[Table_ReportInfo] 2025 年 11 月 24 日 证券研究报告•固定收益定期报告 债券 ETF 周度跟踪（11.17-11.21） 权益回调，债券 ETF 迎来转机 摘要 西南证券研究院 [Table_Author] 分析师：杨杰峰 执业证号：S1250523060001 电话：18190773632 邮箱：yangjf@swsc.com.cn 分析师：叶昱宏 执业证号：S1250525070010 电话：18223492691 邮箱：yeyuh@swsc.com.cn 相关研究 请务必阅读正文后的重要声明部分 S 各类债券 ETF 资金净流入情况：央行买断式逆回购与股债跷板效应共振，债 券 ETF净流入回暖。上周利率债类 ETF、信用债类 ETF、可转债类 ETF净流 入资金分别+37.39 亿元、+65.43 亿元、+35.52 亿元，债券 ETF 市场合计净 流入金额 138.34 亿元。上周央行加量续做 6M 买断式逆回购，市场流动性充 裕推动债券 ETF 市场份额净值双增。叠加上周权益市场高位回调，沪深 300 指数单周大跌 3.77%，提振债市行情。多数类型获资金净流入，国债 ...

今年以来，指数投资迎来爆发式增长，ETF产品发行进入快车道。数据显示，截至11月23日，今年以来 境内ETF新成立数量以及发行规模均创历年来新高，发行规模突破2500亿元大关，较2024年实现翻倍增 长。 □本报记者 王鹤静 易方达基金、富国基金、华夏基金、鹏华基金今年新成立的ETF数量均在20只以上，发行规模分别为 188.28亿元、159.94亿元、155.81亿元、125.34亿元；南方基金、天弘基金、汇添富基金、博时基金、嘉 实基金等紧随其后，新成立的ETF数量均在10只以上，发行规模均突破百亿元大关。 以ETF今年新发数量最多的易方达基金为例，在今年成立的26只ETF产品中，既包括科创债ETF、基准 做市信用债ETF这样的债券ETF和全市场首批巴西主题ETF，又包括上证380ETF、上证580ETF、科创 200ETF、创业板50ETF、科创综指ETF等宽基品种，同时还覆盖人工智能、红利低波、卫星、金融科 技、数字经济、通用航空、新能源、自由现金流和港股创新药、汽车、生物科技等诸多行业主题ETF， 以及中证A500、中证A50、科创综指等增强策略ETF。 结合产品类型来看，科创债ETF、基准做市信用 ...

Core Insights - The index investment has experienced explosive growth this year, with ETF product issuance entering a fast track, achieving record highs in both the number of new ETFs and issuance scale [1][2][3] Group 1: ETF Market Growth - As of November 23, 2023, 328 new ETFs have been established in China this year, with a total issuance scale exceeding 250 billion yuan, marking a historical high and doubling the scale compared to 2024 [1][2] - The issuance scale of bond ETFs, particularly the Sci-Tech Bond ETF and the Benchmark Market Credit Bond ETF, has reached 69.77 billion yuan and 21.71 billion yuan respectively, with 24 and 8 public fund institutions participating [1][2] Group 2: Popular ETF Themes - Equity ETFs focusing on themes such as "Double Innovation" and Hong Kong technology have gained significant traction among public fund institutions, with over 10 institutions actively investing in ETFs tracking indices like the CSI A500 and Sci-Tech Composite Index [2][3] - New ETFs tracking themes like Sci-Tech AI, Free Cash Flow, and Hong Kong Innovation Drugs have seen additional scales exceeding 5 billion yuan, while those tracking indices like the Entrepreneurial Board AI and Hong Kong Technology have added over 3 billion yuan [2] Group 3: New Entrants and Differentiation - Major fund houses like E Fund, Fuguo Fund, and Huaxia Fund have launched over 20 new ETFs each this year, with issuance scales surpassing 18.83 billion yuan, 15.99 billion yuan, and 15.58 billion yuan respectively [3][4] - Smaller public fund institutions are also entering the ETF market, with firms like Yongying Fund and Changcheng Fund launching their first ETFs, covering various themes including home appliances and low-volatility dividends [4] Group 4: Regulatory Changes and Approval Process - The approval process for ETF registration has been expedited, with the China Securities Regulatory Commission optimizing the registration and listing review process, removing the requirement for a no-objection letter from the stock exchange [5] - A recent batch of "hard technology" themed ETFs has been quickly approved, indicating regulatory support for the hard technology sector and facilitating capital flow into innovative fields like artificial intelligence [5]

今年以来，国内指数投资呈现爆发式增长，ETF产品发行进入"快车道"。 结合产品类型来看，科创债ETF、基准做市信用债ETF以及宽基、"双创"、港股科技、红利、现金流等 主题ETF，均是今年公募机构布局的重点方向。尤其是行业主题ETF新品，受到场内投资者青睐，且大 多有较好的规模孵化表现。 ETF产品布局明显提速 今年新成立的跟踪科创AI、自由现金流、恒生科技、港股通创新药指数的ETF，新增规模均在50亿元以 上；跟踪创业板人工智能、恒生港股通科技主题、恒生港股通创新药、恒生港股通中国科技、科创半导 体材料设备指数的ETF，新增规模均在30亿元以上。而宽基ETF新品规模缩水，今年新成立的跟踪科创 综指、中证A500的ETF，规模分别减少超120亿元、70亿元。 ETF业务迎"新人"入局 数据显示，截至11月20日，今年以来境内ETF新成立数量以及发行规模均创历年来新高，发行总规模突 破2500亿元大关，较2024年实现翻倍增长。 数据显示，截至11月20日，今年以来境内ETF新成立328只，合计发行规模突破2500亿元大关，创历年 来新高。对比2024年全年来看，今年以来ETF发行总规模已实现翻倍增长，ETF新 ...

本报记者 吴 珊 今年以来，债券ETF规模节节攀升。Wind资讯数据显示，截至11月19日，债券ETF（交易型开放式 指数基金）规模已达到7148.17亿元，创下历史新高。 在业内人士看来，债券ETF的持续扩容，不仅为投资者提供了更丰富的多元化配置选择，拓宽了大 类资产配置的路径，也将显著提升债券市场流动性，进一步推动ETF向高质量、多层次方向发展。随着 其在资产配置中的地位稳步提升，债券ETF的战略价值正愈发凸显。 多因素助力规模跃升 回溯过往，2024年5月份，债券ETF规模首次突破千亿元大关，同年末达到1739.73亿元。今年以 来，债券ETF规模增长进一步提速，截至11月19日，债券ETF规模已突破7100亿元，达到7148.17亿元。 产品数量增长与存量规模同步跃升，Wind资讯数据显示，截至11月19日，债券ETF产品总数达到53 只，其中33只产品为年内新成立，占比超过62%。同时，从目前债券ETF总规模来看，年内增量高达 5408.41亿元，占目前债券ETF总规模的75.66%。 此外，债券ETF的品类也日趋丰富。目前，上述53只债券ETF已涵盖可转债、国债、公司债、科创 债、信用债、城投债等 ...

本报记者吴珊 今年以来，债券ETF规模节节攀升。Wind资讯数据显示，截至11月19日，债券ETF（交易型开放式指数 基金）规模已达到7148.17亿元，创下历史新高。 在业内人士看来，债券ETF的持续扩容，不仅为投资者提供了更丰富的多元化配置选择，拓宽了大类资 产配置的路径，也将显著提升债券市场流动性，进一步推动ETF向高质量、多层次方向发展。随着其在 资产配置中的地位稳步提升，债券ETF的战略价值正愈发凸显。 同时，产品创新持续推进，也为债券ETF发展注入活力。曾方芳表示，今年以来，首批基准做市信用债 ETF、科创债ETF等新产品的推出填补了市场空白，覆盖了更多层次的投资者群体，吸引了大量中长期 资金入场。 晨星（中国）基金研究中心助理分析师王方琳进一步向《证券日报》记者补充说，被动管理型产品的优 势日益凸显也是债券ETF规模扩张的重要原因之一。在低利率环境下，主动管理型债券基金获取超额收 益的难度上升，而债券ETF通过紧密跟踪债券指数获取市场平均收益，以低波动、低费率、高透明度和 灵活交易的特点，吸引了大量投资者的关注，推动了相关ETF基金规模的增长。 而从需求端来看，鹏华科创债ETF基金经理张羊城告诉 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report From November 10 - 14, bond - type ETFs had a net capital outflow of 550 million yuan. Credit - bond ETFs, interest - rate bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs had net outflows of 370 million yuan, net inflows of 1.21 billion yuan, and net outflows of 1.39 billion yuan respectively. In terms of performance, compared with the previous week, the weekly cumulative unit - net - value changes of credit - bond ETFs, interest - rate bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs were - 0.01%, + 0.06%, and + 0.43% respectively, with the net value of convertible - bond ETFs continuously recovering [2][13]. Summary by Directory 1. Issuance Progress Tracking - Last week, there were no newly issued bond ETFs [3][17]. - A list of bond ETFs issued this year was provided, including details such as fund names, issuance shares, issuance scales, issuance announcement dates, fund establishment dates, and performance comparison benchmarks [18]. 2. Existing Product Tracking - As of November 14, 2025, the circulating market values of interest - rate bond ETFs, credit - bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs were 146.9 billion yuan, 376.9 billion yuan, and 65.7 billion yuan respectively, with credit - bond ETFs accounting for 63.9% of the total scale. Haifutong CSI Short - term Financing ETF and Boshi Convertible - bond ETF had the top two circulating market values [19]. - Compared with the previous week, the circulating market values of interest - rate bond ETFs, credit - bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs increased by 1.35 billion yuan, decreased by 130 million yuan, and decreased by 980 million yuan respectively. Products with obvious scale growth last week included Pengyang ChinaBond - 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF and Haifutong CSI Short - term Financing ETF [21]. - Among credit - bond ETFs, the circulating market values of benchmark - market - making credit - bond ETFs and science - innovation bond ETFs were 120 billion yuan and 251.7 billion yuan respectively, decreasing by 1.58 billion yuan and 70 million yuan compared with the previous week [23]. 3. ETF Performance Tracking - Based on the average trends of the cumulative unit net values of 16 interest - rate bond ETFs and 35 credit - bond ETFs, the cumulative unit net values of interest - rate bond ETFs and credit - bond ETFs closed at 1.19 and 1.03 respectively [26]. - As of November 14, taking February 7 as the base date, the average cumulative return of benchmark - market - making credit - bond ETFs rose to 0.81%; taking July 17 as the base date, the cumulative return of science - innovation bond ETFs marginally recovered to 0.09% [5][30]. 4. Premium/Discount Rate Tracking - The average premium/discount rates of credit - bond ETFs, interest - rate bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs last week were - 0.18%, + 0.01%, and - 0.04% respectively. The average trading price of credit - bond ETFs was lower than the fund's unit net value, indicating low allocation sentiment. Specifically, the weekly average premium/discount rates of benchmark - market - making credit - bond ETFs and science - innovation bond ETFs were - 0.30% and - 0.16% respectively [6][36]. 5. Turnover Rate Tracking - Last week, the turnover rates of interest - rate bond ETFs > credit - bond ETFs > convertible - bond ETFs. The weekly turnover rates of all three types of products declined, falling to 125%, 121%, and 87% respectively. Specifically, products such as Haifutong Shanghai Stock Exchange 5 - year Local Government Bond ETF, Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Benchmark - Market - Making Treasury Bond ETF, and Guotai CSI AAA Science - Innovation Corporate Bond ETF had relatively high turnover rates [7][41]. - A detailed list of 53 bond ETFs' existing details and weekly performance was provided, including circulating market values, weekly changes, weekly net - value changes, cumulative returns this year, weekly average premium/discount rates, and weekly turnover rates [45].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The high - frequency disclosure of the PCF list of ETF funds makes it have the potential to observe the actual holdings. Although there are some limitations, it has reference value [4][11]. - When using the PCF list to observe the actual holdings of ETFs, there is an implicit assumption of full - position allocation, and the actual positions of ETFs may not be fully occupied, but the overall deviation is within 10% [6][13]. - Since October, 18 credit bonds have been increased in holding by ETFs with a scale of over 500 million yuan, including 12 newly - listed bonds [6][11][18]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 1.1 Based on the Component Bond Holdings Observation of the PCF List - According to the information disclosure requirements of bond ETFs, the PCF list can be used as an approximate observation of the actual holdings of ETFs. When investors subscribe or redeem bond ETFs, they need to operate according to the PCF list [13]. - Using the PCF structure to simulate the actual holdings of ETFs implies the assumption of full - position allocation, but the actual positions of ETFs vary. For example, as of June 30, 2025, the proportion of bond assets in the fund assets of benchmark - making credit bond ETFs ranged from less than 80% to over 95% [13]. - Taking the top 5 holding bonds of a benchmark - making credit bond ETF as an example, the overall deviation between the estimated value and the actual value is within 10%, with 3 over - estimated, 1 under - estimated, and 1 accurately estimated [14]. 1.2 Which Bonds Have Been Increased in Holding by Bond ETFs Recently? - Since the second batch of science - innovation bonds were listed, the scale of credit bond ETFs has reached a phased high. Without new scale, the adjustment behavior of bond ETFs on component bonds has reference value for investors [18]. - Based on the observation results of the PCF list, the holding amount and its changes of each bond can be calculated. From October, 18 credit bonds have been increased in holding by ETFs with a scale of over 500 million yuan, including 12 newly - listed bonds and 6 bonds listed before October [18][19].

Choice数据显示，截至11月12日，债券ETF共有53只，今年以来增加32只；规模则从去年底的1799.87亿 元升至7054.23亿元。百亿级债券ETF也批量涌现，截至11月12日，30只债券ETF规模在百亿元以上，而 2024年底仅有5只。在业内人士看来，今年以来债券ETF频现新品种，为投资者提供了丰富的资产配置 工具，后续更多创新产品值得期待 ◎记者 赵明超 债券ETF发展迅猛，最新规模已突破7000亿元，今年以来增长5200多亿元。与此同时，百亿级ETF阵营 持续扩容，在当前上市的53只债券ETF中，规模突破百亿元的产品有30只。 百亿级债券ETF达30只 Choice数据显示，截至11月12日，债券ETF共有53只，今年以来增加32只；规模则从去年底的1799.87亿 元升至7054.23亿元。 值得注意的是，百亿级债券ETF批量涌现。截至11月12日，30只债券ETF规模在百亿元以上，而2024年 底仅有5只。 具体来看，海富通中证短融ETF规模为686.1亿元，博时中证可转债及可交换债券ETF规模为572.63亿 元，富国中债7-10年政策性金融债ETF规模为437.27亿元，鹏扬中债-30 ...

Report Information - The report is a weekly fixed - income regular report on bond ETFs from November 3rd to November 7th, 2025, titled "Bond ETF Weekly Tracking (11.3 - 11.7): Market Net Inflow Growth Marginal Narrowing" [1] Core Viewpoint - The overall net inflow growth of the bond ETF market has narrowed marginally, with the increment mainly coming from interest - rate bond ETFs. The net inflow of convertible bond ETFs is negative [4][7] Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report Summary by Directory 1.1 各类债券 ETF 资金净流入情况 - The overall net inflow growth of bond ETFs has narrowed marginally, and the increment mainly comes from interest - rate bond ETFs. Last week, the net inflow funds of interest - rate bond ETFs, credit bond ETFs, and convertible bond ETFs were 4.914 billion yuan, 1.394 billion yuan, and - 1.574 billion yuan respectively, with a total net inflow of 4.734 billion yuan in the bond ETF market. As of November 7, 2025, the bond ETF fund scale was 70.6121 billion yuan, up 0.87% from the previous week's close and 292.79% from the beginning of the year, accounting for 12.28% of the total market ETF scale, up 1bp from the previous weekend [4][7] - Treasury bond ETFs led the net inflow, and the growth of short - term financing and local bond ETFs continued. Last week, treasury bond ETFs (+ 2.698 billion yuan), short - term financing ETFs (+ 2.553 billion yuan), and local bond ETFs (+ 2.223 billion yuan) ranked top three in net inflow amount. Convertible bond ETFs, science and technology innovation bond ETFs, and benchmark market - making credit bond ETFs had negative net inflows, with - 1.574 billion yuan, - 1.390 billion yuan, and - 0.515 billion yuan respectively [7] 1.2 各类债券 ETF 份额走势 - The share inflows of interest - rate bond and credit bond ETFs improved marginally, and the local bond ETFs had a steep growth. As of the close on November 7, 2025, the shares of treasury bond, policy - financial bond, local bond, credit bond, and convertible bond ETFs were 683.88 million shares, 442.47 million shares, 127.08 million shares, 7185.08 million shares, and 4954.95 million shares respectively, with a total of 13393.45 million shares for bond - type ETFs. Compared with the close on October 31, 2025, they changed by 22.53 million shares, - 0.08 million shares, 19.41 million shares, 35.81 million shares, and - 116.90 million shares respectively, with a total change of - 39.22 million shares [21] 1.3 主要债券 ETF 份额及净值走势 - Convertible bond ETFs had a large - scale share outflow. As of the close on November 7, 2025, the shares of 30 - year treasury bond ETF, policy - financial bond ETF, 5 - year local bond ETF, urban investment bond ETF, and convertible bond ETF were 279.89 million shares, 379.37 million shares, 31.73 million shares, 2635.48 million shares, and 4241.99 million shares respectively. Compared with the close on October 31, 2025, they changed by 11.78 million shares, - 0.06 million shares, no change, 27.80 million shares, and - 99.70 million shares respectively [24] - The net value performance was differentiated, and some interest - rate bond ETFs turned down. As of the close on November 7, 2025, the net values of 30 - year treasury bond ETF, policy - financial bond ETF, 5 - year local bond ETF, urban investment bond ETF, and convertible bond ETF were 1.2549, 1.1502, 1.2577, 1.4377, and 1.3610 respectively, changing by - 0.37%, - 0.10%, 0.06%, 0.06%, and 0.85% respectively compared with the close on October 31, 2025 [27] 1.4 基准做市信用债 ETF 份额及净值走势 - The share change was not obvious, and some products had a small - scale outflow. As of the close on November 7, 2025, among the 8 existing benchmark market - making credit bond ETFs, the shares of some products changed by no change, no change, no change, no change, - 2.11 million shares, - 1.00 million shares, no change, - 2.00 million shares respectively compared with the close on October 31, 2025 [30] - The upward momentum of the net value weakened. As of the close on November 7, 2025, the net values of the 8 credit bond ETFs changed by 0.06%, 0.05%, 0.06%, 0.03%, 0.05%, 0.04%, 0.04%, 0.05% respectively compared with the close on October 31, 2025. Looking at each single day, the net value showed a turning trend at the end of last week, and the growth momentum showed signs of weakening after continuous upward movement for many weeks [33] 1.5 科创债 ETF 份额及净值走势 - Last week, the shares of science and technology innovation bond ETFs decreased more than they increased. The net inflow of shares of the 24 existing science and technology innovation bond ETFs was - 10.56 million shares, a decrease of 0.42% compared with the previous week. The top three products in terms of share net inflow were Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF China Merchants (+ 2.00 million shares), Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Penghua (+ 1.39 million shares), and Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Huaxia (+ 1.25 million shares). The top three products in terms of share net outflow were Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Boshi (- 7.00 million shares), Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Fuguo (- 3.85 million shares), and Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Southern (- 2.12 million shares) [36] - The net value was higher than the previous week's closing price, but showed an "inverted U" trend during the week. As of the close on November 7, 2025, the average net values of the first - batch and second - batch science and technology innovation bond ETFs increased by 0.05% and 0.03% respectively compared with the previous week's close, but the net value of each science and technology innovation bond ETF showed a decline at the weekend [37] 1.6 单只债券 ETF 市场表现情况 - The 0 - 4 local bond ETF led the net inflow for two consecutive weeks, and the convertible bond - type ETF led the net value increase. Last week, the net values of 30 - year treasury bond ETF Boshi and 30 - year treasury bond ETF turned down after leading the increase for several consecutive weeks, with - 0.41% and - 0.39% respectively. Convertible bond ETF and Shanghai - Stock - Exchange Convertible Bond ETF benefited from the excellent performance of the equity market, with their net value increases ranking among the top, at + 0.85% and + 0.83% respectively [40] - In terms of the premium - discount rate, 30 - year treasury bond ETF, 30 - year treasury bond ETF Boshi, and benchmark treasury bond ETF led with 0.08%, 0.07%, and 0.02% respectively, reflecting the market capital preference. In terms of scale change, short - term financing ETF (+ 2.553 billion yuan), 0 - 4 local bond ETF (+ 2.100 billion yuan), and 30 - year treasury bond ETF (+ 1.413 billion yuan) ranked top three in net inflow amount, while the convertible bond ETF had a significantly higher net outflow amount than other products, at - 1.353 billion yuan [40]