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保险行业8月保费:寿险单月保费强势增长,财险非车业务短期承压
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-26 12:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the insurance industry [1] Core Insights - In August, the life insurance sector experienced a strong premium growth of 49.7% year-on-year, significantly up from July's growth rate [4] - The report anticipates a gradual decline in premium growth rates post-September, as the surge in August is attributed to the "stop炒" effect of old products amid a backdrop of lowered preset interest rates [4] - The health insurance sector's premium growth remained stable at 2.6% year-on-year in August, with a long-term growth potential identified through the integration of health management and insurance services [4] - The property insurance sector saw a modest premium growth of 0.9% in August, primarily impacted by a decline in non-auto insurance premiums [4] - The report highlights that leading insurance companies maintain robust growth and quality in their business, particularly in auto insurance, where lower loss ratios enhance profitability [4] - The valuation of the insurance sector remains at historical lows, with expected PEV ratios between 0.57-0.85 and PB ratios between 1.02-2.16 for 2025, indicating significant upside potential [4] Summary by Sections Life Insurance - August's life insurance premiums reached CNY 4,645 billion, marking a 49.7% year-on-year increase, with a cumulative premium of CNY 37,999 billion for the first eight months of 2025, up 11.3% year-on-year [4] - The report notes a shift towards dividend insurance products as a response to the changing interest rate environment [4] Health Insurance - Health insurance premiums in August grew by 2.6%, with a cumulative growth of 2.4% for the first eight months of 2025 [4] - The report emphasizes the potential for health insurance to expand through a comprehensive health ecosystem [4] Property Insurance - Property insurance premiums in August increased by 0.9%, with a cumulative growth of 4.7% for the first eight months of 2025 [4] - The report indicates that the growth in auto insurance premiums is supported by the rising penetration of new energy vehicles [4] Market Outlook - The report suggests that both liability and asset sides of the insurance companies are improving, with a favorable outlook for the industry as a whole [4] - The anticipated recovery in long-term interest rates could alleviate pressure on investment yields for insurance companies [4]