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中信证券:大众品终端需求偏弱运行 结构性机会仍存
智通财经网· 2025-07-09 00:32
Group 1: Overall Market Trends - The demand for consumer goods remains weak in Q2 2025, with no significant improvement on a quarter-on-quarter basis [1] - Raw material costs for consumer goods companies are mostly at the bottom or in a downward trend, but competition in the industry remains intense, leading to limited improvement in profitability [1] Group 2: Dairy Products - Demand for ambient liquid milk remains weak, while demand for low-temperature liquid milk, cheese, and ice cream shows improvement [2] - The supply-demand situation for raw milk is improving, but competition remains high due to excess supply [2] - The performance of upstream dairy farms is expected to remain under pressure in H1 2025 due to falling milk prices and changes in herd structure [2] Group 3: Food Supply Chain - The demand for the food supply chain remains weak, with most companies showing relatively flat revenue performance [3] - Prices for raw materials like flour, soybeans, and sugar have decreased year-on-year, while prices for plant oils and imported dairy products have increased [3] Group 4: Snacks - The konjac category remains strong, but there is noticeable differentiation within the snack sector [4] - Online channel revenue growth for snacks has slowed, while demand for quail eggs has also decreased [4] Group 5: Beverages - The beverage industry continues to show a favorable demand environment, with health and functional products leading growth [5] - Increased competition is noted as multiple manufacturers engage in promotional activities and invest in large packaging products [5]