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积极看好低位消费股布局机会
2025-10-19 15:58
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - **Education Sector**: Action Education (EMBA training) - **Hospitality Sector**: Shoulv Hotel - **Retail Sector**: Small Commodity City, Yonghui Supermarket - **Beauty Sector**: Proya, Winona - **Jewelry Sector**: Laopuhuangjin, Zhou Daxing - **Food and Beverage Sector**: Mixue Group Core Insights and Arguments Education Sector - Action Education's performance improved in Q3 after a challenging Q2 due to US-China trade tensions, with expected annual revenue exceeding 300 million and a valuation of 15-16 times earnings, alongside a dividend yield over 6% [1][2] - The company's "Hundred Schools Plan" is anticipated to contribute over 10% to revenue growth next year [1] Hospitality Sector - Shoulv Hotel showed continuous improvement in data, with a target of 2.6 million rooms and an expected annual performance of 900 million, valued at 17-18 times earnings this year and 16 times next year [1][2] Retail Sector - Small Commodity City exceeded expectations with Q3 net profit over 1.7 billion, raising annual profit forecasts to 4.7-4.8 billion, with a valuation of 16-17 times [1][4] - Yonghui Supermarket is stabilizing daily sales after store adjustments, with expectations of reduced losses or profitability next year, supported by self-owned product growth [1][4] Beauty Sector - The beauty sector is benefiting from the Double Eleven shopping festival, with Proya and Winona showing strong sales performance. Proya's valuation is expected to be no more than 20 times in 2025 and 16-17 times in 2026 [1][5][6] Jewelry Sector - Laopuhuangjin is experiencing significant growth, with a projected annual increase of at least 50% and a valuation of under 30 times, expected to grow at least 30% next year with a valuation around 20 times [1][9] - The brand is expanding its presence in overseas markets, with plans to enter Japan by 2026 [10] Food and Beverage Sector - Mixue Group's same-store sales decreased by 7% month-on-month but increased by 6% year-on-year, with expectations of growth as external factors stabilize [11][12] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The overall consumer sector is currently underperforming, but there are still quality low-priced stocks worth considering [2] - The beauty sector's performance during the Double Eleven festival indicates strong consumer interest, particularly in leading brands [5] - Laopuhuangjin's competitive advantages include strong brand recognition in lower-tier cities and effective management of store openings and closures [7][9] - Yonghui Supermarket's adjustments and self-owned product development are crucial for its recovery and future growth [4][8]