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Institutional investors bought the dip in stocks last week, BofA Global Research data show. ...

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street is experiencing a tech rout driven by AI valuation concerns, but there are opportunities for recovery through chart support and bullish seasonality [1] Group 1: Market Trends - Two tech ETFs, VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) and Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK), exhibit bullish seasonality that may help mitigate valuation pressures [2] - SMH has an average return of 8% in November over the last decade with a 90% win rate, currently 7.2% off its record high of $372.78 [5] - XLK shows a 5% average return and an 80% win rate for November, with a potential to recover above $300 from its current position [9] Group 2: Technical Analysis - SMH has chart support at its 40-day moving average, while XLK has not breached its 50-day moving average since May [5][9] - Options for both ETFs are currently affordable, with SMH's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) at 38% and XLK's SVI at 26%, indicating low volatility expectations [10] Group 3: Key Holdings and Events - Both SMH and XLK have Nvidia (NVDA) as their largest holding, accounting for 19% and 14% respectively, with Nvidia's earnings report expected to significantly impact both ETFs [11] - The options market anticipates a post-earnings move of 9.9% for Nvidia, which could positively influence the performance of the ETFs [11] Group 4: External Factors - Consumer sentiment and potential government shutdowns pose risks to earnings reports, creating uncertainty in the market [12]

Market Overview - Australian shares are expected to open with a moderate gain of up to 60 points, reflecting a +0.65% increase as part of a 'buy the dip' rally [1] - The U.S. tech sector showed significant strength, with the Nasdaq composite rising by +2.29% and the S&P 500 increasing by +1.5% [3] Company News - Commonwealth Bank (ASX:CBA) reported a slight increase in first-quarter profits, maintaining profit after tax at $2.6 billion, supported by resilient lending despite tech-related costs being a drag [4] - Activeport Group (ASX:ATV) announced the launch of its NNI Exchange in the Middle East, projecting to unlock $112 billion in the overseas AI market [4] - Pilbara Minerals (ASX:PLS) was a standout gainer, increasing by +9% [5] - Rox Resources (ASX:RXL) has commenced underground mining at its Youanmi Gold Project, marking a significant operational milestone [5] - Coles (ASX:COL) and TPG (ASX:TPG) are holding Annual General Meetings today, which may influence their stock performance [5] Commodity and Forex Update - The Australian dollar is trading at 65.3 U.S. cents [6] - Iron Ore prices increased by +0.9% to $102.15 per tonne, Brent Crude rose by +0.6% to $64.02 per barrel, and Gold is priced at $4,117 per ounce [6]

I'm always overreacting here to the possibility of an end to the shutdown. So it doesn't seem like this is really such a great catalyst for the size of the moves that we're seeing. Asian markets had a really good session.We had things like The Cosby Rising 3% everywhere you look. You know, it's very a risk on in a way that we don't always see. You've got all of the commodities pushing higher as well.As you were saying, Lizzy, equity futures are up, too. I mean, and the only thing that's changing really is I ...

Market Sentiment - The market is experiencing a positive sentiment, with Asian markets showing strong performance and commodities rising [1][2] - There is a belief that having an operational US government is beneficial for market stability, potentially leading to future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2] Economic Concerns - Despite the current optimism, there are underlying concerns about the fragility of the market, particularly in the tech sector, which may not sustain this positive sentiment for long [3][9] - Signs of weakness in the US economy are emerging, with lower-income groups facing challenges, indicating a K-shaped recovery [7][8] Consumer Behavior - Consumer sentiment data suggests a decline in spending, particularly noted in fast food retail earnings, which may reflect broader economic anxieties [8] - The increase in bad loans, such as auto loans, indicates potential financial stress among consumers [8] Market Dynamics - The "buy the dip" mentality remains strong, especially in the chip sector, as the market has rewarded this behavior throughout the year [4][5] - Historical perspectives suggest that markets tend to overlook government shutdowns unless they persist for an extended period [6]

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1 like and I buy the dip ...

Group 1 - Royal Caribbean (RCL) stock has experienced a significant decline of 20.8% in less than a month, dropping from $320.26 on October 27, 2025, to $253.57 currently, attributed to mixed quarterly earnings with lower than expected revenue growth and passenger numbers [1][4] - The company operates the world's largest cruise ship, Icon of the Seas, which cost $1.79 billion to build and can accommodate up to 7,600 passengers, indicating the scale and investment in its fleet [3] - Historical data shows that RCL stock has a median return of 26% over one year and a peak return of 39% following substantial dips of over 30% within 30 days, suggesting potential for recovery [4][6] Group 2 - RCL has met fundamental quality criteria, including revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength, which are essential for assessing the likelihood of a dip indicating declining business conditions [7] - The Trefis High Quality Portfolio includes stocks like RCL that have a history of outperforming benchmarks such as the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices, highlighting the potential for superior returns with reduced risk [7]

“ Buy the dip ”Bro with what money ????I’ve seen like 1036 dips in last 100 days ...