全球化悖论
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张燕生:历史与当下的反全球化力量,往往正是全球化推手
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-12-18 12:24
Core Viewpoint - The forum emphasizes the importance of domestic demand as a driving force for China's economic growth in the short term, while focusing on industry, technology, and domestic demand for long-term development [1][12]. Group 1: Economic Strategy - Zhang Yansheng, a researcher at the China Macroeconomic Research Institute, highlighted that the core of China's modernization and economic development is to strengthen consumption and investment to effectively counter international economic changes [1][12]. - The short-term annual plan will focus on "domestic demand as the main driver," while the medium to long-term strategy will involve promoting industry, technology, and domestic demand [1][12]. Group 2: Global Economic Environment - The current international policy environment and economic order are undergoing changes, making it crucial to steadily promote economic growth and stabilize exports in the coming years [4][12]. - The "globalization paradox" suggests that the forces against globalization often stem from those who were once its proponents, indicating a complex relationship between global cooperation and protectionism [4][8]. Group 3: Future Challenges - The future of global economic development will face multiple challenges, including the sustainability of globalization and the potential for increased protectionism and technological decoupling among major powers [8][11]. - Key factors influencing the next five years include the direction of global trade and investment, the advancement of technological revolutions, and the evolution of major power relations [6][8]. Group 4: Technological Revolution - The new technological revolution, characterized by artificial intelligence, cloud computing, big data, and blockchain, is expected to have profound impacts on the economy and industries [13]. - The forum discussed the importance of enhancing labor productivity and overall factor productivity through the application of new technologies [13].
中国宏观经济研究院研究员张燕生:产业、科技和内需是未来十年的发展动力
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-18 10:20
他进一步指出,中国式现代化的推进、中国经济的持续发展,核心就是要把中国的消费与投资做大做强,全力提振内需。因为内需能够提振消费、扩大投 资,这样才能有效对冲国际形势、国际贸易、国际经济与国际投资领域的变化。 当前,国际政策环境与经济秩序都发生变化,在这样的背景下,如何稳步推动明年及未来五年的经济增长与出口稳定,非常重要。 值得深思的是,"全球化悖论"——历史与当下的反全球化力量,往往正是曾经的全球化推手。张燕生提出,新全球化区别于以往的核心特征,是基于市场 规律、企业主体、民间交流、人工智能技术赋能的开放模式,其进程注定缓慢且曲折,但符合全球共同利益。 对于未来的五年全球治理体系,张燕生给出明确应对方向:无论国际风云如何变幻,保持战略定力、历史耐心与底线思维,扎扎实实做好自己的事,是立 足复杂环境的核心支撑。 封面新闻记者 欧阳宏宇 以人工智能、云计算、大数据、区块链为代表的技术浪潮,究竟会对我们的经济、产业以及每个人的日常生活产生哪些深远影响? 12月18日,中国宏观经济研究院研究员张燕生在2025全球财富管理论坛上表示,中国短期年度计划以"内需主导"为抓手,中长期五到十年则从产业、科 技、内需三个重要方面 ...