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东盟黄金存中国?3800美元金价背后,人民币正在悄悄换道超车
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-30 23:14
Core Insights - The article discusses the ongoing transformation of the global financial order, highlighted by the significant rise in gold prices from $1,800 to over $3,800, signaling a shift away from the dollar-centric financial system [1][6]. Group 1: China's Role in Gold Custody - China is emerging as a custodian for foreign sovereign gold, with several Southeast Asian countries opting to store their gold in China, challenging the traditional dollar-centered financial system and establishing new trust relationships [2]. - This strategy of gold custody is seen as a response to the diminishing influence of the U.S. dollar and aims to create a new settlement system, reminiscent of the impact of Alipay on consumer payment habits [2]. Group 2: CIPS and the Shift from SWIFT - The rise of the Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) is a strategic move to bypass U.S. dollar dominance, as evidenced by a decrease in the use of the SWIFT system for RMB transactions [3]. - Despite a drop in payment amounts, the RMB has become the third-largest financing and payment currency globally, indicating a shift towards more independent transaction systems [3]. Group 3: Dual Strategy for Financial Stability - China is implementing a dual strategy to promote the internationalization of the RMB, combining gold custody to build a credit system based on tangible assets and the CIPS system to facilitate RMB transactions [4]. - This approach is considered more robust than the Bretton Woods system, as it ensures control over gold reserves and a self-sufficient payment system [4]. Group 4: Future of the Global Currency System - The dominance of the U.S. dollar is expected to decline, leading to a more diversified international currency system where currencies like the RMB, Euro, Yen, and Indian Rupee will play significant roles [5]. - The evolving currency landscape is likened to the competitive smartphone market, where multiple brands coexist, providing consumers with more choices and fostering a healthier market [5]. Group 5: Implications for Ordinary Investors - Ordinary investors are advised to diversify their asset allocations beyond the dollar, considering RMB, gold, and other quality assets as viable options [8]. - The ongoing monetary transformation may present unexpected opportunities, similar to the wealth creation seen after the collapse of the Bretton Woods system in 1971 [8].