Welcome back to Morning Trade Live. It's time now for the big picture. Let's welcome in Colin Martin, head of fixed income research and strategy, Schwab Center for Financial Research.So Colin, it's a global fixed income story for us this morning with those higher yields off the back of what we got from the BOJ last night. I mean, we've got the 10year, what are we at right now. 414.We're pushing 415 this morning. Japan's 10year high since 99. We're looking at 30-year yields in France, high since ' 09.What do ...

Group 1 - The importance of investing retirement savings to ensure growth that outpaces inflation [1] - Common mistakes to avoid when investing in IRA or 401(k) plans in 2026 [2] - Investing too conservatively can lead to insufficient retirement savings, with a comparison of potential outcomes based on different investment strategies [3][4][5] Group 2 - The risks of selling off assets during stock market downturns and the importance of maintaining a long-term investment perspective [6][8] - Recommendations for managing investments based on proximity to retirement, emphasizing the need for a balanced approach [9]

All right, first though, let's get some breaking economic data that's just crossing. Rick Santelli has it for us. Rick.>> Yes, David, indeed. These are the December final reads on University of Michigan sentiment and the inflation metrics embedded in this report. So, the midmon read gets tossed. 53.3% was the midmon read on the headline.It now moves lower to 52.9%. That'll be the weakest since it was 51 in November. And I'd like to point out that if you look at the absolute low, it is 50 from June of 22.We' ...

Market Overview - U.S. stock markets opened higher on December 19, 2025, following a volatile week, with major indexes buoyed by cooler-than-expected inflation data for November, raising hopes for potential Federal Reserve rate cuts in the new year [1][2] - The S&P 500 Index opened at 6,792.62 points, up 17.86 points or 0.26 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index opened at 23,121.90 points, up 115.54 points or 0.50 percent, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average opened at 47,974.82 points, up 22.97 points or 0.05 percent [2] Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter-point to a range of 3.50%-3.75% during its final meeting of 2025, but further cuts are not guaranteed without significant weakening in the job market [3] - Economic reports are expected to be viewed with skepticism due to distortions caused by a recent government shutdown [3][4] Upcoming Economic Data - Key economic data releases include Final GDP q/q, Core PCE Price Index, Existing Home Sales, and Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment, which are critical for assessing inflation and consumer behavior [4] Quadruple Witching Impact - "Quadruple witching" is occurring today, with a record $7.1 trillion in options expiring, which could lead to increased market volatility [5] Corporate Developments - Oracle (ORCL) shares rose 5.5% on news of a potential joint venture with ByteDance for TikTok's U.S. operations, granting American investors a controlling stake [6] - Micron Technology (MU) shares jumped nearly 5% after a strong earnings report, with a 10% surge the previous day, driven by demand for AI memory solutions [7] - Nike (NKE) shares fell over 10% due to weaker-than-expected revenue from China and higher tariffs impacting gross margins [8] - FedEx (FDX) reported revenue of $23.47 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $4.82, but shares remained flat [9] - Winnebago (WGO) shares soared 12% after strong fiscal first-quarter results and an increased full-year outlook [9] - Darden Restaurants (DRI) reported second-quarter revenue of $3,102.1 million, exceeding estimates, leading to a 1.8% rise in shares [10] - Cintas Corporation (CTAS) shares gained 1.3% after reporting earnings of $1.21 per share, beating expectations [10] - Enerpac Tool Group Corp. (EPAC) shares declined 8.8% after missing earnings estimates [10] Global Economic Developments - The Bank of Japan raised its key policy rate to 0.75%, the highest since 1995, contributing to a rise in global shares [11]

We continue to take a look at a lot of the movers this morning. Diane King Hall joins me and we're taking a look here first at Carnival Cruise. Good morning. Good morning to you, Nicole.So this morning with its results, Carnival's results coming about 15 minutes ago. It was a mixed picture for the quarter. They did have a strong year.Let's go through the trailing quarter. Adjusted EPS coming in at 34 cents a share. Much better than expected.The street was just looking for 25 cents per share. Uh revenue came ...

Economic Outlook - The administration anticipates the largest tax refund cycle in U.S. history, with significant refund checks expected for many Americans [1][2] - Families are projected to save between $11,000 and $20,000 annually due to tax changes [2] Wage Growth and Inflation - Real wages for typical workers are reportedly growing at a rate of about 2% to 2.5%, with a 3.7% increase in wages against a 1.6% core inflation rate [4] - Blue-collar workers have seen an estimated raise of nearly $2,000 this year after accounting for inflation [4] Economic Sentiment - Despite concerns from the public, with 44% feeling financially strained and 74% rating the economy poorly, the administration maintains a positive outlook on economic growth [4] - The administration's strategy focuses on increasing aggregate supply to exert downward pressure on prices, similar to trends observed during Trump's first term [6]

>> WHY DON'T WE GET OVER TO STEVE LIESMAN. HE'S GOT A VERY SPECIAL GUEST THIS MORNING. A SPECIAL INTERVIEW WITH NEW YORK FED PRESIDENT JOHN WILLIAMS.STEVE. >> ANDREW. THANK YOU.YES, I AM HERE AT THE NEW YORK FED WHERE I'VE BEEN. WE DON'T KNOW HOW MANY YEARS IN A ROW NOW, BUT SEVERAL WITH PRESIDENT JOHN WILLIAMS FOR A TRADITIONAL DECEMBER HOLIDAY INTERVIEW. WELL, WELCOME BACK, STEVE.THANKS. AND JOHN, I WAS JUST REMARKING ABOUT HOW GREAT OUR TEAMS ARE WHO SCHEDULED THIS MONTHS IN ADVANCE, KNEW THERE WOULD BE ...

>> WHY DON'T WE GET OVER TO STEVE LIESMAN. HE'S GOT A VERY SPECIAL GUEST THIS MORNING. A SPECIAL INTERVIEW WITH NEW YORK FED PRESIDENT JOHN WILLIAMS.STEVE. >> ANDREW. THANK YOU.YES, I AM HERE AT THE NEW YORK FED WHERE I'VE BEEN. WE DON'T KNOW HOW MANY YEARS IN A ROW NOW, BUT SEVERAL WITH PRESIDENT JOHN WILLIAMS FOR A TRADITIONAL DECEMBER HOLIDAY INTERVIEW. WELL, WELCOME BACK, STEVE.THANKS. AND JOHN, I WAS JUST REMARKING ABOUT HOW GREAT OUR TEAMS ARE WHO SCHEDULED THIS MONTHS IN ADVANCE, KNEW THERE WOULD BE ...

Core Viewpoint - The S&P 500 is expected to experience growth in the upcoming year due to a combination of slowing inflation, a more dovish Federal Reserve chair, and continued positive U.S. GDP growth, despite a decline in enthusiasm surrounding AI [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The equity market serves as a powerful mechanism for wealth creation or destruction over the long term through daily price fluctuations [1] - The current market conditions are favorable for growth, driven by macroeconomic factors [1] Group 2: Investment Focus - Pacifica Yield aims to focus on long-term wealth creation by targeting undervalued high-growth companies, high-dividend stocks, REITs, and green energy firms [1]

>> WHY DON'T WE GET OVER TO STEVE LIESMAN. HE'S GOT A VERY SPECIAL GUEST THIS MORNING. A SPECIAL INTERVIEW WITH NEW YORK FED PRESIDENT JOHN WILLIAMS.STEVE. >> ANDREW. THANK YOU.YES, I AM HERE AT THE NEW YORK FED WHERE I'VE BEEN. WE DON'T KNOW HOW MANY YEARS IN A ROW NOW, BUT SEVERAL WITH PRESIDENT JOHN WILLIAMS FOR A TRADITIONAL DECEMBER HOLIDAY INTERVIEW. WELL, WELCOME BACK, STEVE.THANKS. AND JOHN, I WAS JUST REMARKING ABOUT HOW GREAT OUR TEAMS ARE WHO SCHEDULED THIS MONTHS IN ADVANCE, KNEW THERE WOULD BE ...