In a recent analysis, we discussed that Stephen Miran and follow-up appointees are likely to take the Fed Funds rate lower. This of course, has implications on much of the investment universe, but this article will be focused on the individual securities that stand to benefit the most. There are 3 main topics we want to cover: Will cuts to the short end of the interest rate curve impact the long end? Investment dollars pushed out the risk curve Interest expense savings of capital-intensive companies Curve ...

The US dollar has been steadily falling all year. For US-based investors, that can give you a nice tailwind – in GLOBAL stocks and funds. Find out what’s driving this dynamic market – and how can you profit – from MoneyShow experts this week.Mike Larson MoneyShow.comIn this episode of the MoneyShow MoneyMasters Podcast, emerging markets legend Dr. Mark Mobius shares his outlook on global markets, from Asia’s top growth engines to Latin America’s reform stories.Mobius explains why China is outperforming Indi ...

By Lewis Krauskopf NEW YORK (Reuters) -Next week's U.S. jobs data may need to tread a fine line for Wall Street, revealing a cooling labor market that supports further interest rate cuts without fueling fears about a recession. While stocks have edged lower this week, U.S. equity indexes remain near record highs after a relentless rally that has put the benchmark S&P 500 on pace for its best third-quarter performance since 2020. Some investors say the market's ascent is making stocks vulnerable to any ...

Market Overview - U.S. stocks experienced a rise on Friday, with the S&P 500 increasing by 0.6%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining 299 points (0.7%), and the Nasdaq composite adding 0.4%, helping to reduce weekly losses [1][2] Inflation and Economic Impact - Inflation in the U.S. accelerated to 2.7% in August from 2.6% in July, which, while above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, aligned with economists' forecasts [2][3] - The expectation of continued interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is critical for Wall Street, as it has contributed to a significant rise in U.S. stocks since April [3][4] Tariffs and Market Reactions - President Trump's announcement of new tariffs on imports, including pharmaceutical drugs and heavy trucks, has the potential to increase inflation, although details were limited [5][6] - The stock market reacted with mixed results; Paccar, associated with truck brands, rose by 5.2%, while major pharmaceutical companies like Eli Lilly and Pfizer saw slight increases of 1.4% and 0.7%, respectively [6] - Companies in the home furnishings sector experienced volatility, with Williams-Sonoma fluctuating between gains and losses, while RH dropped by 4.2% [7] Company-Specific Performance - Costco Wholesale's stock fell by 2.9% despite reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly profits, attributed to slower membership renewal rates and disappointing underlying revenue growth [8]

Group 1: Oil Price Movements - Oil prices increased due to Ukraine's drone attacks on Russia's energy infrastructure, leading to a reduction in fuel exports from Russia. Brent futures rose to $70.13 per barrel, up 71 cents (1.02%), while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude finished at $65.72 per barrel, gaining 74 cents (1.14%) [1] - Both Brent and WTI benchmarks are on track to register their largest increases since mid-June [1] Group 2: Geopolitical Factors - The situation between Russia and Ukraine remains a focal point for the markets, with drone attacks by Ukraine contributing to rising oil prices [2] - Russia is implementing a partial ban on diesel exports until the end of the year and extending an existing ban on gasoline exports, which has resulted in fuel shortages in several Russian regions [2] Group 3: U.S. Government Actions and Economic Data - U.S. government actions, including pressure from President Trump on allies to reduce Russian imports, are supportive of rising oil prices. There are expectations that countries like India and Turkey may reduce their Russian imports [3] - The U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an upwardly revised annualized rate of 3.8% in the last quarter, which may influence oil demand positively [5] - However, stronger-than-expected economic data could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to be more cautious about further interest rate cuts, which could impact demand dynamics [5] Group 4: Supply Dynamics - Crude oil exports from Iraq's semi-autonomous Kurdistan region are set to resume, which may affect overall supply levels in the market [4] - The market is closely monitoring Kurdish production to assess its impact on supply [4]

Stocks were on track for their third straight day of losses on Thursday. Major indexes slipped, led by top tech names. Strong economic data sent yields higher, while AI bullishness waned. The record-setting rally in stocks is stumbling this week. US stocks dropped on Thursday as traders took in strong economic data, revised their expectations for Fed rate cuts, and took in wearing momentum in the AI trade. All three major US indexes slipped lower in the early morning, putting them on track for the ...

Key Points The trajectory of interest rates will have a big effect on crypto prices. New data this morning pointed to an economy on sound footing. 10 stocks we like better than XRP › Most cryptocurrencies continued to struggle today after a flash crash earlier this week that may have removed some leverage out of the space. Today, however, investors seem more focused on economic data as they continue to grapple over how many interest rate cuts the Federal Reserve will make between now and the end of ...

All of those things would seem to suggest that this is an economy in trouble. Not so according to the economic data released in the last hour. It showed the US economy growing at the fastest pace in nearly two years, thanks to consumer spending, though apparently not on used cars.Fed Governor Stephen Myron spoke to Bloomberg ahead of that data on the next steps for the Fed. My view is not one of enormous economic pessimism. You know, I don't think the economy is about to crater. I don't think the labor mark ...

When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, like it did in September 2025, the best sectors to watch are those tied to consumer spending. Lower borrowing costs ease credit card pressures and free up cash for discretionary purchases. This is why airline stocks have seen such strong momentum in recent quarters, a trend that is likely to continue in the short term. Among exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the First Trust Nasdaq Transportation ETF NASDAQ: FTXR has delivered a robust 11.6% return to its shareholder ...

Market Overview - U.S. stocks have declined for two consecutive days, with the S&P 500 down but still up nearly 13% year to date, indicating a generally positive market sentiment despite recent declines [1] - Futures market is marginally down before the opening bell, suggesting investors are not expecting significant market movements today [1] Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - The U.S. Federal Reserve has indicated that further interest rate cuts are likely, which is expected to positively impact stocks in the future [2] Valuation Concerns - The S&P 500's price/earnings (P/E) ratio has reached 30, a level that historically signals potential market downturns, indicating that large-cap stocks are expensive by historical standards [3] - Analysts suggest that high valuations may lead to lower returns over an extended period and increase the risk of a market correction [3] Market Dynamics - Despite high valuations, there is a prevailing belief among investors that the market will continue to rise before any significant correction occurs, largely due to anticipated Fed rate cuts [4] - Historical trends suggest that when the Fed cuts rates while stocks are at record highs, the market tends to move higher [5] Sector Influence - The S&P 500 is primarily driven by a select group of tech stocks, referred to as the "Magnificent Seven," and significant investment in AI technology [5] - A downturn in the fortunes of AI companies could have serious repercussions for the broader market, with some analysts suggesting that without AI spending, the U.S. economy would be in recession [5][6] Future Expectations - Expectations are that the surge in AI capital expenditure will continue until there are doubts about its profitability, making it a significant theme for the future [7] - Companies like Nvidia are seen as pivotal to global macroeconomic trends, highlighting the concentrated risk in the market [7]