两国四基地双循环
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荣盛石化(002493):民营炼化龙头,打造海内外双循环
Huaxin Securities· 2025-11-15 13:37
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [2][5][80] Core Views - The company, Rongsheng Petrochemical, has evolved from a textile company to a leading integrated petrochemical enterprise, completing significant milestones over 30 years [3][11] - The company has established a strategic partnership with Saudi Aramco, transferring a 10% stake at a high premium and forming a strategic cooperation agreement for raw material supply and chemical sales [3][16] - The Zhejiang Petrochemical project, owned by the company, is the largest single refining and chemical integration project globally, providing a strong competitive advantage [4][60] - The future growth of the company is expected to come from international expansion and collaboration with Saudi Aramco, particularly through the SASREF refinery project [4][20] Financial Performance and Forecast - The company is projected to recover from current pressures due to unfavorable petrochemical product prices, with net profits expected to rise significantly from 2025 to 2027 [5][80] - Forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.609 billion, 4.082 billion, and 5.440 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 41.4, 26.4, and 19.8 [5][80] - Revenue growth rates are expected to be modest in the coming years, with a projected increase of 1.8% in 2025 and 7.1% in 2026 [6][80] Strategic Developments - The company is focusing on building a dual-circulation model through international partnerships, particularly with Saudi Arabia, to enhance its operational efficiency and market reach [4][20] - The SASREF project aims to integrate operations between the two countries, maximizing resource utilization and reducing costs through material recycling [20][71] Market Position - Rongsheng Petrochemical is recognized as one of China's leading private refining and chemical companies, with a solid integrated advantage and a focus on expanding its scale and market presence [5][80] - The company has maintained a competitive gross margin, ranking among the top in the industry, despite recent challenges [62]