关键软件国产化
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软件板块领涨科技方向,软件ETF易方达(562930)近日连续获资金布局
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-15 02:56
Group 1 - The A-share market saw a fluctuating rise in the three major indices, with the domestic software and software development sectors leading the technology direction [1] - As of 10:10 AM, the China Securities Software Service Index increased by 1.2%, with notable gains from companies such as Siwei Tuxin (over 5%), Electric Science Digital (over 4%), and Zhongke Software (nearly 4%) [1] - The second Bay Area Semiconductor Industry Ecosystem Expo commenced in Shenzhen, where a subsidiary of New Kai launched two domestically developed EDA design software products with complete independent intellectual property rights [1] Group 2 - The EDA design software reportedly achieved industry-leading performance in key electronic circuit design metrics, with a 30% improvement over industry benchmarks and a 40% reduction in hardware development cycles [1] - China Galaxy Securities believes that the domestic software localization is entering a deep-water zone, and with the new cycle of Xinchuang, related sectors will continue to benefit, particularly in EDA, industrial software, operating systems, databases, network security, and industry IT [1] - The China Securities Software Service Index consists of 30 stocks involved in software development and services, with software development and IT services accounting for 70% and 26% of the index, respectively [1]
“关键软件”的国产化率及市场空间测算
2025-10-13 01:00
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the **domestic software industry** in China, particularly focusing on the **localization of key software** and the **信创 (Xinchuang) industry** which is expected to accelerate by 2026 due to government mandates [1][4][3]. Key Software Localization - The **localization rate** of domestic operating systems in the government sector has reached **65%**, but the overall rate is only **4.55%**. By the end of 2025, the localization rate in the government sector is expected to exceed **80%**, with a market size of over **1 trillion yuan** [1][6]. - The **localization rate** for databases is low across various industries, with financial non-core systems at **40%**, energy at **15%**, and many sectors below **5%**. The domestic database market is projected to reach **668 billion yuan** by 2025, growing to over **800 billion yuan** by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately **12%** [1][9]. - Middleware localization has increased to **45%**, with financial, telecommunications, and government sectors exceeding **70%**. The middleware market is expected to reach **160 billion yuan** by 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of **17%** in 2023 [1][11]. Market Dynamics - The **Office software** localization rate in the government and civilian B-end is around **40%-50%**, with Kingsoft WPS holding a significant market share. The government sector has achieved **100% localization** [1][14]. - The **ERP market** has the highest localization rate among industrial software, exceeding **70%**. The market size is expected to be around **500-600 billion yuan** by 2025, growing at **10%-15%** annually [1][17]. - The **R&D design software** sector, including EDA, CAD, and CAE, has low localization rates of **10%-15%** for EDA and CAE, and **25%-30%** for CAD. The market space for these segments is significant, with EDA alone estimated at **120-140 billion yuan** [1][19]. Company Performance and Valuation - Representative companies in the **database sector** include **达梦数据 (Dameng Data)**, with a projected PS ratio of **22x** in 2025, and **太极股份 (Taiji Co.)**, with a PS ratio of **1.9x** [1][10]. - In the **middleware sector**, companies like **宝兰德 (Baolande)** and **普元信息 (Puyuan Information)** are highlighted, with PS ratios of **8.94x** and a competitive market landscape [1][12]. - The **R&D design software** companies are experiencing varied growth rates, with **华大九天 (HuaDa JiuTian)** expected to grow by **20%** due to reliance on a single client, while others like **广立微 (Guangliwei)** are expanding rapidly [1][21]. Regulatory Impact - The **79th document** from the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission mandates that state-owned enterprises complete the localization of information systems by **2027**, which is expected to drive significant growth in the domestic software market [1][4]. Conclusion - The conference call emphasizes the rapid development and localization of key software in China, driven by government policies and market demand. The potential for growth in various software sectors, particularly in databases, middleware, and ERP systems, presents significant investment opportunities. The performance of leading companies in these sectors indicates a robust market environment, despite challenges in localization rates across certain software categories.