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“中特煤”,以行动书写担当
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-09 14:02
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for key coal companies such as China Shenhua and China Coal Energy, indicating a positive outlook for their stock performance [9]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the strong support from state-owned enterprises for high-quality development of listed companies, highlighting the importance of maintaining stable profits and optimizing operational efficiency [3][6]. - It notes that despite cyclical fluctuations in coal prices, leading companies have managed to reduce costs and improve efficiency, resulting in performance declines that are significantly lower than the price drops [3]. - The report suggests that the current coal price is at a bottom range, with expectations of recovery driven by domestic policies aimed at stabilizing growth and boosting demand [5][10]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The coal mining sector is experiencing a significant adjustment, with major state-owned enterprises actively supporting their listed subsidiaries to enhance investor confidence and market stability [5][6]. - The report highlights the government's commitment to maintaining a stable economic environment, which is expected to benefit the coal sector [3]. Financial Performance - China Shenhua's coal production cost for 2024 is reported at 179 RMB/ton, remaining stable year-on-year, while China Coal Energy's cost is 282 RMB/ton, down 25 RMB/ton from the previous year [10]. - The report indicates that both companies are focusing on increasing shareholder returns through dividends and share buybacks, with China Shenhua planning a cash dividend of 2.26 RMB/share, representing a high payout ratio of 76.5% [10]. Investment Strategy - The report recommends several key stocks in the coal sector, including China Shenhua, China Coal Energy, and others, based on their strong financial performance and potential for future growth [9][10]. - It suggests that the coal sector is well-positioned to benefit from domestic policies aimed at stimulating investment and consumption, which could lead to improved demand for coal [5][10].