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全球第四次工业革命
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FOF基金经理:关注科技成长及商品
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-09-29 03:37
Core Viewpoint - The FOF fund managers are optimistic about stock assets in the fourth quarter, focusing on technology growth and commodities, while also considering the role of bonds for volatility management [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Market Outlook - The probability of corporate profit improvement is higher, making stock assets more attractive [1][3]. - The current stock-bond price ratio is around 5.2%, indicating a favorable environment for stocks despite the recent rise in the Shanghai Composite Index [3]. - The upward momentum in A-shares is driven by increased capital expenditure in the domestic computing power industry, supported by both domestic and international tech giants [3][4]. Group 2: Asset Allocation Strategy - A-shares and Hong Kong stocks are currently overweighted, while overseas equity assets and commodities are given limited overweight [5]. - The sectors of technology, innovative pharmaceuticals, robotics, and energy security have seen significant price increases this year, warranting a premium due to the ongoing AI-driven industrial revolution [5]. - The bond market has improved in terms of value after adjustments, and a neutral duration is recommended for bond allocations [5]. Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - Structural opportunities exist in technology growth within equity assets, and recently adjusted dividend stocks are also worth attention [6]. - Gold continues to show value in allocation, along with certain industrial commodities that face supply constraints [6].
FOF基金经理:关注科技成长及商品
中国基金报· 2025-09-29 03:36
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the outlook for asset allocation in the fourth quarter, highlighting a positive sentiment towards equity assets, particularly in technology growth and commodities, while also addressing the challenges in the bond market [2]. Group 1: Equity Market Outlook - The stock market has shown a "slow bull" trend this year, with expectations for continued improvement in corporate earnings, making equity assets attractive [2][4]. - Fund managers believe that if the overseas interest rate cut cycle proceeds smoothly and domestic economic policies become more proactive, the foundation for a "slow bull" market will be strengthened, enhancing the appeal of the stock market [4][7]. - A focus on A-shares and Hong Kong stocks is emphasized, driven by increased capital expenditure in the domestic computing power industry, which supports both industrial logic and profit growth [4][6]. Group 2: Bond Market Perspective - Bond assets have experienced a decline in holding experience due to reduced static yields and increased volatility, leading to a shift in views among fund managers [4]. - The current bond market offers improved value after adjustments, with recommendations to maintain a neutral duration in bond allocations [7]. Group 3: Asset Allocation Strategy - The article suggests an overweight position in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, with limited exposure to overseas equity assets and commodities [6]. - There is a focus on sectors such as technology, innovative pharmaceuticals, robotics, and energy security, which have seen significant price increases this year [7]. - The article also highlights the potential for valuation recovery in sectors previously constrained by oversupply, such as new energy and chemicals, under the "anti-involution" policy [7].