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A股两融余额增至2.51万亿元,券商频频提额,规模与风险的动态平衡成大考验
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 02:47
Core Insights - The A-share market's margin trading balance has reached a historical high, prompting securities firms to frequently raise their margin business limits [1][4][6] - As of December 9, the margin trading balance in the A-share market stood at 25,105.72 billion, an increase of over 6,500 billion since the beginning of the year [1] - The number of new margin trading accounts opened in September surged by 288% year-on-year, reaching a monthly record high [1][2] Securities Firms' Actions - Multiple securities firms, including China Merchants Securities and Zheshang Securities, have raised their margin trading limits, with increases as high as 1,000 billion in a single adjustment [1][4] - Longjiang Securities and Dongwu Securities announced adjustments to their margin business limits on December 9, while Dongfang Securities had already revised its management methods for margin trading [4][6] - Huayin Securities has also increased its credit business limits twice within six months, demonstrating a proactive approach among smaller firms [4][5] Market Demand and Regulatory Support - The surge in demand for margin trading is attributed to a combination of policy support, market enthusiasm, and the need for industry transformation [6][7] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has indicated a willingness to expand capital space and leverage limits for quality institutions, providing essential support for margin trading expansion [6] - Analysts predict that the margin trading scale could exceed 30 trillion, with long-term funds entering the market, which will support blue-chip stocks and the sci-tech sector [8][9] Risk Management and Future Outlook - The balance between expanding margin trading and managing risks is a critical challenge for securities firms, with a focus on maintaining a dynamic balance [6][8] - The average guarantee ratio for margin clients has remained within a safe range, indicating manageable risk levels [7][8] - The securities sector is expected to see a significant increase in net profits in 2025, with a projected 51% year-on-year growth [8][9]
年内6家券商上调两融规模,最高提额千亿元
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a significant decline in new financing and securities lending accounts in October, with 130,200 new accounts opened, a decrease of 36.61% from September's 205,400 accounts. Despite this, the total number of financing and securities lending accounts reached 15.39 million, and the balance of financing and securities lending increased to 2.49 trillion yuan, up from less than 1.9 trillion yuan at the beginning of the year [1][2][6]. Group 1: Market Trends - The new account openings for financing and securities lending in October were affected by the National Day holiday and market volatility, leading to a noticeable decline, but it still marked the fourth highest monthly total of the year [4][5]. - The market has shown significant fluctuations in new account openings throughout the year, with peaks and troughs observed in various months, indicating a volatile investor sentiment [3][4]. Group 2: Brokerages' Response - Major brokerages are actively expanding their financing and securities lending business scales in response to the sustained demand for credit trading in the A-share market. For instance, China Merchants Securities raised its business scale limit from 150 billion yuan to 250 billion yuan, while Huatai Securities set its limit at approximately 286.5 billion yuan [1][8]. - At least six securities firms have announced increases in their financing and securities lending business limits this year, reflecting the robust demand for these services [9][11]. Group 3: Investor Behavior - The decline in new account openings is attributed to two main factors: the reduction in trading days due to the holiday and the market's fluctuating conditions, which have dampened investor enthusiasm for entering the market [4][5]. - Despite the short-term decline in new account openings, industry insiders believe that the long-term demand for financing and securities lending remains positive, supported by investor confidence and favorable policies [1][6].