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关键时刻,最新研判来了
3 6 Ke· 2025-11-24 01:00
Group 1: Market Overview - Recent global market turmoil is attributed to multiple factors, including the Federal Reserve's mixed signals on interest rate cuts, leading to increased volatility across asset classes [3][4][5] - The adjustment in various asset classes is not fundamentally driven but rather a result of emotional disturbances in the market [6][7] Group 2: Investment Outlook for A-shares and H-shares - A-shares and H-shares are viewed as having long-term strategic opportunities, with current adjustments seen as a window for positioning [6][8] - The valuation of A-shares and H-shares remains attractive compared to other global markets, with expectations of foreign capital inflow continuing [7][8] Group 3: Gold Market Analysis - Gold is expected to benefit from a global environment of loose fiscal and monetary policies, although its risk-return profile may decline by 2026 [9][10] - The long-term outlook for gold remains positive due to factors such as rising sovereign debt and central bank purchases [10][11] Group 4: Global Stock Market Trends - Short-term fluctuations in global stock markets are anticipated, with emerging markets expected to underperform compared to U.S. markets [11][12] - The overall sentiment remains cautious, with potential upward movement in global stock markets contingent on improved liquidity and risk appetite [11][12] Group 5: Oil Market Projections - The oil market is expected to experience a range-bound trading pattern, with prices projected to fluctuate between $60 and $70 per barrel [13][14] - Factors influencing oil prices include geopolitical events and OPEC's production strategies, with a general expectation of weak demand recovery [13][14] Group 6: Investment Opportunities and Risks - A-shares are highlighted as having superior investment value, with a focus on sectors like technology and high-end manufacturing [15][16] - Attention is drawn to potential risks, including U.S. economic data releases and geopolitical developments, which could impact market sentiment [18][19]