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保险Ⅱ行业点评报告保险行业9月保费:寿险单月保费增速回落,财险各险种全面向好
Soochow Securities· 2025-11-02 06:04
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the insurance industry [1] Core Insights - In September, the growth rate of life insurance premiums declined, while all types of property insurance showed improvement [1] - The report anticipates that the high growth pattern of premiums for the year has been largely established, with optimistic expectations for new premium growth in 2026 due to sustained market demand [5] - The health insurance sector saw a positive growth rate in Q3, with September showing an increase compared to August [5] - The property insurance sector reported a year-on-year premium growth of 4.9% for the first nine months of 2025, with significant improvements in both auto and non-auto insurance [5] - The report highlights that both liability and asset sides of the insurance companies are continuously improving, indicating substantial upward valuation potential [5] Summary by Sections Life Insurance - Q3 saw a year-on-year premium growth of 25%, but September's growth rate turned negative at -4.2% due to short-term demand effects from product switching [5] - For the first nine months of 2025, the original premium income for life insurance reached CNY 40,895 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.2% [5] Health Insurance - Health insurance premiums increased by 2.5% year-on-year for the first nine months, with Q3 showing a positive growth rate of 2.8% [5] - The China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission's recent guidelines are expected to stimulate further growth in the health insurance market [5] Property Insurance - Property insurance premiums reached CNY 13,712 billion for the first nine months, with a year-on-year growth of 4.9% [5] - The report notes a significant improvement in non-auto insurance premiums, with September showing a year-on-year increase of 9.6% [5] Market Outlook - The report suggests that the market demand remains strong, with expectations of continued optimization in liability costs and improved profitability for leading companies [5] - Current valuations for the insurance sector are at historical lows, with estimates for 2025E PEV ranging from 0.56 to 0.92 times and PB from 1.07 to 2.07 times [5]
保险行业8月保费:寿险单月保费强势增长,财险非车业务短期承压
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-26 12:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the insurance industry [1] Core Insights - In August, the life insurance sector experienced a strong premium growth of 49.7% year-on-year, significantly up from July's growth rate [4] - The report anticipates a gradual decline in premium growth rates post-September, as the surge in August is attributed to the "stop炒" effect of old products amid a backdrop of lowered preset interest rates [4] - The health insurance sector's premium growth remained stable at 2.6% year-on-year in August, with a long-term growth potential identified through the integration of health management and insurance services [4] - The property insurance sector saw a modest premium growth of 0.9% in August, primarily impacted by a decline in non-auto insurance premiums [4] - The report highlights that leading insurance companies maintain robust growth and quality in their business, particularly in auto insurance, where lower loss ratios enhance profitability [4] - The valuation of the insurance sector remains at historical lows, with expected PEV ratios between 0.57-0.85 and PB ratios between 1.02-2.16 for 2025, indicating significant upside potential [4] Summary by Sections Life Insurance - August's life insurance premiums reached CNY 4,645 billion, marking a 49.7% year-on-year increase, with a cumulative premium of CNY 37,999 billion for the first eight months of 2025, up 11.3% year-on-year [4] - The report notes a shift towards dividend insurance products as a response to the changing interest rate environment [4] Health Insurance - Health insurance premiums in August grew by 2.6%, with a cumulative growth of 2.4% for the first eight months of 2025 [4] - The report emphasizes the potential for health insurance to expand through a comprehensive health ecosystem [4] Property Insurance - Property insurance premiums in August increased by 0.9%, with a cumulative growth of 4.7% for the first eight months of 2025 [4] - The report indicates that the growth in auto insurance premiums is supported by the rising penetration of new energy vehicles [4] Market Outlook - The report suggests that both liability and asset sides of the insurance companies are improving, with a favorable outlook for the industry as a whole [4] - The anticipated recovery in long-term interest rates could alleviate pressure on investment yields for insurance companies [4]