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三美股份:业绩保持增长,看好三代制冷剂景气周期-20250506
海通国际· 2025-05-06 01:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company has been upgraded to OUTPERFORM [2][3][10] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth, with a 2024 operating income of Rmb 4.04 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 21.17%, and a net profit of Rmb 779 million, up 178.4% year-on-year [4][7] - The refrigerant prices are on an upward trend, significantly improving the company's profitability, with a gross margin of 29.79% in 2024, increasing to 46.70% in Q1 2025 [8][9] - The demand for refrigerants is expected to continue rising due to increasing air conditioning production and sales, as well as growing ownership of refrigerators and vehicles in domestic and emerging markets [9] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: Rmb 5.95 billion in 2025, Rmb 6.47 billion in 2026, and Rmb 7.05 billion in 2027, with corresponding net profits of Rmb 2.01 billion, Rmb 2.42 billion, and Rmb 2.87 billion [3][10] - The company’s diluted EPS is expected to rise from Rmb 3.30 in 2025 to Rmb 4.70 in 2027, with a target price set at Rmb 59.40 based on an 18x PE ratio for 2025 [3][10] - The company’s refrigerant production and sales figures for 2024 were 162,600 tons and 123,400 tons, respectively, with prices averaging Rmb 26,055.9 per ton, a 28.17% increase year-on-year [8][9]
三美股份(603379):业绩保持增长,看好三代制冷剂景气周期
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company has been upgraded to OUTPERFORM [2][3][10] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth, with a 2024 operating income of Rmb 4.04 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 21.17%, and a net profit of Rmb 779 million, up 178.4% year-on-year [4][7] - The refrigerant prices are on an upward trend, significantly improving the company's profitability, with a gross margin of 29.79% in 2024, increasing to 46.70% in Q1 2025 [8][9] - The demand for three generations of refrigerants is expected to continue rising, benefiting the company due to its substantial production quotas [9][10] Financial Performance - The company's revenue projections for 2025-2027 are Rmb 5.95 billion, Rmb 6.47 billion, and Rmb 7.05 billion, respectively, with corresponding net profits of Rmb 2.01 billion, Rmb 2.42 billion, and Rmb 2.87 billion [3][10] - The diluted EPS is expected to rise from Rmb 3.30 in 2025 to Rmb 4.70 in 2027, reflecting strong earnings growth [10] Market Position - The company holds a significant market position with a production quota of 15.4% for three generations of refrigerants, positioning it to fully benefit from the ongoing market trends [9][10]