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英美没想到!联手踢人民币出局,只为巩固美元,交易市场却变天了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-12 13:14
Core Viewpoint - The sudden decision by the London Metal Exchange (LME) to halt all non-U.S. dollar-denominated metal options trading is perceived as a strategic move against the rising influence of the Chinese yuan, signaling a potential shift in the global financial order [3][12][30] Group 1: LME's Role and Impact - The LME has historically functioned as a key component of the U.S. dollar's dominance in global finance, acting as a "wealth amplifier" to maintain U.S. hegemony [5][12] - The LME's pricing system dictates the value of industrial metals globally, reinforcing the dollar's role in commodity pricing [5][14] - The LME's operations have facilitated a wealth transfer mechanism that benefits U.S. financial markets at the expense of manufacturing nations [7][9] Group 2: China's Rising Influence - China is positioned as a formidable challenger to the LME, leveraging its industrial strength and trade volume to reshape the pricing dynamics of metals [12][14] - The trading volume of yuan-denominated metal options has surged by 900% from 30,000 contracts to 270,000 contracts over the past three years, indicating a significant shift towards yuan-based transactions [14][20] - Major resource-exporting countries are increasingly adopting yuan for trade, with over 30% of mineral exports to China now settled in yuan [16][20] Group 3: LME's Reaction and Consequences - The LME's abrupt rule change to exclude yuan-denominated trading is seen as a desperate attempt to maintain its influence, reflecting a lack of confidence in its traditional market dominance [18][22] - This move has inadvertently accelerated the market's shift towards the yuan, as evidenced by a dramatic increase in trading volumes on the Shanghai Futures Exchange following the LME's announcement [25][27] - The widening price gap between LME and Shanghai copper contracts highlights the growing divide between speculative financial practices and real industrial demand [25][29] Group 4: Future Outlook - The LME's actions may signify the beginning of a transition to a "post-LME era," where the center of gravity in metal trading shifts from London to Shanghai [29][30] - The historical parallels drawn with the decline of the British pound post-Suez Crisis suggest that the dollar's dominance in metal markets may also be waning [27][30]