全球经济增长忧虑
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每日期货全景复盘1.5:铂、钯期货预计仍将维持高波动特征
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-05 10:33
Market Sentiment - The market sentiment is currently weak, with significant divergence observed across sectors, particularly in precious metals and lithium, which are experiencing strong gains, while coal and chemical sectors are facing sharp declines [1]. Key Highlights - Lithium carbonate prices surged by 8.88%, with the main contract reaching 129,980 yuan/ton, driven by strong supply-demand dynamics [10][25]. - Domestic soda ash inventory increased to 1.5084 million tons, up by 10,010 tons or 7.11% from the previous period [4][19]. - The price of platinum and palladium saw significant fluctuations, with platinum rising by 6.48% and palladium by 8.88% after an initial spike of over 11% [10][26]. Sector Performance - The new energy sector showed a positive performance with a 2.4% increase, while coal and polyester chains declined by 2.9% and 1.7% respectively [5][21]. Fund Flows - The top five positions with increased holdings included soda ash (2605) with +101.2,焦煤 (焦煤2605) with +53.4, and rebar (螺纹钢2605) with +43.0 [6][22]. Commodity Insights - The supply of lithium is expected to tighten due to regulatory issues affecting domestic mining operations, with a projected monthly reduction of 0.8-1 million tons from key suppliers [10][25]. - The oil market is under pressure due to concerns over oversupply, with SC crude oil prices dropping to 421.7 yuan/barrel, marking a 3.39% decline [12][27].