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调降偿付能力因子,引导险资长期投资
HTSC· 2025-12-06 12:27
Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the insurance sector, encouraging long-term investments in large-cap stocks, dividend stocks, and stocks listed on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [1][4]. Core Insights - The National Financial Regulatory Administration has adjusted the risk factors for insurance companies, reducing the risk factor for long-term holdings of stocks in the CSI 300 Index and the CSCI Dividend Low Volatility 100 Index by 10% [1][2]. - The adjustment reflects a regulatory push to encourage insurance capital to enter the market and emphasizes the importance of long-term investment strategies [1][3]. - The report estimates that the equity risk portion accounts for 18% to 46% of total capital consumption for major life insurance companies, with the adjusted risk factors providing a slight improvement in solvency [2][12]. Summary by Sections Regulatory Changes - The risk factors for stocks with an average holding period of over three years in the CSI 300 Index and the CSCI Dividend Low Volatility 100 Index have been reduced from 0.3 to 0.27, while those for stocks on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board with an average holding period of over two years have been reduced from 0.4 to 0.36 [2][22]. - This adjustment is part of a broader trend since the implementation of the risk-oriented solvency system in 2016, which has seen periodic adjustments to equity investment capital consumption [4][21]. Long-term Investment Focus - The report highlights that the current regulatory changes are aimed at promoting long-term investments, particularly in large-cap dividend stocks, which are expected to be included in the FVOCI accounting category [3][18]. - Major insurance companies have significantly increased their holdings in dividend stocks, with an estimated allocation of over 920 billion RMB in FVOCI stocks as of the first half of 2025 [3][14]. Market Trends - The emphasis on dividend stocks aligns with the trend of insurance companies relying on dividend income to compensate for declining cash yields [5][14]. - The report suggests that the insurance sector is transitioning from a phase of aggressive buying to a more selective investment strategy, focusing on balancing and optimizing their dividend stock portfolios [5][14].