Core Viewpoint - The global stock market is experiencing a paradox where bad economic news leads to positive market reactions, driven by strong expectations of future policy easing [1][2]. Group 1: Unusual Phenomenon - Bad economic data is now interpreted as good news for the market, as it increases the likelihood of central banks easing monetary policy [2]. - Examples include: - Weak U.S. non-farm payroll data leading to a stock market surge due to increased rate cut probabilities [2]. - A country's CPI inflation data declining unexpectedly, resulting in a stock market rise as it suggests potential early rate cuts [2]. - Geopolitical risks causing both gold and Bitcoin to rise, driven by heightened risk aversion and expectations of central bank liquidity [2]. Group 2: Deep Analysis - There is a fundamental shift in three core logics: - Central bank policy priorities have shifted from "anti-inflation" to "anti-recession," indicating a readiness to ease when recession risks outweigh inflation concerns [3]. - Liquidity expectations are now overshadowing corporate earnings fundamentals, leading to higher asset valuations even amid declining profits [4]. - Institutional investors are strategically positioning themselves to benefit from anticipated policy shifts rather than waiting for economic data to improve [5]. Group 3: UNFX Strategy Perspective - Different investor styles require distinct strategies: - Trend followers should respect market trends and avoid countering the prevailing market sentiment, even if valuations seem unreasonable [6]. - Value investors should maintain focus on individual stocks with stable cash flows and reasonable valuations, without overreacting to short-term market fluctuations [8]. - Ordinary investors are advised to avoid linear extrapolation of current market logic and remain cautious of potential policy disappointments that could lead to market reversals [9][10].