在供需基本面发生较明显变化下，碳酸锂期价迎来强势上行行情。11月20日，碳酸锂期货主力2601合约全天围绕10万元/吨 关口震荡，多头和空头分歧较大，截至盘终，2601合约报收于9.898万元/吨，未能站上重要关口位，成交近160万手，持仓近48 万手。 多位分析人士向《证券日报》记者表示，碳酸锂期货本轮强势行情主要在于供需基本面调整，市场对于未来需求持有较强 预期，而需求端受旺季支撑保持坚挺，加之资金不断涌入，期价一路走高。短期来看，主力合约或维持高位运行，但投资者需 谨防回调风险。 11月20日，碳酸锂期货主力2601合约盘初突破10万元/吨关口，最高达10.25万元/吨，创出自2024年6月份以来新高，全天 维持高位盘整态势，不过，临近尾盘，该合约有所下滑，最终失守10万元/吨关口。 中衍期货投资咨询部研究员王莹向记者表示，碳酸锂期价上涨逻辑主要基于供需基本面偏强、资金面驱动，以及市场情绪 提振等多重因素。供需端主产业复产时间推迟，需求端储能、动力电池旺季支撑保持坚挺，导致国内碳酸锂价格持续上涨。此 外，下游企业对2026年需求持30%至40%的增长预期，价格中枢有望达到15万元/吨至20万元/吨区间， ...

Core Insights - The current expectation is for a price increase of 45 yuan/ton for oil, with a potential rise of 75 yuan/ton compared to the previous day's forecast, nearing the upper limit for price adjustments [1] - International oil prices have surged significantly due to optimistic market sentiment regarding the end of the U.S. government shutdown and sanctions affecting Russian oil exports, leading to a shift from a decline to an increase in domestic oil prices [3] - Recent market performance shows U.S. crude oil rose by 1.75% to $60.98 per barrel, while Brent crude increased by 1.80% to $65.09 per barrel, indicating volatility in oil prices [3] Market Dynamics - Analysts suggest that the short-term rise in oil prices is primarily driven by market risk premiums rather than fundamental supply-demand adjustments [3] - There are indications that India is reducing its December orders for Russian oil while increasing purchases of U.S. oil, which may tighten supply expectations and elevate oil prices in the short term [3] - Upcoming reports, including the EIA's monthly short-term energy outlook and the API crude oil inventory report, are expected to contribute to ongoing price fluctuations [3] Regional Price Adjustments - The following are the expected prices for various fuel types across different regions in China: - Beijing: 92 gasoline at 6.94, 95 gasoline at 7.39, 98 gasoline at 8.89, 0 diesel at 6.62 [4] - Shanghai: 92 gasoline at 6.91, 95 gasoline at 7.35, 98 gasoline at 9.25, 0 diesel at 6.56 [4] - Guangdong: 92 gasoline at 6.96, 95 gasoline at 7.54, 98 gasoline at 9.54, 0 diesel at 6.59 [4] - The price adjustments are set to take effect on November 24 at 24:00 [1]