Group 1 - Tesla has disrupted the auto industry by making electric vehicles (EVs) appealing to the mass market, leading to a valuation of approximately $1.3 trillion [1] - Over the past five years, Tesla's stock has increased by 186%, turning an initial investment of $5,000 into $14,290, despite significant volatility [3] - The current valuation of Tesla is considered excessive, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 250, as the market focuses on future potential rather than current weak EV demand and profitability [4][7] Group 2 - Investors are optimistic about Elon Musk's vision for the future, which includes potential profits from robotaxis and humanoid robots, making current valuation concerns less significant [5] - Long-time Tesla shareholders have seen substantial returns, but the valuation is based on expectations of a different business landscape in the future [7]

Core Insights - Tesla has introduced cheaper versions of its Model Y and Model 3 to potentially boost sales and deliveries after the expiration of the federal EV tax credit at the end of September [1][2] - The new models are seen as a demand filler, but the core auto business is still facing significant headwinds, which may limit their impact on stock performance [3][4] Pricing and Market Dynamics - The cheaper models are priced around $39,000 to $37,000, which is a reduction compared to the previous tax credit of $7,500, but may not be sufficient to stimulate demand [6][8] - A 19% drop in unit deliveries is expected for the next quarter, following a record delivery of 497,000 units last quarter [8] Margin and Profitability - The introduction of cheaper models is likely to be dilutive to margins, as the auto segment is currently valued less despite generating the most revenue [5][6] - The energy business, while only 15% of revenue, contributes to 25% of profitability, indicating a potential area for growth amidst challenges in the auto sector [10][11] Competitive Landscape - Tesla's strategy appears to pivot towards capital efficiency and autonomy, with less focus on introducing new models to compete in the traditional auto market [4][5] - The company is navigating a tougher environment, as indicated by recent comments from competitors like BMW, Mercedes, and Porsche regarding their own guidance [12]

Core Insights - Tesla is releasing lower-content versions of its Models Y and 3, which are seen as a response to the need for cheaper vehicles in a competitive market [7] - The price cuts of around $5,000 do not fully compensate for the lost $7,500 tax credit, leaving the new models closer to $40,000 than $30,000 [7] - The new trims reflect a shift in strategy, focusing on cost-cutting rather than innovation, as features are removed or downgraded [7] Market Context - The U.S. electric vehicle market is facing increased competition and a shrinking domestic market, necessitating more affordable options [7] - Tesla's last new model, the Cybertruck, has not performed well in sales, highlighting challenges in maintaining market leadership [7] - Other automakers, like Ford, are pursuing innovative approaches to EV production, contrasting with Tesla's current strategy [7] Strategic Shift - Tesla has been shifting its focus away from core EV sales towards projects like robotaxis and robots, which are now central to its valuation [7] - The upcoming vote on Musk's proposed compensation package is influenced by the company's strategic pivot and recent positive news, including updates on Full Self Driving software [5][7] - The new vehicle trims may not significantly boost sales but are part of a broader strategy to maintain market presence [5][7]

Robotaxi Safety - Robotaxis are likely saving lives due to fewer accidents compared to human drivers [1] Regulatory Landscape - Regulators are acting as a roadblock against the deployment of robotaxis [1]

Core Insights - Tesla and Rivian reported third-quarter vehicle deliveries exceeding consensus estimates, with Tesla delivering approximately 497,000 vehicles (up 7% year-over-year) and Rivian delivering 13,200 vehicles (up 32% year-over-year) [2][4] Tesla - The third-quarter deliveries for Tesla surpassed Goldman Sachs' estimate of 455,000 vehicles, indicating strong demand potentially driven by the impending expiration of the federal EV tax credit [2][5] - Tesla's US sales are estimated to have increased by over 10% year-over-year, although sales in Europe and China experienced a year-over-year decline [6] - The expiration of the federal tax credit is expected to create a "double-digit percent headwind" for the market in upcoming quarters, but new vehicle launches, such as the Model Y L and lower-cost models, may provide a significant tailwind [4][6] - The price target for Tesla has been raised from $395 to $425, maintaining a Neutral rating, with the increase attributed to strong performance in the US market [5][6] - Key topics for Tesla's future include vehicle delivery outlook, automotive margins, advancements in robotaxis and Full Self-Driving (FSD), and growth in Tesla Energy and other segments [7] Rivian - Rivian's third-quarter deliveries of 13,200 vehicles slightly missed Goldman Sachs' estimate of 13,950 but exceeded the consensus estimate of 12,700 [2][8] - Rivian has adjusted its full-year delivery guidance down by 500 vehicles at the midpoint, now implying 42,500 vehicle deliveries, which aligns with Goldman Sachs' estimate [8] - The analyst maintains a Neutral rating on Rivian with a price target of $15, emphasizing the importance of increased volumes, margins, vertical integration, cash burn, and supply chain management as key focus areas [9] Stock Performance - Tesla's stock is down 2.2% to $426.45, with a year-to-date increase of 12.4% [10] - Rivian's stock is down 0.7% to $13.44, with a year-to-date increase of 1.4% [10]

Company Focus - Tesla's energy storage and generation business is undervalued [1] - Tesla's growth potential lies in energy, Robotaxis, and AI, beyond EV sales [1] Future Growth Drivers - Tesla's power potential is a key future profit driver [1] Investment Strategy - Bryn Talkington shares her strategy for navigating the TSLA stock [1] Market Perspective - Investors remain optimistic about Tesla despite weaker EV sales and margins [1]

Since robotaxis have fewer accidents than human drivers, they are almost certainly saving lives. Yet regulators are acting as a roadblock against them https://t.co/22K9qezitA ...

Core Insights - Tesla's third-quarter deliveries exceeded Wall Street estimates, driven by a surge in US EV buyers seeking to secure tax credits before their expiration at the end of September [1][5] - Concerns about declining sales in upcoming quarters due to the end of the $7,500 federal tax credit have negatively impacted the company's stock [2][3] Delivery Performance - Tesla delivered 497,099 vehicles in the third quarter, marking a 7.4% increase from 462,890 vehicles in the same period last year [4][6] - The company delivered 481,166 units of the Model 3 and Model Y in the September quarter, surpassing Wall Street expectations [5] Market Challenges - European sales, including the UK, dropped by 22.5% year-over-year in August, reducing Tesla's market share to 1.5% [4] - The company anticipates a decline in fourth-quarter sales, consistent with trends observed in the first half of the year, primarily due to the expiration of the US tax credit [3] Future Projections - Full-year 2025 deliveries are projected to be around 1.61 million, approximately 10% lower than 2024, with a need to deliver 389,498 vehicles in the December quarter to meet this target [5][13] - The introduction of a lower-cost Model Y is delayed, which analysts believe is crucial for maintaining sales momentum post-tax credit [11][12] Strategic Focus - Tesla is positioning itself as a technology company, emphasizing AI-based self-driving systems and other innovations [9] - The company is exploring the launch of more affordable models to mitigate the impact of the anticipated sales slowdown [12]

While robotaxis are accelerating, they’re not expected to meaningfully reshape the world’s passenger vehicle fleet until the mid-2030s https://t.co/1U1bSPxVXs ...

Tesla TodayTSLATesla$443.21 +2.81 (+0.64%) 52-Week Range$212.11▼$488.54P/E Ratio256.19Price Target$332.33Add to WatchlistShares of electric vehicle (EV) giant Tesla Inc. NASDAQ: TSLA closed last week at $440, marking the stock's highest finish of 2025 so far. It capped off a remarkable run of more than 100% since April’s lows and nearly 30% in the past two weeks alone. Ongoing optimism around the company’s non-EV initiatives and CEO Elon Musk’s recent $1 billion insider buy have sent the stock soaring, wit ...