2025年12月17日，俄罗斯总统普京在俄罗斯国防部的年度会议上发表了强烈言辞，他称支持乌克兰的欧洲领导人为小猪，批评他们盲目追随美国，并试图从 俄罗斯的分裂中获益。不到一天，欧洲议会便通过了一项支持建立军事申根区的决议，作出了直接回应。这项决议最终以493票赞成、127票反对、38票弃权 通过，展示了欧洲内部的广泛共识。所谓军事申根区，核心目标是取消欧盟内部的边境限制，实现军队、装备和军事资产的迅速跨境调动。 普京的这番强硬表态，具有双重战略意义。一方面，他强调俄罗斯的军事力量，展示了自己对西方的强硬立场；另一方面，他也在向国内民众和俄军方传递 信息。普京认为，俄乌冲突的根源在于美国前总统拜登的挑动，而欧洲国家只是盲目追随者。 普京在讲话中提到：所有人都以为他们能够迅速摧毁俄罗斯，欧洲的'小猪'们急忙跟进，试图从中捞取好处。这句话深刻揭示了俄罗斯与欧洲之间的矛盾， 尤其是在经济制裁和利益冲突方面。自俄乌冲突升级以来，欧盟紧跟美国脚步，对俄罗斯实施了多轮制裁，涉及能源、金融、科技等多个领域，试图通过经 济压力削弱俄罗斯。然而，普京显然并不认同这种做法，他强调俄罗斯在经济、金融和军事领域已经展现出了足够的稳定性 ...

Core Viewpoint - The tension between Russia and Europe has reached a peak, with Putin's declaration of a "lightning war" serving as both a warning and a strategic maneuver against European reliance on the U.S. [1][3] Military Preparedness - Russia's military readiness is underscored by the "West-2024" military exercises, where missile units demonstrated rapid deployment capabilities, termed "battlefield instant mobility" by foreign media [3] - The Russian defense industry is experiencing a surge, with two military companies projected to see a 23% increase in revenue in 2024, and tank production is operating at full capacity [3] Energy Dynamics - Despite a significant reduction in gas exports to Europe, Russia maintains control over energy supplies to Southern Europe through the "TurkStream" pipeline, while energy exports to Asia have stabilized domestic conditions [3] - Russian citizens have not faced increases in gas prices, and pensions have been raised by 5.5%, contributing to Putin's stable approval ratings above 80% [3] European Internal Divisions - The EU is experiencing internal strife regarding support for Ukraine, with only half of the promised €50 billion in aid delivered, and significant dissent among Eastern European nations [5] - Germany's attempts to ease relations with Russia are met with criticism from Eastern European countries, while France's actions contradict its calls for European strategic autonomy [5] U.S. Involvement - The U.S. is benefiting from the situation, with a 38% increase in arms exports to Europe projected for 2024, and European reliance on U.S. LNG has doubled since 2021 [8] - The ongoing conflict has positioned the U.S. as a significant arms supplier, with companies like Lockheed Martin seeing increased demand for military equipment [8] Long-term Challenges - Despite the resilience of the Russian military-industrial complex, Western sanctions are causing technological challenges, particularly in the semiconductor sector [8] - The conflict is expected to be a prolonged struggle, with the potential for Europe to either continue as a U.S. ally or seek a more independent approach in negotiations with Russia [8]