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宝城期货橡胶早报-2025-06-13-20250613
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-06-13 01:48
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Report's Core View - Both Shanghai rubber (RU) and synthetic rubber (BR) are expected to run weakly, with short - term and medium - term trends being oscillatory and the intraday trend being oscillatory and weak [1][5][7] 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs Shanghai Rubber (RU) - **Short - term, Medium - term and Intraday Views**: Short - term and medium - term views are oscillatory, and the intraday view is oscillatory and weak, with an overall reference view of weak operation [1][5] - **Core Logic**: As previous macro favorable factors are gradually digested, weak industrial supply - demand factors start to dominate. Currently, natural rubber production areas at home and abroad are in the full - scale tapping stage, with raw material output growing steadily and new rubber supply gradually rising. On Thursday night, the 2509 contract of Shanghai rubber futures showed an oscillatory and weak trend, with the futures price slightly down 0.54% to 13,695 yuan/ton. It is expected to maintain an oscillatory and weak trend on Friday [5] Synthetic Rubber (BR) - **Short - term, Medium - term and Intraday Views**: Short - term and medium - term views are oscillatory, and the intraday view is oscillatory and weak, with an overall reference view of weak operation [1][7] - **Core Logic**: As previous macro favorable factors are gradually digested, weak industrial supply - demand factors start to dominate. Currently, the domestic synthetic rubber supply is expected to increase, while the demand from the downstream tire industry is weak, with the operating rate down significantly week - on - week and year - on - year, highlighting the off - season effect. On Thursday night, the 2508 contract of synthetic rubber futures fell 1.72% to 10,835 yuan/ton. It is expected to maintain an oscillatory and weak trend on Friday [7]
宝城期货甲醇早报-2025-06-13-20250613
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-06-13 01:45
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Report's Core View - The methanol 2509 contract is expected to run weakly, showing a volatile and weak trend in the short - term, medium - term, and intraday periods [1][5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Time - cycle Viewpoints - **Short - term**: The methanol 2509 contract is expected to be volatile [1]. - **Medium - term**: The methanol 2509 contract is expected to be volatile [1]. - **Intraday**: The methanol 2509 contract is expected to be volatile and weak [1][5]. 3.2 Core Logic - As the previous macro - positive factors are gradually digested, the weak industrial supply - demand factors start to dominate the domestic methanol futures market. The domestic methanol supply pressure has rebounded, downstream demand improvement is limited, the futures profit of methanol - to - olefins has declined, which is not conducive to further destocking of port inventories. With the expected increase in external imports, the future social inventory accumulation pressure increases. Under the background that the weak industrial factors outweigh the macro factors, on Thursday night, the domestic methanol futures 2509 contract closed slightly lower by 0.44% to 2284 yuan/ton, and it is expected to maintain a volatile and weak trend on Friday [5].