Market Analysis & Predictions - The analysis suggests Ethereum's price is slowly declining from around $4,900 in mid-August [2] - The industry expected Ethereum to rally to all-time highs after reaching the regression band [2] - The report anticipates a rejection of Ethereum's rally to all-time highs, citing the need for Ethereum to durably exceed $5,000 for altcoins to outperform Bitcoin [3] - Seasonality trends indicate that altcoin/Bitcoin pairs often peak around late August [3][4] - The analysis posits that Ethereum is unlikely to break $5,000 in September, aligning with the seasonality of altcoin/Bitcoin pairs [6] - The industry predicted an all-time high for Ethereum in August, followed by a pullback to the 21-week EMA (Exponential Moving Average) in September [7] Potential Price Correction - The report suggests a potential 30% drop for Ethereum from its local high to the 21-week EMA, which translates to approximately a 20% drop from current levels [10] - The analysis anticipates Ethereum dropping to the 21-week EMA by late September or early October before rallying back up [11][19] Altcoin Performance - Altcoins bottomed against Ethereum the week of August 18th, coinciding with Ethereum's all-time high [14][15] - Altcoins may rally against Ethereum because Ethereum is expected to drop more significantly to its 21-week EMA compared to altcoins [17][18]

Friday. Joining us this morning is bespoke co co-founder Paul Hickeyi to discuss. Paul, let's get the fall started.Good to have you. Um, talk about September season seasonality and whether or not there are elements that might make this particular round of September maybe a little less than feared. Yes.I mean, September, we all know it's historically a weak time of year uh for the markets overall. Uh, especially look at I mean what we've done the last four months. We're up 1% four months in a row.Um, you kno ...

September seasonality bro's about to ripped a new one. ...

The seasonality aspect is something we talk about post Labor Day a lot because since the 1950s it has been depending on time frame either the worst or one of the worst. If you juxtapose that with all of the market catalyst that we are anticipating for the coming few weeks. Do we think this is a weaker setup that deserves paying more attention to this time around.Uh I think most likely yes. I mean you know why do we have that seasonality. People people go away they go on vacation.They take a few weeks and th ...

💥BREAKING:Jim Cramer says the market in September is normally "weak."SEASONALITY CURSE = BROKEN NOW! https://t.co/JeEtPc2fAz ...

Average $ETH seasonality over the past years! https://t.co/3bqIpHW1WY ...

REMINDER:Bitcoin seasonality tends to be negative in September. https://t.co/y6Ek3RzvQj ...

Market Overview - The S&P 500 Index (SPX) has not reached a new all-time intraday high for six consecutive days, marking its longest streak without a new high since mid-June, closing just 0.32 points below last month's all-time closing high of 6,389.77 [1] - The SPX advanced above the previous all-time high of 6,427 last week, but selling at new highs is not recommended due to the frequency of such occurrences since the late-June breakout [4] - The SPX is currently pausing around the 10% above 2024 close level of 6,469, indicating a potential pause rather than a major pivot [5] Inflation and Market Reaction - The Producer Price Index (PPI) showed a significant increase of 0.9% in July, compared to the forecast of 0.2%, which could have triggered major selling, but the market reacted neutrally [6] - The lack of selling pressure may be due to hedge fund managers exiting positions in response to tariffs and inflation concerns, while active fund managers reduced equity exposure leading up to the PPI release [7] Sentiment and Technical Indicators - Market sentiment is cautious, with the percentage of bullish investors in the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) falling below 30% for the first time since early May, which historically has been a buying opportunity [7] - The 30-day moving average is a key technical indicator, currently projected to be around 6,365 by week's end, and serves as a potential guide for identifying cracks in the current uptrend [12]

Core Insights - Apple stock has historically performed poorly in September, with a win rate of only 34% and an average return of -4.18% over the past 45 years, making it the weakest month for the stock [1][2] - In contrast, other months like July, October, and December have shown win rates above 60%, indicating a seasonal dip specifically in September [2] - Despite the historical trend, September is significant for Apple as it typically unveils new products, including the iPhone 17, which could impact stock performance [2][6] Stock Performance - As of the latest session, Apple stock closed at $231.59, reflecting a 5% decline year to date in 2025 [3] Upcoming Events - The upcoming iPhone 17 event in September is crucial, as the new iPhone 17 Air model is expected to compete with Samsung's Galaxy S25 Edge, and its reception will be pivotal for Apple's growth [6]

Market Trends - Ethereum (ETH) 可能在 9 月份出现回调 [1] - 行业预测以太坊 (ETH) 在第四季度可能出现上涨 [1] Seasonality - 以太坊 (ETH) 价格呈现季节性波动 [1]