全球贸易增长预测
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联合国报告预测 2026年世界经济将增长2.7%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-11 21:22
Group 1 - The United Nations predicts global economic growth of 2.7% in 2026, slightly lower than the 2.8% forecast for 2025 [1] - Despite significant tariff increases in the U.S., global economic resilience is supported by robust consumer spending and declining inflation [1] - Persistent investment weakness and limited fiscal space are dragging down economic activity, increasing the risk of prolonged low growth globally [1] Group 2 - Global trade growth is expected to decline to 2.2% in 2026, down from 3.8% in 2025, due to higher tariffs and rising macroeconomic uncertainty [1] - The U.S. economy is projected to grow at around 2.0% in 2026, influenced by a weakening labor market and export pressures from tariff increases and geopolitical uncertainties [1] - The EU's economic growth is forecasted to slow to 1.3% in 2026, while Japan's growth is expected to be approximately 0.9% due to a deteriorating external environment [1] Group 3 - Economic growth predictions for various regions in 2026 include East Asia at 4.4%, South Asia at 5.6%, Africa at 4.0%, Latin America and the Caribbean at 2.3%, and the Commonwealth of Independent States and Georgia at 2.1% [2] - The report calls for enhanced global coordination and collective action among countries to address trade adjustments, price pressures, and climate impacts amid escalating geopolitical tensions [2]
【环球财经】联合国报告预测2026年世界经济将增长2.7%
Xin Hua She· 2026-01-09 06:09
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the global economy is projected to grow by 2.7% in 2026, slightly lower than the 2.8% forecast for 2025 [1] - Despite a significant increase in tariffs by the United States in 2025, global economic performance showed unexpected resilience supported by robust consumer spending and a decline in inflation [1] - The report highlights persistent vulnerabilities, including low investment and limited fiscal space, which are dragging down economic activity and increasing the risk of prolonged low growth globally [1] Group 2 - The report indicates that the initial easing of trade tensions has helped mitigate the impact on international trade, but higher tariff levels combined with rising macroeconomic uncertainty are expected to have more pronounced effects in 2026 [1] - Global trade growth is forecasted to decline to 2.2% in 2026, down from 3.8% in 2025 [1] - The report predicts that the U.S. economy will maintain a growth rate of around 2.0% in 2026, while the EU's growth will slow to 1.3% due to increased tariffs and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties affecting exports [1] Group 3 - Japan's economic growth is expected to be approximately 0.9% in 2026, influenced by a weakening external environment [1] - Economic growth projections for various regions in 2026 include East Asia at 4.4%, South Asia at 5.6%, Africa at 4.0%, Latin America and the Caribbean at 2.3%, and the Commonwealth of Independent States and Georgia at 2.1% [1] - The report calls for countries to strengthen global coordination and collective action in response to heightened geopolitical tensions, trade pattern adjustments, price pressures, and climate impacts [2]