Group 1: Credit Bond ETF Analysis - The report highlights that during the period from July 21 to July 25, the benchmark credit bond ETFs and the Sci-Tech bond ETFs experienced significant pressure and adjustments, influenced by strong performances in equity and commodity markets [2][5] - There was a notable outflow of funds from the benchmark credit bond ETFs, with a record single-day outflow of 2.52 billion yuan on July 24, marking the largest outflow since their inception [6][8] - The report suggests that the current discount in the secondary market may present a temporary trading opportunity for credit bond ETFs, especially if market sentiment improves and the premium/discount rate returns to its mean [8][6] Group 2: Uranium Industry Insights - The report discusses the strategic re-evaluation of uranium enrichment in the context of global energy transition and nuclear power revival, positioning uranium enrichment as a key midstream segment in the nuclear fuel cycle [10][11] - The global uranium enrichment market is characterized by high concentration, with geopolitical shifts creating structural opportunities, particularly for non-Russian suppliers like Urenco and Orano, as demand for non-Russian enrichment capabilities rises [11][12] - The report identifies Centrus Energy as a core beneficiary in the U.S. domestic enrichment supply chain reconstruction, supported by government funding and contracts aimed at enhancing domestic capabilities [13][12] Group 3: Pumped Storage and Energy Storage Development - Pumped storage is recognized as a mature energy storage technology, with significant development prior to the dual carbon strategy, and recent statistics indicate that approved pumped storage capacity in China reached 170 GW over the years 2022 to 2024 [16][15] - The report emphasizes the transition of pumped storage pricing mechanisms towards a capacity market, which may influence future development directions [16][15] - The report anticipates that energy storage will increasingly rely on market arbitrage for revenue generation, particularly as the frequency regulation market aligns with the spot market, presenting new revenue opportunities for electrochemical storage [17][16]

1. Report industry investment rating - This report does not provide an investment rating for the industry [1] 2. Core View of the Report - The secondary market discount may lead to a temporary increase in the cost - effectiveness of credit bond ETFs. If the trading sentiment recovers in the future and the ETF premium - discount rate reverts to the central level, it may drive the ETF price to recover. It is recommended to moderately focus on the temporary trading opportunities brought by credit bond ETFs entering the discount range [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog 3.1 Credit bond ETF performance - From July 21 to July 25, affected by the strong performance of the equity and commodity markets, the benchmark - made credit bond ETFs and science - innovation bond ETFs were under pressure. The net worth and closing prices of 8 benchmark - made credit bond ETFs and 10 science - innovation bond ETFs declined for 4 consecutive days from July 21 to July 24 and showed differentiation on July 25. As of July 25, 2025, the closing prices of 10 science - innovation bond ETFs fell below 100 yuan, with cumulative declines ranging from 0.28% to 0.57% since listing; the closing prices of 8 benchmark - made credit bond ETFs also fell below 101 yuan, with declines ranging from 0.45% to 0.66% from July 17 to July 25. On July 28, the net worth of both types of ETFs recovered slightly [5] - Since the listing of science - innovation bond ETFs on July 17, the net capital inflow has rapidly declined. From July 23 to July 25, the benchmark - made credit bond ETFs saw a large - scale capital outflow. On July 24, the single - day net outflow of benchmark - made credit bond ETFs reached 2.52 billion yuan, the largest since the beginning of this year. More than half of the science - innovation bond ETFs had a small net capital outflow on July 24, just one week after listing [4][6] 3.2 How to view the discount trading opportunities of credit bond ETFs - Credit bond ETFs can be traded in the secondary market. Currently, 8 benchmark - made credit bond ETFs use physical subscription and redemption methods, and only 3 out of 10 science - innovation bond ETFs use cash subscription and redemption methods [12] - In the physical subscription and redemption model, investors are more likely to sell credit bond ETFs in the secondary market during market adjustments, which may lead to short - term discounts. After a short - term discount occurs, there are two possible directions: the market continues to adjust and the discount deepens, or the premium - discount rate reverts to the central level due to arbitrage activities [13] - Regarding the influencing factors, from July 17 to July 25, the valuation adjustments of the underlying component bonds of benchmark - made credit bond ETFs and science - innovation bond ETFs were not significantly different from those of non - component bonds, and no additional factors causing excessive valuation adjustments were observed [14] - From July 21 to July 25, the discount of benchmark - made credit bond ETFs deepened, and science - innovation bond ETFs gradually turned to a discount state. As of July 24, the discount of 8 credit bond ETFs ranged from 25 to 47 BP, significantly higher than the historical average; as of July 25, the discount of science - innovation bond ETFs ranged from 8 to 25 BP [17][18] - Although both types of ETFs are in the discount range, the trading sentiment may recover in the future, pulling the premium - discount rate back to the central level. The discount may bring a temporary increase in cost - effectiveness, and it is recommended to pay attention to the trading opportunities [19]