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在全球抢矿之际,这一地的锂矿石出口为何能持续大幅增长?
Zhong Guo Qi Che Bao Wang· 2025-06-10 03:41
Core Insights - Chile is a leading player in the global lithium market, with a projected 26% increase in lithium exports in 2024, solidifying its core position in global lithium supply [2] - The collaboration between state-owned Codelco and private giant SQM aims to increase lithium production from the Atacama salt flat to 300,000 tons per year by 2024, showcasing a model of "state-led and private efficiency" [3][4] - Chile's lithium products account for 64.7% of exports to Asia, creating a "Americas raw materials - Asia processing" supply chain [3] Policy and Strategic Developments - The Chilean government has set a target to increase lithium production by 70% by 2030, emphasizing vertical integration from extraction to high-end applications [4] - Legislation mandates that all foreign companies must operate in joint ventures with state-owned enterprises, ensuring fiscal benefits and preventing resource mismanagement [4] - New laws require companies to allocate 1.5% of lithium revenue for local community improvements, balancing resource development with social responsibility [4] Technological Innovations - Chile has made significant advancements in direct lithium extraction (DLE) technology, reducing extraction time from 18-24 months to hours and cutting water usage by 60% [5] - Innovations in AI exploration have quadrupled success rates in mining, while processing technologies meet stringent purity requirements for electric vehicle batteries [5][6] - The export share of high-end lithium products like lithium hydroxide and lithium sulfate increased from 5.5% in 2022 to 12.9% in 2023, enhancing resilience against price fluctuations [6] Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - Global demand for lithium is expected to grow by 25% in 2024, driven by electric vehicle sales, with Chile playing a crucial role as a "stabilizer" in the lithium supply chain [7] - Despite short-term price declines, the International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts that global lithium demand will reach ten times the current levels by 2035 [7] - Chile plans to invest $5 billion in lithium technology upgrades by 2030 to maintain over 50% market share in low-cost lithium supply [7][8] Regional Collaboration and Challenges - Chile is exploring the establishment of a "Lithium OPEC" with Argentina and Bolivia to coordinate production and pricing, aiming to secure pricing power in the South American lithium market [7][8] - The country is also developing new lithium production areas to mitigate risks associated with climate variability, such as the El Niño phenomenon [7] - The combination of resource endowment, policy guidance, and technological innovation positions Chile as a key player in the global energy transition [8]