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难怪特朗普要来北京推销大豆,中美阿大豆博弈,仅有美国输惨了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-04 06:41
Group 1 - The U.S. Treasury Secretary's frustration over Argentina's decision to sell soybeans to China at lower prices, despite the U.S. providing $20 billion in aid to Argentina [1] - Argentina's cancellation of soybean export taxes and subsequent sale of 2.66 million tons of soybeans to China, which has displaced U.S. farmers from the market [1][9] - The U.S. agricultural sector is facing a crisis, with soybean prices dropping 40% from their 2022 peak and a record number of farm bankruptcies [5][8] Group 2 - Argentina's economic crisis led to the temporary cancellation of export taxes, resulting in $7 billion in soybean sales to China within two days [8][9] - The U.S. agricultural sector's reliance on China as a major buyer has diminished, with U.S. soybean exports to China dropping to zero in 2025 [8][12] - The shift in China's soybean import sources, with Brazil's share rising to 71.1% and the U.S. falling to 21.1%, indicates a significant change in the global soybean market dynamics [12] Group 3 - The U.S. government's attempt to negotiate with China by offering to relax AI chip exports in exchange for soybean purchases has not yielded positive responses [11] - The U.S. farmers are facing increasing pressure as their soybean inventories reach the highest levels since World War II, leading to concerns over land value and production cuts [12] - Argentina's strategic positioning in the soybean market, leveraging zero tariffs, has allowed it to capitalize on the situation while the U.S. struggles with its trade policies [12]