来源：市场资讯 （来源：PTA的世界） 聚酯周度报告 聚酯行业周度报告（2025年11月14日-11月20日） 核心结论：本周聚酯行业供需僵持，原料端PTA偏强震荡、乙二醇持续走弱，终端织造需求疲软拖累下 游产品表现，多数聚酯产品利润压缩，短期市场仍以偏弱震荡为主。 •价格走势：CFR中国市场周均价829.2美元/吨，环比上涨0.53%，绝对价格小幅上行。 一、原料市场表现 （一）PTA •价格走势：华东现货周均价4626.8元/吨，环比上涨0.90%，现货价格偏强震荡。 •核心驱动：四川能投、逸盛宁波装置停车检修，供应持续缩量，供需维持偏紧格局，平衡表去库扩 大。 •库存与利润：社会库存324.88万吨，环比降1.21%；周均利润-281.76元/吨，环比修复3.42%。 （二）乙二醇（MEG） •价格走势：华东现货周均价3942.6元/吨，环比下跌0.92%，创年内新低。 •核心驱动：市场对后期悲观情绪浓厚，反弹乏力，叠加原油回调拖累成本支撑。 •库存与利润：华东主港库存63.3万吨，环比增2.4%；周均利润-990元/吨，环比小幅修复2.65%。 （三）PX •核心驱动：韩国工厂运行负荷低，歧化效益偏低 ...

行业 能源化工周报 日期 2025 年 11 月 21 日 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷,CFA（原油、沥青） 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（工业硅多晶硅） 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 期货从业资格号：F03134307 请阅读正文后的声明 | ⇒ 原油 . | | --- ...

直纺短纤负荷(周) 据来自力得贫计。 88. 37% 89. 32% 0. 95% 涤纶短纤产销 65.00% 35.00% -30. 00% 涤纱开机率(周) 66. 00% 66. 00% 0. 00% 再生棉型负荷指数(周) 51. 10% 51. 10% 0. 00% 涤纶短纤与纯涤纱价格 涤纶短纤现金流 14000 10000 10000 1800 T325纯海纱价格 (探偵) 太理念德 ■ (器収) 照日后(左右) 条短现金流 ·1.4D自纺余提 9000 9000 13000 1400 8000 8000 12000 1000 7000 7000 6000 11000 600 6000 5000 10000 200 5000 4000 4000 -200 9000 + 3000 2023-01-01 2021-01-01 2022-01-01 2024-01-01 2025-01-01 2021-01-01 2022-01-01 2023-01-01 2024-01-01 2025-01-01 涤棉纱65/35 45S价格与利润 中空短纤价格与现金流 10000 2500 4000 22500 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report - The report presents the price, basis, basis rate, historical quantile, and other data of various futures and spot commodities on November 21, 2025, including ferrous metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, energy and chemical products, and financial futures [1]. 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs Ferrous Metals - **Silicon Iron (SF603)**: The conversion price of 72 - grade silicon iron qualified blocks from Inner Mongolia to Tianjin warehouse receipts is 5446, with a change of 2.06% [1]. - **Silicon Manganese (SM601)**: The conversion price of 6517 - grade silicon manganese from Inner Mongolia to Hubei warehouse receipts is 5614 [1]. - **Rebar (RB2601)**: The price of HRB400 20mm in Shanghai is 3050, and the futures price is 3210, with a basis rate of 5.25% [1]. - **Hot - Rolled Coil (HC2601)**: The futures price is 3270, with a change of 0.09% [1]. - **Iron Ore (I2601)**: The conversion price of 62.5% Brazilian mixed powder (BRBF) from Vale at Rizhao Port is 1634, with a change of 0.75% [1]. - **Coke (J2601)**: The conversion price of quasi - first - grade metallurgical coke at Rizhao Port is 1646, with a historical quantile of 70.18% [1]. - **Coking Coal (JM2601)**: The conversion price of S1.3 G75 main coking coal (Meng 5) at Shaheyi is 1114, with a change of 9.83% [1]. Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper (CU2601)**: The SMM 1 copper average price is 86435, and the futures price is 86130, with a basis of 305 and a historical quantile of 79.79% [1]. - **Aluminum (AL2601)**: The SMM A00 aluminum average price is 21570, and the futures price is 21530, with a basis rate of 0.19% [1]. - **Alumina (AO2601)**: The SMM alumina index average price is 2836 [1]. - **Zinc (ZN2512)**: The SMM 1 zinc ingot average price is 22360, and the futures price is 22380, with a basis of - 20 [1]. - **Tin (SN2512)**: The SMM 1 tin average price is 291500, and the futures price is 292030, with a change of - 0.18% [1]. - **Nickel (NISE01)**: The SMM 1 imported nickel average price is 116600, and the futures price is 115380, with a basis of 1220 [1]. - **Stainless Steel (SS2601)**: The price of 304/2B: 2*1240*C: Wuxi Hongwang (including trimming fee) is 12820, and the futures price is 12285, with a change of 4.35% [1]. Agricultural Products - **Soybean Meal (M2601)**: The ex - factory price of common protein soybean meal in Zhangjiagang, Jiangsu is 2980, and the futures price is 3017, with a basis rate of - 1.23% [1]. - **Soybean Oil (Y2601)**: The ex - factory price of grade - four soybean oil in Zhangjiagang, Jiangsu is 8224, and the futures price is 8420, with a basis of 196 [1]. - **Palm Oil (P2601)**: The delivery price of palm oil at Huangpu Port is 8630, and the futures price is 8646, with a basis of - 16 [1]. - **Rapeseed Meal (RM601)**: The ex - factory price of common rapeseed meal in Zhanjiang, Guangdong is 2412, and the futures price is 2500, with a basis rate of - 0.19% [1]. - **Rapeseed Oil (Ol601)**: The ex - factory price of grade - four rapeseed oil in Nantong, Jiangsu is 9779, and the futures price is 10100, with a basis of 321 [1]. - **Corn (C2601)**: The flat - hatch price of corn at Jinzhou Port is 2220, and the futures price is 2168, with a basis rate of 3.28% [1]. - **Corn Starch (CS2601)**: The ex - factory price of corn starch in Changchun, Jilin is 2550, and the futures price is 2473, with a basis of 77 [1]. - **Live Pigs (LH2601)**: The ex - factory price of live pigs (external ternary) in Henan is 11750, and the futures price is 11440, with a basis of 310 [1]. - **Eggs (JD2601)**: The average price of eggs in Shijiazhuang, Hebei is 3238, and the futures price is 2710, with a basis rate of - 16.31% [1]. - **Cotton (CF601)**: The arrival price of cotton 3128B in Xinjiang is 14563, and the futures price is 13465, with a basis of 1098 [1]. - **Sugar (SR601)**: The spot price of white sugar at Liuzhou Station is 5760, and the futures price is 5366, with a basis of 394 [1]. - **Apples (AP601)**: The delivery theoretical price of apples is 9496, and the futures price is 8840, with a basis of - 656 [1]. - **Red Dates (C1601)**: The wholesale price of first - grade grey dates in Hebei is 9300, and the futures price is 8800, with a basis of - 500 [1]. Energy and Chemical Products - **Para - Xylene (PX601)**: The spot price of para - xylene at the main Chinese port (CFR) converted into RMB is 6830, and the futures price is 6833, with a basis rate of 0.04% [1]. - **PTA (TA601)**: The market price (intermediate price) of PTA in the East China region is 4630, and the futures price is 4696, with a basis of - 66 [1]. - **Ethylene Glycol (EG2601)**: The market price (intermediate price) of ethylene glycol in the East China region is 3935, and the futures price is 3822, with a basis of 113 [1]. - **Polyester Staple Fiber (PF602)**: The market price (mainstream price) of polyester staple fiber (1.4D*38mm (direct - spinning)) in the East China market is 6220, and the futures price is 6305, with a basis of 85 [1]. - **Styrene (EB2601)**: The market price (spot benchmark price) of styrene in East China, China is 6625, and the futures price is 6595, with a basis of 30 [1]. - **Methanol (MA601)**: The market price (spot benchmark price) of methanol in Taicang, Jiangsu, China is 2000, and the futures price is 2016, with a basis of - 16 [1]. - **Urea (UR601)**: The market price (mainstream price) of urea (small - particle) in Shandong region is 1640, and the futures price is 1665, with a basis of - 25 [1]. - **LLDPE (L2601)**: The duty - paid self - pick - up price (intermediate price) of LLDPE (film - grade) in Shandong is 6855, and the futures price is 6835, with a basis of 20 [1]. - **PP (PP2601)**: The duty - paid self - pick - up price (intermediate price) of PP (拉丝级, melt index 2 - 4) in Zhejiang is 6400, and the futures price is 6500, with a basis of 100 [1]. - **PVC (V2601)**: The market price (mainstream price) of PVC (SG - 5) in the Changzhou market, China is 4456, and the futures price is 4420, with a basis of - 36 [1]. - **Caustic Soda (SH601)**: The market price (mainstream price) of caustic soda (32% ion - membrane caustic soda) in Shandong market converted to 100% is 2437.5, and the futures price is 2261, with a basis of 176.5 [1]. - **LPG (PG2512)**: The market price of LPG in Guangzhou region is 4397, and the futures price is 4348, with a basis of - 49 [1]. - **Asphalt (BU2601)**: The market price (mainstream price) of asphalt (heavy - traffic asphalt) in Shandong region is 3030, and the futures price is 3058, with a basis of 28 [1]. - **Butadiene Rubber (BR2601)**: The distribution price of cis - butadiene rubber (Daqing, BR9000) of PetroChina East China is 10700, and the futures price is 10520, with a basis of 180 [1]. - **Glass (FG601)**: The market price of Fufa glass 5mm large board in Shahe, Shahe Great Wall Glass (daily) is 988, and the futures price is 989, with a basis of - 1 [1]. - **Soda Ash (SA601)**: The market price of heavy - grade soda ash in Shahe (daily) is 1158, and the futures price is 1128, with a basis of - 30 [1]. - **Natural Rubber (RU2601)**: The market price of natural rubber (Yunnan state - owned whole latex) in Shanghai is 15250, and the futures price is 14850, with a basis of 400 [1]. Financial Futures - **Stock Index Futures**: - IF2512.CFE: The futures price is 4564.9, and the basis is - 25.7, with a basis rate of - 0.57% [1]. - IH2512.CFE: The futures price is 3002.6, and the basis is - 5.7, with a basis rate of - 0.19% [1]. - IC2512.CFE: The futures price is 7061.9, and the basis is - 61.9, with a basis rate of - 0.88% [1]. - IM2512.CFE: The futures price is 7340.4, and the basis is - 76.8, with a basis rate of - 1.00% [1]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: - TS2512: The futures price is 100.04, and the basis is - 0.01, with a basis rate of - 0.01% [1]. - TF2512: The futures price is 105.92, and the basis is 0.00, with a basis rate of 0.00% [1]. - T2512: The futures price is 108.48, and the basis is 0.08, with a basis rate of 0.08% [1]. - TL2512: The futures price is 115.93, and the basis is 0.16, with a basis rate of 0.14% [1].

芳烃橡胶早报 研究中心能化团队 2025/11/21 P T A 日期 原油 石脑油日 本 PX CFR 台湾 PTA内盘现 货 POY 1 50D/4 8F 石脑油裂 解价差 PX加工差 PTA加 工差 聚酯毛利 PTA平衡 负荷 PTA负 荷 仓单+有 效预报 TA基差 产销 2025/11/ 14 64.4 577 832 4635 6570 105.02 255.0 142 124 77.5 75.7 114594 -77 0.70 2025/11/ 17 64.2 571 831 4615 6590 100.66 260.0 122 161 77.5 75.7 114594 -74 0.45 2025/11/ 18 64.9 569 827 4610 6585 92.86 258.0 137 170 77.5 75.7 114594 -71 0.35 2025/11/ 19 63.5 573 832 4640 6585 107.47 259.0 137 155 77.5 75.7 117198 -70 0.55 2025/11/ 20 63.4 573 833 4630 6585 107.47 26 ...

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 【一国贸易报 务状况或需要,投资者需自行判断本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况,拔 投资,责任自负。本报告仅向特定客户推送,未经国贸期货授权许可,任何引用、转载以 行传播的行为均构成对国贸朝货的侵权,我司将视情况追究法 险,入市需谨慎。 ITG国贸期货 世界500强投资企业 国贸期货有限公司 成为一流的衍生品综合服务商 入 用 市 市 lle 41 客 官 方 网 站 服 热线 la 风 400-8888-598 www.itf.com.cn | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | 投资咨询号:Z0017251 2025/11/20 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 能源化工研究中心 陈胜 | 从业资格号:F3066728 | | 指标 | 2025/11/18 | 2025/11/19 | 变动值 | | | PTA现货价格 | 4610 | 4610 | 0 | | | | | | | 现货资讯: | | MEG内盘价格 | 3952 | 3919 | -33 | 短纤:涤纶短纤主力期货涨22至6244。现 ...

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG国贸期货 | | | | | 聚酯数据日报 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | | 投资咨询号: Z0017251 | 2025/11/20 | | | | 能源化工研究中心 | 陈胜 | 从业资格号:F3066728 | | | | 指标 | 2025/11/18 2025/11/19 | | 变动值 | 行情综述 | | | INE原油(元/桶) | 458. 8 | 464.5 | 5. 70 | 成交情况: PTA:担忧PX供应减少,且华东220万吨PTA装置检修时 | | | PTA-SC(元/陣) | | | | 间延长,PTA行情上涨,现货基差走强,下游聚酯产销 | | SC | | 1335.9 | 1336. 4 | 0. 58 | 般。 | | | PTA/SC(比价) | 1. 4007 | 1. 3959 | -0. 0047 | | | PX | CFR中国PX | 827 | 832 | 5 | | | | PX-石脑油价差 | 256 | 264 | ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Views - For PTA, with some near - end TA device maintenance,开工 decreasing, polyester load dropping, and inventory accumulating, the basis is weak but the spot processing fee improves slightly. PX has a good pattern, and opportunities for long - short spreads and expanding processing fees should be noted [3]. - For MEG, short - term inventory accumulation is expected to continue, but the supply may decrease due to low profitability. In the long term, the overall pattern may weaken due to new device launches and warehouse receipt pressure [3]. - For polyester staple fiber, although the performance of the yarn end is not significantly improved, the high export growth of staple fiber results in no obvious inventory accumulation. Opportunities for expanding processing fees and the situation of warehouse receipts should be noted [3]. - For natural rubber, with stable national explicit inventory and rainfall affecting rubber tapping in Thailand, the strategy is to wait and see [6]. 3. Summary by Product PTA - **Price and Margin Changes**: From November 13 - 19, 2025, the price of crude oil decreased by 1.4, PTA internal - market spot price increased by 30, and polyester margin decreased by 15. The PTA balance load and PTA load remained unchanged at 77.5 and 75.7 respectively, and the warehouse receipt + effective forecast increased by 2604 [3]. - **Device Changes**: Yisheng Ningbo's 2.2 million - ton device was under maintenance [3]. - **Outlook**: TA will maintain a high - maintenance state, and with no obvious pressure from downstream products and the revocation of BIS certification by India, the inventory accumulation slope is not high. There are limited new investments in the far - month, and PX has a good pattern [3]. MEG - **Price and Margin Changes**: From November 13 - 19, 2025, the MEG external - market price decreased by 4, the MEG internal - market price decreased by 33, and the MEG coal - making profit decreased by 33. The MEG total load and coal - made MEG load remained unchanged at 71.6 and 68.0 respectively, and the MEG port inventory remained at 73.2 [3]. - **Device Changes**: Hongsifang's 300,000 - ton device, Huayi's 200,000 - ton device were under maintenance, and Zhenhai's 800,000 - ton device restarted [3]. - **Outlook**: Short - term inventory accumulation is expected to continue, but the supply may decrease due to low profitability. In the long term, the overall pattern may weaken due to new device launches and warehouse receipt pressure [3]. Polyester Staple Fiber - **Price and Margin Changes**: From November 13 - 19, 2025, the price of 1.4D cotton - type staple fiber increased by 20, and the short - fiber profit increased by 6 while the pure - polyester yarn profit decreased by 20 [3]. - **Device Status**: Near - end devices ran smoothly, and the operating rate was maintained at 97.5%. The production and sales were weak, and the inventory increased month - on - month [3]. - **Outlook**: Although the performance of the yarn end is not significantly improved, the high export growth of staple fiber results in no obvious inventory accumulation. There are relatively limited new capacity investments in the short term [3]. Natural Rubber - **Price Changes**: From November 13 - 19, 2025, the price of RU main contract increased by 145, and the price of NR main contract increased by 135. The weekly changes of the mixed - RU main contract, US - dollar Thai standard - NR main contract, etc. also showed certain fluctuations [6]. - **Main Contradictions**: The national explicit inventory is stable, and the absolute level is not high. The price of Thai cup - lump rubber is stable, and rainfall affects rubber tapping [6]. - **Strategy**: Wait and see [6]. Styrene - **Price Changes**: From November 13 - 19, 2025, the price of styrene (CFR China) increased by 8, and the price of styrene (Jiangsu) increased by 60. The price of PS (East China transparent benzene) increased by 50, while the price of ABS (0215A) decreased by 50 [10]. - **Margin Changes**: The domestic profit of styrene decreased by 85, and the domestic profit of EPS decreased by 34 [10].

本周（2025/11/10-2025/11/14）化工板块整体涨跌幅表现排名第9位，涨跌幅为2.61%，走势处于市场整 体中上游。上证综指涨跌幅为-0.18%，创业板指涨跌幅为-3.01%，申万化工板块跑赢上证综指2.79个百 分点，跑赢创业板指5.62个百分点。 华安证券近日发布基础化工行业周报：本周（2025/11/10-2025/11/14）化工板块整体涨跌幅表现排名第9 位，涨跌幅为2.61%，走势处于市场整体中上游。上证综指涨跌幅为-0.18%，创业板指涨跌幅 为-3.01%，申万化工板块跑赢上证综指2.79个百分点，跑赢创业板指5.62个百分点。 以下为研究报告摘要： 主要观点： 行业周观点 2025年化工行业景气度将延续分化趋势，推荐关注合成生物学、农药、层析介质、代糖、维生素、轻烃 化工、COC聚合物、MDI等行业: （1）合成生物学奇点时刻到来。能源结构调整大背景下，化石基材料或在局部面临颠覆性冲击，低耗 能的产品或产业有望获得更长成长窗口。对于传统化工企业而言，未来的竞争在于能耗和碳税的成本， 优秀的传统化工企业会利用绿色能源代替方案、一体化和规模化优势来降低能耗成本，亦或新增产能转 移至 ...

直纺短纤负荷(周) 据来自力得资讯。 85. 63% 89. 32% 3. 69% 涤纶短纤产销 45.00% 44. 00% -1.00% 涤纱开机率(周) 63. 50% 63. 50% 0. 00% 再生棉型负荷指数(周) 51.00% 51. 50% 0. 50% 涤纶短纤与纯涤纱价格 涤纶短纤现金流 14000 10000 10000 1800 T325纯漆炒价格 (探收)太理念德■ (器収) 照日后(左右) 条短现金流 =1.4D直线最 9000 9000 13000 1400 8000 8000 12000 1000 7000 7000 6000 11000 600 6000 5000 10000 200 5000 4000 4000 -200 9000 + 3000 2023-01-01 2021-01-01 2022-01-01 2024-01-01 2025-01-01 2021-01-01 2022-01-01 2023-01-01 2024-01-01 2025-01-01 涤棉纱65/35 45S价格与利润 中空短纤价格与现金流 10000 2500 4000 22500 条棉纱利润 ...