Core Viewpoint - The rare metals sector is experiencing a rebound, driven by increased demand from downstream industries such as energy storage and power batteries, alongside supply-side uncertainties [1] Industry Summary - As of November 27, 2025, the China Securities Rare Metals Theme Index rose by 0.54%, with notable increases in stocks such as Yunnan Zhenye (+5.63%) and Tin Industry Co. (+4.90%) [1] - The price of lithium carbonate futures previously exceeded 100,000 yuan/ton due to significant growth in demand and supply constraints [1] - The scarcity of strategic minor metals, coupled with rapid growth in demand from sectors like new energy, semiconductors, and military industries, is intensifying supply-demand conflicts [1] - Future price trends for rare metals are expected to continue upward due to ongoing resource scarcity, demand structure upgrades, and policy adjustments [1] Company Summary - According to Shenwan Hongyuan Research, the small metals sector is anticipated to see positive changes in 2026, with energy storage demand driving an earlier reversal in the lithium carbonate industry cycle [1] - The value of strategic minor metals such as rare earths, tungsten, and antimony is expected to be continuously reassessed in the context of de-globalization [1] - The restructuring of the global credit landscape and the continuation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts will support the favorable trends for precious and minor metals [1] - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Rare Metals Theme Index accounted for 60% of the index, including companies like Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Ganfeng Lithium [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company announced its 2025 H1 earnings forecast, which aligns with expectations, showing significant year-on-year growth in net profit and non-recurring net profit due to lean production and rising gold prices [1][2]. Financial Performance - For 2025 H1, the company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.55-3.05 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 84.3%-120.5%. The non-recurring net profit is also projected to be in the same range, with a year-on-year increase of 80.3%-115.6% [1]. - In Q2 2025, the net profit is anticipated to be 1.52-2.02 billion yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 48.5%-97.3%, with non-recurring net profit expected to follow a similar trend [1]. Gold Price Trends - The average gold price for H1 2025 is projected at 723 yuan per gram, a year-on-year increase of 38.3%, while Q2 2025 is expected to see a price of 773 yuan per gram, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 15.2% [2]. - The upward trend in precious metal prices is expected to continue, driven by gold's attributes as a financial product, particularly its safety and liquidity in the context of global economic uncertainties [2]. Project Developments - The company has multiple ongoing projects that are expected to enhance its resource advantages and economic benefits, including the Cardino project, which is set to begin trial production in November 2024, with an expected annual gold output of 8.4 tons [2]. - Other projects, such as the Jiao Jia Mine and New Town Gold Mine, are also in development, with anticipated annual outputs of 18.854 tons and 7.77 tons, respectively [2]. Investment Outlook - The company maintains a buy rating and forecasts net profits of 6.87 billion yuan, 8.50 billion yuan, and 9.48 billion yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 20x, 17x, and 15x [3]. - As the three major mining projects gradually come online, the company is expected to benefit significantly from the rising gold price cycle, translating resource advantages into economic benefits [3].