全球长债利率冲高

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机构称人民币有上行空间,公司债ETF贴水少回撤稳定备受关注
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-28 06:45
Group 1 - The core concern is whether US tech stocks will decline, which may impact domestic AI sectors [1][2] - There is a rising short-term uncertainty regarding US stock adjustments, influenced by seasonal patterns and negative AI commentary [2][3] - The potential for fluctuating interest rate policies by the Federal Reserve could disrupt market stability, particularly with upcoming economic data releases [3][4] Group 2 - The recent increase in global long-term bond yields indicates underlying risks in the market, despite previous optimism regarding recovery post-tariff adjustments [4] - The possibility of RMB appreciation could provide liquidity support for A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, driven by stable export growth and trade surpluses [5] - Significant capital inflow is anticipated, with an estimated 300 billion RMB in compensatory settlement from exports in the first half of the year [5]