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三元股份(600429):Q2收入降幅收窄,盈利能力提升
HUAXI Securities· 2025-09-25 08:31
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.33 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 13.8%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 180 million yuan, an increase of 43.3% year-on-year [2] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.68 billion yuan, down 7.4% year-on-year, but the net profit attributable to the parent company rose by 73.1% year-on-year to 95 million yuan [2] - The company is experiencing a weak recovery in dairy consumption, with improvements in revenue growth across various product lines in Q2 compared to Q1 [3] - The company has optimized its distribution channels, resulting in a net reduction of 1,125 distributors in the first half of 2025 [3] - Investment income has contributed positively to profit, with the company reporting investment income of 177 million yuan in the first half of 2025, up 14.9% year-on-year [5] - The company is actively pushing reforms, including organizational restructuring and product optimization, which are expected to yield results as dairy consumption recovers [6] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company’s revenue for H1 2025 was 3.33 billion yuan, with a net profit of 180 million yuan, showing a significant increase in profitability despite a decline in revenue [2] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 24.6%, slightly down from the previous year, primarily due to decreased sales volume [4] - The net profit margin for H1 2025 was 5.5%, an increase of 2.2 percentage points year-on-year, driven by investment income [5] Product and Channel Performance - In H1 2025, the revenue breakdown by product showed liquid milk at 1.993 billion yuan, solid milk at 453 million yuan, and ice cream and other businesses at 780 million yuan, with varying year-on-year changes [3] - The company’s revenue from direct sales and distributors in H1 2025 was 1.351 billion yuan and 1.463 billion yuan, respectively, with direct sales showing a positive growth trend [3] Future Outlook - The company has revised its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 down to 6.36 billion yuan, 6.51 billion yuan, and 6.82 billion yuan, respectively, while raising EPS estimates for the same period [7] - The company is expected to benefit from ongoing reforms and a gradual recovery in dairy consumption, which may positively impact its performance in the coming quarters [6]