全球多元化资金流动
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信心动摇,全球资本悄然“抛售美国”
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2026-01-25 22:47
Core Viewpoint - The trend of "selling America" continues among global investors, despite temporary market stabilization following President Trump's withdrawal of tariff threats against eight European countries at the Davos Forum [1][2]. Group 1: Market Reactions - Following Trump's announcement, the U.S. stock market experienced a brief recovery, with the market sentiment shifting from decline to increase [2]. - On January 23, the U.S. dollar index fell by 0.78%, closing at 97.593, indicating ongoing pressure on the dollar [2]. - U.S. stock funds saw a net outflow of $16.8 billion in the previous week, while European stock funds experienced their strongest inflow in six weeks since June of the previous year [2]. Group 2: Capital Flows and Investment Strategies - Concerns over U.S. domestic policies and attractive investment opportunities abroad are driving capital away from U.S. assets towards diversification [2][3]. - Denmark's AkademikerPension announced its exit from $100 million in U.S. Treasury bonds due to worries about fiscal discipline and the weakening dollar [3]. - The Reserve Bank of India has also been reducing its holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds, with its long-term bond holdings dropping to $174 billion, a 26% decrease from the peak in 2023 [3]. Group 3: Global Asset Diversification - The International Monetary Fund reported that the dollar's share in global foreign exchange reserves has fallen below 60%, the lowest in decades, as central banks diversify their asset allocations [4]. - Gold is becoming a more favored reserve asset among central banks, with Poland's central bank planning to increase its gold reserves by 150 tons [4]. - Investors are increasingly wary of potential risks associated with U.S. domestic policies, which are seen as more systemic compared to geopolitical threats [4]. Group 4: Emerging Markets and Investment Opportunities - Record inflows into emerging market funds are being observed, with the MSCI Emerging Markets Index reaching historical highs [5][6]. - The index has gained approximately 7% since the beginning of the year, driven primarily by Asian technology stocks [6]. - The attractiveness of non-U.S. assets is leading to a quiet "sell-off" of U.S. bonds as investors seek better opportunities elsewhere [6].