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荣盛石化(002493):需求承压 静待修复
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:43
Group 1 - Company Rongsheng Petrochemical reported a revenue of 326.475 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.42%, but a net profit attributable to shareholders of 724 million yuan, a decrease of 37.44% year-on-year [1] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 81.279 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.56% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 3.18%, with a net profit of -15.2 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 114.49% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 912.03% [1] Group 2 - The demand for olefins remains weak, impacting Zhejiang Petrochemical's performance, which reported a net profit of 3.542 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 159.17% [2] - The average price spread of polyolefins to crude oil for 2024 was 3,125 yuan/ton, widening by 3.88% year-on-year, with Q4 2024 showing an average spread of 3,492 yuan/ton, an increase of 8.80% quarter-on-quarter [2] Group 3 - The narrowing price spread of refined oil products has led to a decline in profitability, with the apparent consumption of refined oil for 2024 at 387 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 1.41% [3] - The average price spreads for diesel, gasoline, and aviation kerosene in 2024 were 959 yuan, 1,335 yuan, and 1,451 yuan per ton, showing year-on-year decreases of 26.73%, 12.84%, and 24.69% respectively [3] - The average PX-crude oil price spread for 2024 was 2,819 yuan/ton, a year-on-year decrease of 12.00% [3] Group 4 - Zhejiang Petrochemical is advancing several high-value-added projects, including a 1.4 million ton/year ethylene and downstream chemical products project, which may help improve the company's performance if these products are successfully launched [4] Group 5 - The company is optimistic about the production of high-value-added new materials, which may widen the product-crude oil price spread, although it is currently in the early stages of demand recovery [5] - Expected net profits for 2025-2027 are projected at 1.9 billion yuan, 4 billion yuan, and 5.4 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.19 yuan, 0.40 yuan, and 0.54 yuan, and PE ratios of 42.7X, 20.6X, and 15.3X respectively [5]