Charlie Munger’s Strategy: Buy Quality Stocks at the 200-Week MACharlie Munger’s Lessons to BuffettWarren Buffett is widely regarded as the most prolific and successful value investor of all time in most Wall Street circles. However, Buffett did not achieve success on his own. His best “investment” decision was probably his teaming up with Charles Munger. Munger, who passed away in November 2023 at 99 years old, was Buffet’s best friend and was full of comedic charm, wisdom, experience, and investment knowl ...

Group 1 - The investor has a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% [1] - The investment strategy involves buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, primarily using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, indicating a medium-term investment horizon [1]

Core Insights - Boeing Co. has expanded its order pipeline significantly with five major deals in a span of ten days, indicating strong demand for its aircraft [1] Group 1: Recent Orders - Malaysia Aviation Group has ordered 30 Boeing 737 MAX aircraft, including options for 30 more, to modernize its fleet and enhance passenger experience in Southeast Asia [2] - Japan Airlines has placed an order for 17 additional Boeing 737-8s, nearly doubling its backlog for the 737 MAX [3] - Korean Air finalized an order for up to 50 widebody aircraft, including 20 each of 777-9 and 787-10 jets, with options for 10 more 787 Dreamliners, marking its largest order from Boeing [4] - The U.S. Army Special Operations Aviation Command has ordered five additional MH-47G Block II Chinook helicopters, bringing the total under contract to 51 [5] - BOC Aviation has ordered 50 Boeing 737-8 jets to support global airlines, expanding its 737 MAX portfolio [6] Group 2: Technical Analysis - Boeing's stock closed at $170.55, below its eight and 50-day moving averages, with near-term support at $167.02 and $167.67 [7] - The relative strength index is at 48.92, indicating a neutral zone, while the MACD momentum indicator shows a bullish trend [8] - Boeing's stock has faced challenges in 2024 due to safety concerns, production halts, and delivery shortfalls, leading to financial strain [8] Group 3: Price Action and Analyst Ratings - Boeing's stock fell 0.33% in premarket trading, with a year-to-date decline of 0.77% and a 10% drop over the past year [9] - Benzinga Edge Stock Rankings show positive medium and long-term price trends for Boeing, but a weak short-term outlook, with a solid momentum ranking at the 67.79th percentile [10] - Analysts have a consensus "hold" rating for Boeing, with an average price target of $201.63, suggesting a potential upside of 2.55% [11]

Core Insights - Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) is experiencing strong upward momentum, trading at $57.31, above its 200-day SMA of $51.23 and 50-day SMA of $51.41, indicating a bullish trend [1][2] - The company has achieved an 11.9% rise in stock price over the past six months, significantly outperforming the industry, which declined by 5.9% [3] - The energy drinks segment reported a 4.5% year-over-year increase in net sales in Q4 2024, with currency-adjusted growth at 7.6%, reflecting strong brand positioning and product innovation [7] Financial Performance - Monster Beverage's gross margin improved year-over-year due to lower input costs, despite challenges from an unfavorable geographical sales mix [8] - The company has seen record sales driven by international market momentum, with notable growth in Europe, Asia-Pacific, and Latin America [10] - The Alcohol Brands segment faced challenges, with a decline in sales due to weaker craft beer demand, impacting overall profitability [11][12] Operational Resilience - Despite weather-related disruptions, Monster Beverage maintained strong growth across key retail channels, showcasing operational resilience [9] - The company is exploring opportunities for its alcohol products in international markets, further expanding its portfolio beyond energy drinks [10] Cost Management - Adjusted operating expenses increased year-over-year due to higher impairment charges in the Alcohol Brands segment and elevated payroll and sponsorship costs [13] - The increase in operating expenses as a percentage of sales may continue to pressure overall profitability [13] Strategic Outlook - Monster Beverage is well-positioned for potential upside, supported by its strong brand portfolio and long-term growth strategies [14] - Ongoing strategic initiatives and product expansion efforts provide a positive outlook, despite recent stock fluctuations [14]

Group 1 - The investor has a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% [1] - The investment strategy involves buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, primarily using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, indicating a medium-term investment horizon [1]

Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...

Core Insights - Amazon's stock has declined by 16% over the past month due to macroeconomic uncertainties and disappointing Q1 2025 guidance [1] - Despite beating Wall Street expectations for Q4 and full-year 2024 earnings, the company's projected Q1 2025 revenue fell short of consensus estimates, raising concerns about growth [2] Financial Performance - Amazon reported a 10% year-over-year revenue increase, but projected Q1 2025 revenue between $151 billion and $155.5 billion, missing the $158.5 billion consensus estimate [2] - At the lower end of the projection, this would represent Amazon's slowest quarterly growth rate since going public in 1997 [2] Market Position - Amazon maintains a dominant position in the U.S. e-commerce market, accounting for 39.6% of total online retail sales, with expectations to surpass 40.9% by 2025 [4] - Amazon Web Services (AWS) reported 19% growth in Q4 2024, although it is losing market share to competitors like Azure and Google Cloud, which grew by 31% and 30% respectively [5] Advertising Revenue - The online advertising segment generated $17.29 billion in revenue in Q4 2024, reflecting an 18% year-over-year increase, making Amazon the third-largest platform in the global digital advertising market [6] Technical Analysis - Technical indicators suggest a potential bullish setup for Amazon stock, with a noted price target of $300 by the end of 2025 [7] - The stock recently broke below its 50-week moving average for the first time since August 2024, indicating a potential buying opportunity [8] - Historical trends show that when Amazon's stock hits similar levels, it has rallied approximately 65.24% in the following months, suggesting significant upside potential [9]

Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - Preference is given to stocks that have undergone a recent sell-off, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence [1] Market Focus - The primary focus is on stocks in the US market, although there is openness to owning shares in less stable economies, referred to as "banana republics" [1] - The investor's approach is characterized by a willingness to engage with illiquid options, highlighting a high-risk tolerance [1]

Group 1: Company Performance - Valero Energy Corporation and Marathon Petroleum Corp have seen their shares drop nearly 20% over the past month due to a sell-off in oil [1] - Both companies may be on the verge of a reversal and rally, making them notable investment opportunities [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis Insights - Technical analysis can be better understood through the lens of psychology, as it reflects the behavior of traders and investors [2] - Patterns such as double tops and triple tops indicate potential reversals, with double tops suggesting a stock may head lower after two peaks [2][4] - Conversely, double bottoms indicate a potential upward reversal, suggesting that stocks may find support at previous low price levels [4] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The presence of regretful sellers can create resistance at previous peak prices, as they look to exit their positions without incurring losses [3][5] - Support can form at former support levels due to buyers wanting to repurchase shares at the price they previously sold [5] - Stocks often rally off support levels, which can lead to aggressive buying and a potential snowball effect driving prices higher [6]

Group 1 - The article discusses the performance of Stockwaves, highlighting significant trading successes with returns of 7-10x and additional trades yielding 3-5x returns [1] - There is speculation about whether the sector has completed its period of stagnation, suggesting a potential upward movement in the near future [1] Group 2 - The article includes a disclosure indicating that the author has no current positions in the mentioned companies but may consider initiating a long position in CVX within the next 72 hours [1]