Michael Wiggins De Oliveira is an inflection investor, focusing on buying undervalued companies at pivotal moments when their profitability is expected to improve significantly over the next year [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes technology and the Great Energy Transition, including uranium, with a concentrated portfolio of approximately 15 to 20 stocks and an average holding period of 18 months [1] - Michael has over 10 years of experience in analyzing companies, particularly in the tech and energy sectors, and has built a following of over 40,000 on Seeking Alpha [2] Group 2 - The Investing Group Deep Value Returns, led by Michael, offers insights through its concentrated portfolio of value stocks, timely updates on stock picks, and a weekly webinar for live advice [3] - The group provides support for both new and experienced investors, fostering an active and vibrant community accessible via chat [3]
Alphabet: Strong Tailwind For Cloud If The New Siri Uses Gemini As A Base Model
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-03 20:59
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who buy shares post-sell-off, adding an additional layer of due diligence [1] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts, employing multicolor lines for clarity [1] - Trend lines are drawn in multicolor patterns to assist in visualizing market movements and potential price actions [1]
Devon Energy: Mispriced Upstream Play For Deep Value Investors
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-24 13:50
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting personal in-depth research and due diligence before making investment decisions, highlighting the inherent risks involved in trading [3]. Group 1 - The analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as professional investment advice [3]. - There is a clear disclaimer regarding the lack of any stock, option, or similar derivative positions in the companies mentioned, indicating a neutral stance [2]. - The article expresses that past performance does not guarantee future results, reinforcing the need for careful consideration by investors [4].
Pfizer: Shares Are Cheap, But They Could Get Even Cheaper Next Year
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-21 13:55
Group 1 - The investor has a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% [1] - The investment strategy involves buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, especially when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, primarily using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, indicating a medium-term investment horizon [1]
CrowdStrike: Slow Growth, Flat Margins, And A Rich Valuation
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-20 10:13
Core Insights - The investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The investment strategy involves identifying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A professional background check is conducted on each insider who purchased shares after a recent sell-off to ensure credibility [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but may also invest in companies from less stable economies [1]