光伏需求增速放缓

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阿特斯三季度排产环比下调!光伏需求增速放缓,行业进入深度调整期
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-03 18:52
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing a deep adjustment period, with significant changes in market demand growth trends. Companies like Canadian Solar (阿特斯) are adjusting their production strategies in response to these industry-wide developments [1][4]. Industry Summary - The growth rate of photovoltaic demand is slowing, becoming a consensus within the industry. The domestic photovoltaic installation market has shown a pattern of high growth followed by a decline. In the first half of the year, the newly installed capacity reached 212 GW, setting a historical record. The China Photovoltaic Industry Association has raised its forecast for new installations this year to a range of 270 GW to 300 GW. However, after the surge in installations in the first half, the pace is expected to slow down in the second half [3]. - The overseas market exhibits different development characteristics. Changes in U.S. policies have a relatively limited short-term impact on demand, while emerging markets continue to show stable growth. Rapid development in regions such as the Indo-Pacific and Middle East-Africa is providing significant support for global photovoltaic demand, with these areas gradually releasing market potential and becoming new drivers for industry growth [3]. Company Summary - In response to profound market changes, Canadian Solar has adopted a flexible production adjustment strategy. The company's third-quarter production was dynamically adjusted based on market demand, showing a decrease compared to the second quarter. This adjustment reflects the company's accurate judgment of market conditions and its ability to respond quickly [4]. - The company has stated that its component business will not solely pursue shipment scale but will prioritize profit stability. By balancing supply and demand, the company aims to ensure stable profitability. This strategic shift indicates a transition in photovoltaic manufacturing enterprises from scale expansion to high-quality development [4]. - Starting in the first half of 2024, Canadian Solar has established a "balance of quantity and profit" development strategy. The company is proactively optimizing its shipment structure and focusing on high-value markets to regulate production capacity. This forward-looking strategy is proving valuable in the current market environment, laying a foundation for maintaining competitive advantages during the industry adjustment period [4].