分组1 - The Federal Reserve is experiencing significant internal division as it begins a two-day policy meeting, with some officials advocating for a rate hold while others warn of the need for caution, potentially leading to a hawkish rate cut [2][4][5] - Markets are anticipating a nearly 90% chance of a rate cut, but the outcome remains uncertain due to differing opinions among Fed officials [4][8] - President Trump has approved the export of Nvidia's H200 AI chips to China, with 25% of sales revenue directed to the US government, indicating a strategic move in the tech sector [2][30] 分组2 - Paramount's CEO has expressed strong opposition to a potential deal with Netflix, arguing it could harm the theatrical movie business in Hollywood, highlighting ongoing tensions in the media industry [3][30] - Paramount has made a $100 billion bid for Warner Brothers Discovery, intensifying competition in the media landscape [2][30] - The Bank of Japan is expected to raise rates, which could influence global monetary policy dynamics, particularly in relation to the Federal Reserve's decisions [10][17] 分组3 - Japanese equities have shown significant growth, with the NIK index rising approximately 16% this year, outperforming major US indices, driven by strong corporate profit growth and investment in technology [23][24] - The Bank of Japan's careful approach to monetary policy normalization is expected to continue, with a potential rate hike anticipated [17][20] - Domestic investors in Japan are beginning to shift funds from US treasuries back into Japanese government bonds as yields rise, indicating a change in investment behavior [27][29]

Group 1 - U.S. investors showed a cautious approach by investing approximately $104.75 billion into money market funds, marking the largest weekly net purchase since November 5 [1] - There was a net outflow of $3.52 billion from U.S. equity funds, indicating a second consecutive week of selling [2] - Mid-cap funds experienced a net outflow of $494.92 million for the seventh straight week, while small- and large-cap funds saw disposals of $1.18 billion and $476 million, respectively [2] Group 2 - Sectoral equity funds remained attractive, attracting around $510 million in net inflows, with industrials and gold and precious metals equity funds receiving inflows of $510 million and $293 million, respectively [3] - U.S. bond funds had a modest inflow of $314 million, the lowest since October 1 [3] - Short-to-intermediate investment-grade funds and municipal debt funds secured inflows of $1.45 billion and $737 million, while short-to-intermediate government and treasury funds faced a weekly outflow of $1.58 billion [4]

Group 1: Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery - Paramount Skydance launched a hostile takeover bid for Warner Bros. Discovery with a $30-per-share all-cash offer, surpassing Netflix's $27.75-per-share cash-and-stock offer [1] - CEO David Ellison emphasized the company's commitment to completing the acquisition process [1] Group 2: Market Reactions - Investors reacted positively to the news, resulting in a 9% increase in Paramount shares and a 4.4% rise in Warner Bros. Discovery's stock [2] - The market is currently buoyed by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, with a nearly 90% chance of a quarter-point cut anticipated [3] Group 3: Federal Reserve Expectations - The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting is creating cautious sentiment in the market, with potential downside risks if the expected rate cut does not occur [4] - Analysts suggest that if the Fed does not cut rates, markets could decline by 2% to 3% [4]

Company Developments - Paramount Skydance has initiated a hostile takeover bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, following Netflix's recent announcement of a deal to acquire HBO's parent company [1] - CEO David Ellison stated the company is committed to completing its acquisition efforts, offering $30 per share in cash, which surpasses Netflix's offer of $27.75 per share in cash and stock for Warner Bros. Discovery's assets [2] Market Reactions - The announcement of Paramount's bid resulted in a 9% increase in Paramount's stock price and a 4.4% rise in Warner Bros. Discovery's stock [2] Broader Market Context - Major U.S. indexes experienced a decline as investors awaited the Federal Reserve's upcoming rate-setting meeting, with a high probability of a quarter-point rate cut anticipated [4] - The market has been buoyed by expectations of a rate cut, but there are concerns about potential market downturns if the Fed does not meet these expectations [5]

Market Overview - US stock futures remained stable as the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting commenced, with investors anticipating a rate cut this week and focusing on potential easing in 2026 [1][2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 all traded flat, following modest losses on Monday [1] Company-Specific Developments - Nvidia's shares increased by up to 2% after President Trump approved the resumption of shipments of H200 AI chips to China, highlighting the company's role as a market driver [2] - Upcoming corporate earnings reports from Oracle, Broadcom, Costco, and Lululemon are expected to provide insights into trends in megacap AI and retail sectors [5] Economic Indicators - Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields reached their highest level in over two months but slightly retreated, indicating market reactions to the Fed's upcoming decisions [4] - The release of delayed JOLTS readings on job openings, quit rates, and layoffs for October will provide critical labor market data before the Fed's rate decision [4]

Market Overview - The trading day ended with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down more than 200 points, a decline of 0.4%, while the S&P 500 also saw a similar percentage drop. The NASDAQ composite decreased by approximately 0.1% and the NASDAQ 100 fell by about 0.25% [7][8] - The Russell 2000 index, however, showed resilience, finishing nearly flat, down by less than one point [8] Sector Performance - Most sectors in the S&P 500 were lower, with 345 names declining compared to 157 advancing. The worst-performing sector was communication services, down by 1.8%, followed by materials and consumer discretionary sectors also finishing in the red [9][10] - Nvidia was a notable gainer, contributing positively to the tech sector with a rise of about 0.9%. Broadcom also performed well, up by 2.8%, amid reports of potential collaboration with Microsoft [10][17] Mergers and Acquisitions - Warner Brothers Discovery was a significant focus, with its stock rising by approximately 4.5% after Paramount launched a hostile takeover bid at $30 per share, valuing the company at $108.4 billion including debt. This bid came shortly after Warner Brothers agreed to a deal with Netflix [12][13] - The competitive landscape is highlighted by the stark difference in offers, with Netflix's bid effectively valued at $32 per share when accounting for the spin-off of cable assets, compared to Paramount's cash offer [14] Company-Specific News - Netflix's stock has been under pressure, declining for four consecutive trading sessions, while Paramount's shares rose significantly following the hostile bid [19] - Air Products saw a decline after announcing a partnership with Yara International, which led to investor concerns [21] - Procter & Gamble's shares experienced a slight drop following analysts' recommendations to lower earnings estimates [22] - Marvell Technology faced significant losses after a downgrade from Benchmark Company and exclusion from the S&P 500 index [22] Corporate Strategies - PepsiCo is reportedly instructing its North American employees to work remotely, anticipating changes that could affect roles, which may be linked to an activist campaign by Elliott Investment Management aimed at cost-cutting measures [23][24]

Let's talk about it all with Kate Moore, chief investment officer at City Wealth. Kate, good to see you again. How relevant, if at all, maybe it's not, is this Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday.>> Look, it's super relevant. I think we can agree that everyone in the market is watching this and that, you know, participants, whether you're equity investors or multi-asset investors or rates investors, are really concerned with the tone of the Fed coming out of this rate decision. not so much the action itse ...

Let's ask David Wessel. He's the senior fellow in economic studies at Brookings. David, it's great to see you. >> Good to see you, Cali.>> Let's I guess go piece by piece here on the the rate cut itself. There will be those like Moran, I assume, pushing for a half point cut, but when you look at the backup in bond yields, you think that's this is probably not going to be the moment for that, right. >> I think that's right.He'll make his stand. Uh maybe he's still running for chair or something. And we know ...

Market Overview - Approximately 50.8% of issues are declining, with 316 of the S&P 500's 503 components experiencing declines [1] - The Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Dow are all dipping from record highs, with declines of -0.07%, -0.30%, and -0.45% respectively [1] Sector Performance - The Russell 2000 is up by 0.25%, driven by expectations for an interest rate cut later this week [2] - Nvidia shares increased by 2.6% amid news that the U.S. Commerce Department may allow exports of its last-gen H200 chips [2] Company News - Alphabet's stock fell by 2.7% despite a nearly 12% increase over the last month due to the launch of its new Gemini 3 AI model [3] - Toll Brothers reported 2,598 signed contracts for the recent quarter, exceeding Bloomberg analysts' expectations of 2,475, although profit margins compressed [5] - Wave Life Sciences and Structure Therapeutics saw significant stock increases of 132% and 102% respectively after promising results from a weight loss treatment trial [7] Earnings and Forecasts - Oppenheimer issued a bullish forecast for the S&P 500, projecting a year-end target of 8,100, representing a 17% increase from current prices [15] - The NY Fed reported that households expect one-year inflation to rise by 3.2% [16] Mergers and Acquisitions - Paramount Skydance launched a $30 per share bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, valuing the company at over $108 billion, complicating an existing deal with Netflix [12][13] - Carvana, CRH, and Comfort Systems are set to join the S&P 500, replacing LKQ Corp., Solstice Advanced Materials, and Mohawk Industries [18][19]

We’re expecting something of a hodge-podge of economic reports this week, to a delayed jobs number Tuesday to a new Fed rate decision Wednesday to fresh earnings numbers in-between “normal” reporting seasons. Pre-market futures are basically flat overall at this hour: -0.02% on the Dow, +0.11% for the S&P 500, +0.24% on the Nasdaq and a more-robust +0.45% on the small-cap Russell 2000 at this hour.Following a fairly meaningful dip the week before Thanksgiving, we’ve regained much of our upward trajectory. G ...