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瓶片短纤数据日报-20260323
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2026-03-23 03:51
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core Views - The Asian PX market is in a short - term situation caused by the Middle - East geopolitical conflict. The continuous closure of the Strait of Hormuz has led to transportation disruptions of 20% of global petroleum liquids and nearly 80% of petrochemical products shipped to Asia, causing a sharp rise in PX spot prices [2]. - Although polyester is about to enter the peak season, the extreme tightness on the supply side has led to concentrated force majeure at PTA factories. Asian countries' restrictions on exports due to fuel safety concerns have further exacerbated the raw material shortage [2]. - If Middle - East exports cannot resume in the near future, the Asian polyester industry chain is expected to face a severe risk of production decline in April due to the dual shortage of PX and MEG. The physical supply of the Asian PX market is tight, and the market is in chaos with low polyester operating loads and poor downstream acceptance of current prices [2]. Group 3: Summary of Data Changes Price Changes - PTA spot price decreased from 6885 to 6555, a change of - 330 [2]. - MEG inner - market price decreased from 5143 to 5108, a change of - 35 [2]. - PTA closing price decreased from 6834 to 6650, a change of - 184 [2]. - MEG closing price increased from 5220 to 5353, a change of 133 [2]. - 1.4D direct - spun polyester staple fiber price increased from 8380 to 8381, a change of 1 [2]. - Short - fiber basis decreased from - 44 to - 54, a change of - 10 [2]. - 4 - 5 spread increased from - 3 to 12, a change of 15 [2]. - Polyester staple fiber cash flow increased from 240 to 246, a change of 6 [2]. - 1.4D imitation large - chemical fiber price remained unchanged at 6190 [2]. - The price difference between 1.4D direct - spun and imitation large - chemical fiber increased from 2190 to 2191, a change of 1 [2]. - East China water bottle chip price decreased from 8820 to 8545, a change of - 275 [2]. - Hot - filling polyester bottle chip price decreased from 8820 to 8545, a change of - 275 [2]. - Carbonated - grade polyester bottle chip price decreased from 8920 to 8645, a change of - 275 [2]. - Outer - market water bottle chip price decreased from 1210 to 1160, a change of - 50 [2]. - Bottle chip spot processing fee increased from 1210 to 1229, a change of 19 [2]. - T32S pure polyester yarn price decreased from 12490 to 12450, a change of - 40 [2]. - T32S pure polyester yarn processing fee decreased from 4110 to 4069, a change of - 41 [2]. - Polyester - cotton yarn 65/35 45S price increased from 18000 to 18300, a change of 300 [2]. - Cotton 328 price decreased from 16330 to 16290, a change of - 40 [2]. - Polyester - cotton yarn profit increased from 1271 to 1586, a change of 314 [2]. - Primary three - dimensional hollow (with silicon) price remained unchanged at 9000 [2]. - Hollow staple fiber 6 - 15D cash flow increased from 190 to 484, a change of 294 [2]. - Primary low - melting - point staple fiber price remained unchanged at 9330 [2]. Load and Production - Sales Changes - Direct - spun staple fiber load (weekly) decreased from 84.13% to 76.98%, a change of - 7.15% [3]. - Polyester staple fiber production - sales increased from - 32.00% to 20.00%, a change of 52.00% [3]. - Polyester yarn startup rate (weekly) increased from 70.00% to 70.32%, a change of 0.32% [3]. - Regenerated cotton - type load index (weekly) decreased from 55.44% to 54.81%, a change of - 0.63% [3].