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库存压力大叠加供给高压运行 烧碱盘面跌幅显著
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-03 07:02
Core Viewpoint - The caustic soda futures market is experiencing a significant decline, with the main contract dropping to 2157.0 yuan/ton, a decrease of 2.18% [1] Inventory and Production - As of November 27, the inventory of fixed liquid caustic soda in sample enterprises with a capacity of 20,000 tons or more reached 46.98 million tons (wet tons), reflecting a month-on-month increase of 9.89% and a year-on-year increase of 87.95% [2] - The average utilization rate for caustic soda production was 85.0%, up 0.4% from the previous week, with increases noted in North China, Central China, and East China regions [2] Market Sentiment and Price Trends - The top 20 futures companies for caustic soda held a total of 178,200 long positions and 197,800 short positions, resulting in a net position of -19,600, which decreased by 1,030 from the previous day [2] - The market is characterized by a significant accumulation of inventory due to relaxed supply and moderate downstream demand, leading to a downward trend in caustic soda prices [4] Industry Analysis - According to Ruida Futures, the overall supply of caustic soda is expected to be high in December, with production capacity utilization likely to increase due to the restart of some facilities in East and North China [4] - Guotou Anxin Futures indicates a weak trend for caustic soda, with high inventory pressure and insufficient downstream demand, while the integrated profit from chlorine-alkali remains low [4]