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海丰国际(01308.HK):量价齐升 业绩超预期 关注四季度旺季情况
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-19 18:47
Group 1: Company Performance - Haifeng International reported a revenue of $1.6645 billion for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 28% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached $630 million, up 79.7% year-on-year, exceeding the previous forecast of $500 million [1] - The company achieved a cargo volume of 1.83 million TEUs, a 7.3% increase year-on-year, supported by increased capacity and strong trade from Southeast Asia [1] Group 2: Pricing and Costs - The average revenue per TEU, excluding shared space income, was $776, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.77% [1] - Operating costs for the first half of 2025 were $999.5 million, a 10.8% increase year-on-year, with a per TEU cost of approximately $544, which is a 3.3% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [1] Group 3: Dividend and Shareholder Returns - The company declared a dividend of HKD 1.30 for the first half of 2025, with a payout ratio of approximately 73% [1] - Over the past 12 months, the total dividend amount reached HKD 8.365 billion, resulting in a dividend yield of about 11.5% based on the market value as of August 14 [1] Group 4: Industry Trends - The SCFI China-Southeast Asia freight rate increased by 20% year-on-year, outperforming the overall SCFI index, which declined by 27% [2] - The CCFI China-Southeast Asia freight rate index rose by 28% year-on-year, while the CCFI overall index fell by 8% [2] - The demand for shipping in Southeast Asia remains strong, with Chinese exports to ASEAN countries increasing by 13% in the first half of the year [2] Group 5: Supply Constraints - The order book for container ships below 3,000 TEU is limited, with only 5.4% of the fleet having orders as of early August [3] - The aging issue of smaller container ships is significant, with 11% over 25 years old and 25% over 20 years old [3] - The overall supply of container ships below 3,000 TEU is expected to grow by 2.0% in 2025, but decline by 0.3% in 2026 [3] Group 6: Profit Forecasts - The profit forecast for 2025 has been raised from $1.042 billion to $1.130 billion, while maintaining estimates for 2026 and 2027 at $859 million and $790 million, respectively [3] - The price-to-earnings ratio is projected at 8.2 times, which is still below the historical range of 10-20 times, maintaining a "buy" rating [3]