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Palantir slides on valuation concerns, AMD and Qualcomm earnings preview
Youtube· 2025-11-04 17:56
Market Overview - The market is experiencing a risk-off sentiment, with major indices showing declines, particularly the Nasdaq down about 1.1% [2][96] - Concerns over high valuations are impacting stock performance, especially following strong earnings reports from companies like Palantir [5][96] Palantir Technologies - Palantir reported strong third-quarter results, exceeding expectations with a run rate of over $4 billion and a growth rate of 63% [8][15] - Despite strong fundamentals, Palantir's stock is facing valuation concerns, trading at a price-to-sales ratio of approximately 85, the highest in the S&P 500 [11][12] - The company's government business grew by 50%, indicating strong demand for its services [9][15] - Analysts suggest that the stock's decline is more related to market sentiment rather than its financial performance [10][20] Uber Technologies - Uber's third-quarter revenue beat expectations, but concerns about future growth due to the potential impact of autonomous vehicles are weighing on its stock [27][28] - The introduction of autonomous vehicles could disrupt Uber's business model, leading to uncertainty about its future profitability [29][30] - Despite rising gross bookings, the market remains cautious about Uber's long-term outlook due to technological risks [32][34] Spotify Technology - Spotify reported strong third-quarter results, beating expectations on sales and user growth, and is planning for a leadership transition [41][42] - The company faces potential risks from consumer spending cuts, but its subscription service is seen as integral to users' lives [45][46] - Spotify's ad-supported revenue fell by 8% year-over-year, indicating challenges in its advertising model [48][49] General Market Sentiment - The overall market is experiencing a correction, with many tech stocks facing scrutiny over their valuations amid concerns of an AI bubble [96][102] - Companies like Nvidia and AMD are highlighted as key players in the AI space, but their valuations are considered frothy given the current market conditions [101][102] - Investors are advised to focus on companies with solid fundamentals and realistic growth prospects amidst the high valuation environment [104][115]
Michael Burry bets against Palantir and Nvidia, govt shutdown poised to be longest ever
Youtube· 2025-11-04 15:52
分组1 - US stock futures are under pressure due to concerns over Palanteer's high valuation, which has raised worries about the sustainability of the AI trade [1][6][19] - Palanteer exceeded analyst estimates for third-quarter sales and raised its annual revenue outlook, with the stock soaring over 170% this year [2][8] - Hedge fund manager Michael Bur has disclosed bearish bets on Palanteer and Nvidia, buying put options on 5 million shares of Palanteer, equating to approximately $912 million [19][20] 分组2 - Pfizer raised its 2025 profit forecast for the second time this year and initiated a $7 billion cost-cutting program, although its plans to acquire obesity startup Metsa are now in jeopardy due to a counter bid from Novo Nordisk [3] - Uber's shares are under pressure after missing third-quarter operating income and issuing an adjusted earnings forecast that fell short of analyst estimates [2][8] - Archer Daniels Midland reported a 19% decline in operating profit, prompting a reduction in full-year earnings guidance for the third consecutive quarter [43] 分组3 - The government shutdown is now on track to be the longest in US history, affecting over 40 million low-income Americans who were poised to lose access to SNAP benefits [4][5][27] - Senate Majority Leader John Thune indicated that lower-level talks among senators are showing signs of progress towards a potential deal to end the shutdown [28][29] 分组4 - BP reported better-than-expected quarterly profits, indicating that its turnaround plan is gaining traction, with expectations for investment and proceeds to exceed $4 billion for 2025 [44] - Tesla's stock is under pressure as a major shareholder votes against a proposed $1 trillion compensation package for CEO Elon Musk, citing its excessive size [41]
Drawdown Possibility "Blip on the Radar," HUM & CCJ & "Under the Radar" Earnings
Youtube· 2025-11-04 15:30
Market Reaction - Stocks are experiencing a pullback, influenced by comments from CEOs David Solomon and Ted Pick regarding a potential 10% to 20% correction over the next one to two years [1][2] - A 10% to 15% correction in a bull market is considered normal and could be a healthy sign for the market, allowing for reassessment of valuations [2][3] Market Conditions - Recent trading sessions have shown a spike in the repo market, indicating that some financial institutions may need capital, leading to increased high-yield credit spreads [4] - Despite the pullback, the market is still making higher highs and higher lows, maintaining the 20-day moving average for the S&P 500 [5] Volatility and Seasonal Trends - The VIX index is currently at 18, with expectations of a correction being discussed for some time [7] - November is traditionally a good month for stocks, raising questions about the duration of the current market conditions [7] Government Shutdown Impact - The ongoing government shutdown is in its 35th day, with a lack of economic data potentially reducing market volatility [9][10] - As the holiday season approaches, the impact of the shutdown may prompt Congress to negotiate a deal, affecting market sentiment [12] Federal Reserve Outlook - The labor market is a primary focus for Federal Reserve members, with indications that hiring is slowing, which may influence future monetary policy [13][15] - Market expectations suggest that a rate cut in December remains a possibility due to current economic trajectories [14] Company Focus: Humana - Humana is highlighted as a company to watch, particularly due to its exposure to Medicare and potential market share gains from United Health [18][20] - The stock is showing a bullish technical pattern, and a strong earnings report could positively impact the broader health insurance sector [19][20] Company Focus: Chemico (CCJ) - Chemico is noted for its involvement in uranium deals with the U.S. government, with potential for additional partnerships being a key point of interest [21][22] - The company's operations in Kazakhstan and Canada may benefit from reduced Russian uranium supplies, presenting a favorable outlook [22]
Strategy Inc (MSTR) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It
ZACKS· 2025-11-04 15:01
Strategy (MSTR) has been one of the most searched-for stocks on Zacks.com lately. So, you might want to look at some of the facts that could shape the stock's performance in the near term.Shares of this business software company have returned -26.4% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +2.1% change. The Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, to which Strategy belongs, has lost 3.8% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term?Whi ...
Norton: Extreme valuations mean a lot of good news is already priced in
CNBC Television· 2025-11-04 12:43
Well, I mean, I can't say I don't share their concerns about valuation. When we take a look at the broad market and of course technology, but sectors across the board, you do see valuations at extremes. I think those extreme valuations mean that a lot of good news is priced in.So even though we do see earnings deliver, I think a lot of the expectation was already there that we would see that. So any sort of um an question mark, you know, we have uh tariff cases, we have the the Federal Reserve and questions ...
Stocks Fall Amid Valuation Fears; Palantir Falls Despite Outlook Boost | Bloomberg Brief 11/04/2025
Bloomberg Television· 2025-11-04 12:20
DANI: IT’S 5 A. M. IN NEW YORK CITY.VONNIE QUINN IS ON ASSIGNMENT THIS MORNING. FUTURE STOP AS WALL STREET CEOS ONE OF AN EQUITY CORRECTION. MORE FROM THE SUN AND IN HONG KONG, COMING UP.A GUIDANCE BOOST IS NOT ENOUGH. PALANTIR IS EXTENDING POST EARNINGS DECLINE ON LOFTY VALUATIONS DESPITE SALES SURGE AND OUTLOOK RAISE. LIVE FROM SAO PAULO AT THE COP 30 CONFERENCE FOR CLIMATE.DON'T MISS OUR EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW. WE STARTED OUT IN NOVEMBER WITH TECH SURGING AND OUTPERFORMING AND NOT BEING THE THING TO CARRY U ...
X @The Wall Street Journal
Heard on the Street: For the second time ever, U.S. stocks have crossed a valuation milestone, suggesting low future returns https://t.co/VA5bRJjSsI ...
The Crazy Math Behind An OpenAI IPO
So, rumors are that OpenAI is considering an IPO in 2026 at a $1 trillion valuation. But I think that people are getting ahead of themselves with these rumors. And there's a lot to unpack in the story.First of all, OpenAI is reported to be doing $13 billion in revenue right now. That's a big number, but that ain't worth a trillion dollars. And the goal is to end this year on a $20 billion revenue run rate.That's good, but it would require the company to go public at a 50 times revenue multiple. And that fee ...
X @Ansem
Ansem 🧸💸· 2025-11-03 17:20
RT Cobie (@cobie)not sure if btc continues to provide diminishing returns but it is certainly possible (i choose to believe it wont for now)but alts (on average) will continue to get more difficult and dangerous to trade imo, irreversible trend.(1) massive competition amongst increasingly sophisticated buyers (who simultaneously believe less)(2) primarily traded on perps/with leverage.(3) huge dilution in coins with mkt valuing stuff high by default without justification(4) launch FDVs always capturing 100% ...
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE:BRK-A) Showcases Strong Financial Performance
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-11-03 14:05
Core Insights - Berkshire Hathaway Inc. reported an EPS of $9,378.93, exceeding estimates of $8,573.50, driven by strong performance in insurance and retail segments [2][6] - Operating earnings increased by 34% year-over-year, with net earnings attributable to shareholders rising to nearly $30.8 billion from $26.3 billion [3][6] - The company's stock is trading at attractive valuations, with a P/E ratio of 16.36 and a price-to-sales ratio of 2.74, following a 10.6% decline [4][6] Financial Performance - Revenue was reported at $94.97 billion, slightly below the estimated $95.62 billion, indicating resilience despite the shortfall [2] - The balance sheet is robust, featuring a cash reserve of $360 billion, a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19, and a high current ratio of 46.06, showcasing strong liquidity [5][6] Market Position - Berkshire Hathaway's unique structure and leadership differentiate it from competitors, which include large conglomerates and investment firms [1] - The company's strong financial position and strategic acquisitions contribute to its competitive edge in the market [1]