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美联储10月如期降息25BP,鲍威尔表态偏鹰派,强调12月降息并非板上钉钉
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-30 02:29
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Technology Index opened slightly higher on October 30, followed by a volatile trading session, with a brief dip observed [1] - Major ETFs, particularly the Hang Seng Technology Index ETF (513180), mirrored the index's fluctuations, experiencing a drop of over 1% at one point [1] - Among the holdings, stocks like Xpeng Motors, Midea Group, NIO, Horizon Robotics, Tencent Holdings, and Alibaba saw significant gains, while Sunny Optical Technology, Tencent Music, Trip.com Group, and Xiaomi Group led the declines [1] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve announced a 0.25% reduction in the federal funds rate to a range of 3.75% to 4%, aligning with market expectations, and will end balance sheet reduction on December 1 [1] - Despite the rate decision, Fed Chair Powell's hawkish tone suggested that a December rate cut is not guaranteed, leading to a rise in U.S. Treasury yields and a narrowing of gains in U.S. stocks [1] - Future outlook indicates a high probability of another rate cut in December amid weakening employment, with the path for rate cuts in the following year requiring further confirmation [1] Group 3 - Guotai Junan Securities highlighted that easing U.S.-China tariff conflicts could enhance risk appetite, potentially benefiting the Hang Seng Technology Index and A-share technology stocks with fundamental support [2] - The report emphasized the importance of monitoring economic cycles and the potential rebound of domestic PPI towards the end of the year and into the first half of next year, which could favor low-cycle domestic stocks and global resource pricing [2] Group 4 - Relevant ETFs include the Hang Seng Technology Index ETF (513180), which supports T+0 trading and focuses on "hard technology + new consumption" [3] - The A-share technology direction is represented by the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 ETF (159783), which targets high elasticity in sectors such as semiconductors, communication equipment, batteries, and photovoltaic equipment [3]