Core Viewpoint - Tesla's overall performance in 2025 showed a decline in revenue and net profit, with total revenue decreasing by 2.9% year-on-year to $94.83 billion and Non-GAAP net profit down by 26.4% to $5.86 billion [4] Group 1: Automotive Business Performance - In Q4 2025, Tesla's global delivery volume decreased by 15.6% year-on-year and 15.9% quarter-on-quarter to 418,000 units, with automotive revenue declining by 10.6% year-on-year and 16.6% quarter-on-quarter to $17.69 billion [5] - The average selling price (ASP) of vehicles was approximately $41,000, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.3% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.6% [5] - The automotive gross margin, excluding regulatory credits, improved by 4.3 percentage points year-on-year and 2.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter to 17.9%, primarily due to optimization in sales region structure [5] Group 2: Energy Business Performance - In Q4 2025, Tesla's energy storage installation volume increased by 29% year-on-year and 14% quarter-on-quarter to 14.2 GWh, with energy business revenue rising by 25.4% year-on-year and 12.4% quarter-on-quarter to $3.84 billion [5] - The gross margin for the energy business was 28.6%, showing a year-on-year increase of 3.4 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.8 percentage points [5] - The outlook for the energy business remains positive, driven by the launch of Megapack 3, Megablock, and the ramp-up of the Shanghai energy storage factory [5] Group 3: AI Transition and Future Outlook - Tesla is expected to focus on AI transformation across its business segments, with the rollout sequence anticipated to be Robo-series, Unsupervised FSD, and robotics [6] - The Robotaxi fleet has rapidly scaled to 500 vehicles as of January 29, 2026, with plans for the Cybercab to enter mass production in Q2 2026 [6] - The management has indicated that by the end of 2026, Robotaxi services will expand to several major cities in the U.S., supported by Tesla's comprehensive charging, service, and channel network [6]

Core Viewpoint - Tesla Inc. has experienced a decline in sales for the second consecutive year, with its share price retreating 4.0% in the past week, while being overtaken by BYD as the world's largest seller of fully electric vehicles. Despite this, Tesla's stock remains 46.8% higher than six months ago, outperforming the S&P 500 during that period [1]. Financial Performance - Tesla's stock is only 9.4% higher than a year ago, underperforming the Nasdaq. However, since its IPO on June 29, 2010, the stock has seen a meteoric rise of 27,050% [2]. - Tesla's revenues have shown significant growth over the years, with projected revenues for 2023 at $96.773 billion and a net income of $14.997 billion. The company has seen a steady increase in revenues from $4.046 billion in 2015 to $81.462 billion in 2022 [6]. Key Drivers for Performance - Improved Margins: Tesla has been cutting manufacturing costs and expanding margins, leading to strong revenue and net income gains since 2020. The establishment of gigafactories in Shanghai and Berlin is expected to reduce export-related costs and increase sales [7]. - R&D Advancements: Tesla is leading in the development of Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology and robotaxi initiatives, with plans to deploy 500 robotaxis in Austin and 1,000 in Silicon Valley by year-end [8]. - Diversified Business Segments: Tesla's growth in its Supercharger, energy, and battery businesses distinguishes it from its EV peers, with plans for a new Optimus robot production line in Fremont, California [9]. Stock Forecast - Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target for Tesla is $401.40 per share, with some analysts maintaining Buy-equivalent ratings based on long-term outlooks. The highest price target is set at $600 by Wedbush [10]. - The projected revenue growth for Tesla is expected to climb from $112.09 billion in 2025 to $297.43 billion in 2030, with normalized EPS growth from $1.91 in 2025 to $11.24 in 2030. The year-end 2026 price target is $461.73, suggesting a 7% upside potential in the next 12 months [11].

Market Overview - On the second trading day of the new year, the market showed strong performance with significant volume increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index rising by 1.5%, 1.4%, and 0.75% respectively, and over 4,100 stocks gaining while more than 1,200 stocks declined [4] - The total trading volume exceeded 2.8 trillion yuan, indicating heightened market activity [4] Autonomous Driving Sector - The autonomous driving sector experienced a strong rally, with stocks like Suoling Co., Zhejiang Shibao, and others hitting the daily limit, leading to an overall increase of 2.38% in the sector [7] - The surge was catalyzed by NVIDIA's announcement at CES regarding the release of the open-source AI model and tools, which are aimed at accelerating the development of next-generation safe autonomous driving technologies [7][8] - The new model, Alpamayo-R1, is noted for its high interpretability, addressing the "black box" issue of traditional algorithms, which is crucial for the implementation of Level 4 autonomous driving [8] Financial Sector - The financial sector showed robust performance with significant gains across various stocks, including Huayin Securities and Huasheng Securities, which hit the daily limit [11] - The sector saw increases of 3.73% for brokerage firms, 3.82% for insurance, and 2.02% for financial technology companies, driven by a notable increase in trading volume and a bullish market sentiment [11] - The Shanghai Composite Index managed to stay above the 4,000-point mark, marking a significant milestone with a record 13 consecutive days of gains [11] HeSai Technology - HeSai Technology was selected by NVIDIA as a laser radar partner for the "NVIDIA DRIVE AGX Hyperion 10 platform," leading to a stock price increase of 5.9% [12] - The stock's performance was somewhat muted due to its exclusion from the Hong Kong Stock Connect, limiting A-share investor participation [12] KeLan Software - KeLan Software opened 4% higher but experienced a decline before a significant rally in the afternoon, closing up 5.38% [14] - The stock's initial rise was attributed to its association with commercial aerospace, while the afternoon surge was linked to its connection with brain-computer interface concepts, highlighting its position in the financial technology sector [14]

Core Insights - Tesla Inc.'s share price has decreased by 6.4% in the past week due to warnings of a significant drop in fourth-quarter deliveries and a supplier contract restatement indicating declining demand for the Cybertruck, although the stock remains 43.1% higher than six months ago [1] - The stock is only 8.9% higher than a year ago, underperforming the Nasdaq, but has seen a remarkable increase of 28,500% since its IPO in June 2010 [2] - Investors are focused on Tesla's future performance over the next one, five, and ten years, with a consensus that long-term projections are more relevant than short-term forecasts [3] Tesla's Recent Success - Tesla has achieved revenue and earnings growth even in high-interest-rate environments, with its Model S and Model 3 being top-selling electric vehicles in their respective years [4] - The company has seen revenue growth from its energy storage business and charging station network [5] Financial Performance - Tesla's revenue and net income have shown significant growth over the years, with revenues increasing from $4.046 billion in 2015 to $96.773 billion in 2023, and net income rising from $888.7 million in 2015 to $14.997 billion in 2023 [6] Key Drivers for Performance - Improved margins due to cost-cutting measures and the establishment of gigafactories in Shanghai and Berlin are expected to enhance sales and reduce export-related costs [7] - Research and development in Full Self-Driving (FSD) and robotaxi technologies position Tesla ahead of competitors, with plans for 500 robotaxis in Austin and 1,000 in Silicon Valley by year-end [8] - Tesla's diversified business segments, including Supercharger, energy, and battery businesses, contribute to its competitive edge [9] - Plans for a large Optimus robot production line in Fremont, California, indicate further expansion [10] Stock Forecast - Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target for Tesla is $399.15 per share, which is 12.2% lower than the recent closing price, with several firms maintaining Buy-equivalent ratings [11] - A forecast through 2030 suggests revenue growth from $112.09 billion in 2025 to $297.43 billion in 2030, with normalized EPS growth projected from $1.91 in 2025 to $11.24 in 2030 [12]

大家好我是大鱼 想像一下 一个CEO 六年来不拿 一分钱薪水 却带领公司 市值从500亿 暴冲到万亿级 让股东财富 翻倍成长 如今德拉瓦 最高法院一致裁定 取消他的奖励 太不公平 这1400亿美元 的薪酬计划 终于全面复活！ 这到底是对 马斯克价值的肯定 还是公司治理 的转折点？ 大家不要错过 今天的精彩内容 OK let's go 特斯拉的股票 周五收盘是481.2% 全天下跌了 2.17%美元 跌幅是0.45% 成交量是 8598万股 最近华尔街 这些分析师 终于坐不住了 一个接一个 调高Tesla的 目标价 就这几天 Mizuho直接 把目标价从 475拉到530 Deutsche Bank 从470调到500 还维持买入评级 Truist也从406 上修到444 虽然还是Hold 但也算给面子了 说真的 看到这些数字 我第一反应是 越来越多人 能看懂Tesla了 他们都把焦点 放在FSD的进步上 尤其是Robotaxi 这块大饼 Mizuho的 分析师直说 FSD如果继续改善 就能加速在 Austin和San Francisco 扩大无人车队 甚至有可能 提前把那个 安全陪驾员给踢掉 他们还拿 Way ...

大家好我是大鱼 2025年至今 Tesla在英国 狂卖超4万辆 市占近10% 力压 Volkswagen！ Model Y与3 横扫EV冠亚军 纯靠产品实力 不需补贴 或者价格战 但欧洲大陆 却是另一番景象 FSD Supervised 2026年2月荷兰首试 成败将决定 Tesla能否 席卷全欧洲 否则将继续 被监管卡住 Tesla欧洲命运 即将揭晓 大家不要错过 今天的精彩内容 OK let's go 第一部分： Tesla英国 狂卖4万辆 英国人现在买电动车 好像眼睛 只盯着Tesla！ 看看这数据 2025年到现在 Tesla在英国 卖了42270辆 市占率直接 冲到9.6% 稳稳压过 Volkswagen的8% 最猛的是Model Y 卖了18890辆 Model 3紧跟在后 16361辆 直接包办 EV销售冠亚军 第三名的 Audi Q4 e-tron 才1万多辆 差远了 这什么概念？ 英国人买电动车 两台里面 就有一台可能 是Tesla的车型 说真的 看到英国 这销售数字 我第一反应 就是很爽 Tesla在 英国不靠补贴 不搞价格战 纯粹靠产品力 就把对手甩开 Model Y和3 这对兄弟档 一 ...

Tesla Insurance - Tesla Insurance is expanding into Florida, marking its first new state in over three years, now covering over 46% of the US population across 13 states [1] - The Safety Score system, which impacts insurance premiums based on driving behavior, has been updated to version 22% to address concerns about sensitivity and false alerts [1] - Tesla is introducing a dispute mechanism in its app, allowing drivers to challenge Safety Score deductions with dashcam footage [1] - In Arizona and Texas, Tesla offers FSD (Full Self-Driving) discounts on insurance premiums based on the mileage driven using the supervised version of FSD, with potential future expansion to Florida [1] - Tesla Insurance aims to leverage driving data to offer competitive rates and potentially become a significant profit source as autonomous driving technology advances [1] Stock Market & Financial Analysis - Tesla's stock closed at $46726 on Wednesday, down 462%, with a trading volume of 104% million shares [1] - Gary Black, a long-time Tesla bull, sold his remaining TSLA shares at $358 in late May, citing concerns about Tesla's valuation being disconnected from its fundamentals [1] - Fred Lambert sold all his Tesla shares around $230 in September 2024 due to disagreements with Elon Musk's political views [1] - Concerns exist regarding Tesla's high P/E ratio of 188 and potential delivery declines in 2025, with some analysts suggesting a target price of $310 [1] Battery Recycling - JB Straubel's Redwood Materials has launched Battery Bin, a recycling bin for old electronics and batteries, aiming to recover valuable materials like lithium, nickel, and cobalt [2] - Redwood Materials achieves over 95% recovery rate of materials from old batteries, supplying cathode and anode materials to manufacturers like Panasonic and Toyota [2] - Redwood Materials aims to reach 500 GWh of material production by 2030, enough for 5 million EVs [2] Elon Musk's Statements - Elon Musk expressed strong opposition to gender-affirming care for minors, comparing those who permanently castrate children to Josef Mengele [2]

Political & Policy Impacts - Initial positive relationship between Musk and Trump, including potential 100 million+ funding for Trump's campaign [1] - Subsequent fallout possibly due to Trump's large budget bill and EV tax credit changes impacting Tesla [1][2] Autonomous Driving & Technology - Robo taxi service testing commenced in Austin [2] - Safety of Tesla's FSD (Full Self-Driving) being evaluated, compared to Waymo, with some taxis operating without safety drivers [3] - Questions arise regarding approvals and testing protocols for driverless taxi operations [3] Executive Compensation & Governance - Shareholder approval of a trillion-dollar pay package for Musk, despite opposition from some large funds [4] - Musk needs to achieve aggressive goals over the next few years to realize the pay package [4]

炸了！ 中國首批 L3自動駕駛車 正式上路了！ 卻不是Tesla 而是長安深藍 SL03和 北汽极狐 Alpha S！ 12月15號 工信部親自放行 這是國家 第一次認可 L3量產車 有意思的是 一個走純視覺 像極了Tesla 另一個 堆滿LiDAR 老派重裝備 很多人 看完心裡酸 為啥先給 國產車？ Tesla FSD在 中國還得等 到2026？ 說白了 政府在給 本土車廠 爭取時間 先當小白鼠 跑數據 定規則 但你冷靜想想 這對Tesla 也算是 一件好事！ 中國車廠 把法規責任 安全坑 全踩一遍 Tesla後面 直接躺贏！ FSD端到端AI 本來就更靈活 更便宜 一旦 2026全放行 上百萬輛 中國車隊 數據加持 誰擋得住？ 這不就是 馬拉松 最後衝刺嗎？ 國產車先搶跑 但Tesla會 最後超車！ 你覺得Tesla 能在 中國翻盤嗎？. ...

RT Nic Cruz Patane (@niccruzpatane)Tesla navigation now uses the car’s in-cabin camera (above the rearview mirror) to count the number of passengers, then automatically uses HOV lanes if permitted.So smart. FSD will now use HOV lanes automatically. https://t.co/qv1h5m7Tw4 ...