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广发中证港股通非银ETF(513750):低估值筑基,高业绩领航,稳健收益与优质配置并进
Soochow Securities· 2025-06-17 15:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the Guangfa CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank ETF (513750.SH) [1] Core Insights - The Guangfa CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank ETF focuses heavily on the insurance sector, with a weight of 70% in the index, providing a unique asset allocation opportunity in the market [6][14] - The valuation levels of the index are low, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.62 and a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.99, indicating a significant safety margin and potential for appreciation [6][32][35] - The index shows strong profitability with a dividend yield of 3.18%, reflecting robust earnings capacity and long-term investment value [6][45] - The insurance industry is experiencing high-quality development driven by favorable policies, with total premium income expected to grow from CNY 2.4 trillion in 2015 to CNY 5.7 trillion by 2024, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.9% [53][54] - The report highlights the increasing concentration of leading securities firms, driven by regulatory pressures and mergers, enhancing their competitive edge [62][64] Summary by Sections 1. Investment Value Analysis of the Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank Index - The index has a high concentration in the insurance sector, with a weight increase from 60.04% to 70.10% [14][22] - Valuation metrics indicate a favorable investment environment, with historical P/E and P/B ratios at the 21.50% and 45.00% percentiles, respectively [32][35] - The index's strong dividend yield and earnings per share (EPS) growth demonstrate its long-term investment potential [45][46] 2. Industry Fundamentals Analysis - The insurance sector is guided by policies aimed at high-quality development, focusing on risk prevention and product innovation [48][49] - The total premium income in the insurance industry is projected to grow significantly, with life insurance accounting for over 70% of the total [53][54] - Regulatory trends are encouraging mergers and acquisitions in the securities industry, leading to the emergence of "leading" securities firms [62][64] 3. Guangfa CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank ETF Product Introduction - The ETF has shown strong liquidity, with an average daily trading volume of CNY 314 million, indicating high market interest [6][7] - The ETF's performance is notable, with a cumulative return of 22.1% and an annualized return of 49.2%, outperforming similar products [7][6]